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Michael Savio projects Reds pitcher Nick Lodolo to have a tough game tonight against the Brewers. Milwaukee’s lineup is heating up, scoring eight times in their last two games following a slow start. Lodolo struggled badly in his most recent start at Milwaukee last August, allowing three runs over 5 1/3 innings. With Milwaukee's Jackson Chourio and the Brewers lineup clicking, Savio expects Lodolo's struggles at American Family Field to continue tonight.

Michael Savio expects Hunter Brown to continue his solid form after an impressive outing against the Mets, striking out seven batters across six innings with just two earned runs allowed. Brown had a rough experience in Minnesota previously, but Savio views that merely as an off-day for a typically strong pitcher. Facing the underperforming Minnesota offense hitting below .175 as a team through five games, Savio sees a prime opportunity for Brown to dominate and keep this matchup low-scoring, capitalizing effectively on the Twins' offensive struggles.

Michael Savio highlighted Twins pitcher Joe Ryan after an impressive first start in 2025, allowing only one run across five innings to St. Louis. Ryan is coming off a tremendous 2024 campaign where he recorded a standout 0.99 WHIP. Although the Astros have historically had some success against Ryan, they now possess their weakest lineup in several seasons, greatly enhancing Ryan's betting value tonight. As a result, Savio anticipates another strong showing from Ryan, leading to a low-scoring affair favoring the under bet.

Michael Savio identified Nestor Cortes as likely to rebound tonight against an uninspired Reds lineup currently experiencing a two-game shutout streak. Although Cortes was heavily hit by the Yankees in his season debut, nearly the entire Brewers pitching staff struggled in that series, making the poor outing an outlier. Now facing Cincinnati's ice-cold offense, Cortes stands an excellent chance to return to form and deliver a winning performance for Milwaukee.

Michael Savio noted Jackson Chourio to be heating up and making the Brewers lineup more dangerous against Reds' starter Nick Lodolo. After an uneven start, Chourio is hitting his stride just as Milwaukee’s offense has scored eight runs over the past two games. Lodolo, on the other hand, struggled significantly in his previous game at Milwaukee last August, allowing three runs over 5 1/3 innings. Considering Milwaukee’s momentum and Chourio's resurgence, Savio expects Lodolo and the Reds to have difficulty tonight.

Michael Savio is confident in a strong bounce-back start for Tanner Houck against the Orioles. Despite an early hiccup this season, Houck is coming off a stellar 2024 campaign, boasting an impressive 3.12 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. This marked a significant improvement from a disappointing 2023 season, and Savio anticipates the right-hander returning to productive form immediately, starting against Baltimore.

Michael Savio recommends betting against Charlie Morton, emphasizing evidence of his recent deterioration in performance. Morton, now 41 years old, saw his WHIP progressively worsen over the last four seasons and struggled significantly during his Baltimore debut, allowing four earned runs and seven hits in just 3 1/3 innings pitched. Facing a Red Sox offense with Rafael Devers regaining form, this spells trouble for Morton and the Orioles in today's divisional matchup.

Michael Savio highlighted Rafael Devers' potential for a strong showing against Orioles starter Charlie Morton, pointing out that Devers broke his early season slump with an RBI double yesterday. Morton, while having had a notable career, is beginning to show clear signs of age-related decline, as evidenced by his increasing WHIP over the past four seasons. Moreover, Morton struggled immensely during his Orioles debut, surrendering seven hits and four earned runs over just 3 1/3 innings. Given Devers' momentum and Morton's shaky recent performance, the veteran pitcher represents a favorable matchup for Devers to continue finding his form.

Bryan Zarpentine likes Cody Bellinger's odds for at least two total bases on his Yankees debut against Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Freddy Peralta. Zarpentine highlights that Bellinger came off a scorching spring with a .423 batting average and a 1.214 OPS. Even more encouraging is his career history facing Peralta, where he's gone 5-for-12 including two extra-base hits, combined with the hitter-friendly advantages of playing at Yankee Stadium. Those factors make Bellinger's prop bet a valuable option at plus odds (+165).

Bryan Zarpentine presents an optimistic prop bet analysis for Adley Rutschman to surpass 1.5 total bases against Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios. Zarpentine cites Rutschman's exceptional career line against Berrios—13-for-22 (.591 average), including two doubles and four home runs—as a significant evidence for the prop. Additionally, Rutschman's impressive spring training (.375 average, 1.033 OPS) further boosts confidence in this opening day bet at plus odds (+130).

Bryan Zarpentine sees value in betting over 5.5 hits allowed by Zach Eflin in the Orioles' matchup against the Blue Jays. Zarpentine notes Eflin's pitch-to-contact style, which led him to surrender at least six hits in 16 of 28 starts last season, including early struggles (10 of his season's first 13 starts). Eflin was particularly vulnerable against Toronto in 2024, giving up six or more hits in all four meetings, twice allowing nine or more. Toronto batters Andres Gimenez, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Alejandro Kirk have historically performed well against Eflin, foreshadowing another hit-heavy appearance, making the over 5.5 hits allowed prop (+105) an appealing bet.

Bryan Zarpentine advises betting Salvador Perez to strikeout at least once (-210) against Guardians starter Tanner Bibee due to Perez's alarming history facing him—a hitless 0-for-11 line with five strikeouts. Additionally, Zarpentine highlights Perez averaged nearly 136 strikeouts annually over the past four seasons, including a strikeout-heavy spring (11 strikeouts in 46 at-bats). These details suggest Perez is very likely to strike out again on opening day against Bibee, despite Perez's strong overall reputation as a hitter.

Bryan Zarpentine finds strong value in betting Mets hitter Mark Vientos to get at least one hit (-190) against Astros left-handed starter Framber Valdez. Vientos dominated left-handed pitching in a breakout 2024 campaign, batting .300 with an .884 OPS versus southpaws. Zarpentine emphasizes that Vientos consistently produces against lefties, regardless of quality, and expects him to continue his success despite Valdez's challenging matchup. Thus, the over 0.5 hits prop looks particularly attractive due to Vientos' proven proficiency against left-handed pitching.