Danny Vithlani sees betting value on Alexa Grasso against the surging Natalia Silva. While he praised Silva’s speed, footwork and well-rounded striking, he called the +210 moneyline "far too wide" and recommends taking Grasso +3.5 points on the judges’ spread—she only needs one round on any card for that to cash. Vithlani expects the former champ’s relentless Mexican pressure boxing to drag Silva into exchanges she hasn’t faced yet. Even in a loss, he anticipates Grasso winning at least one frame and thinks an upset is very live at these odds.

Bisping predicted Alexa Grasso will outclass lightning-quick prospect Natalia Silva. He pointed to Grasso’s three straight five-rounders with Valentina Shevchenko (win, draw, loss) as evidence she owns an edge in deep-water experience. While praising Silva’s flashy spinning-kick knockout of Tereza Bleda and her 18-5 record with seven subs, Bisping feels Grasso’s polished boxing, underrated wrestling, and Mexican grit will neutralize Silva’s movement and side-kicks. Expect the ex-champ to control pace, mix takedowns when needed, and cash as the favorite.

DFS Army called Alexa Grasso the best salary-saving punt on the slate at just $7,400 despite being a +200 underdog to Natalia Silva (–240). They argued Silva has topped 85 DraftKings points only against Victoria Leonardo and averages just 2.9–4.0 significant strikes per minute, making her overpriced at $8,800. Grasso, meanwhile, owns sharp boxing, 65% takedown defense, and improved grappling that let her take rounds off Valentina Shevchenko twice and briefly wear the belt. Any winner below $7,600 usually lands on the GPP optimal—so even a 55-point decision would suffice. The hosts will be at least field-weight on Grasso in GPPs, like her for cash builds, and see straight-bet value on the moneyline, calling the line "disrespectful to a former champion."

Gumby Vreeland labeled Alexa Grasso a live +210 underdog, arguing bookmakers are disrespecting a recent champion who went 1-1-1 across three bouts with Valentina Shevchenko. Vreeland emphasized that Natalia Silva jumps from beating a past-prime Jessica Andrade and pre-prime JJ Aldrich to facing an elite boxer/grappler who has never been finished by strikes. Silva’s 25% takedown accuracy means she likely has to trade on the feet, where Grasso owns a positive strike differential (+0.50 per minute) and championship-level cardio. Vreeland believes the drastic step up in competition and Grasso’s proven five-round durability make the dog price a must-bet.

Gumby Vreeland labeled Alexa Grasso a live +210 underdog, arguing bookmakers are disrespecting a recent champion who went 1-1-1 across three bouts with Valentina Shevchenko. Vreeland emphasized that Natalia Silva jumps from beating a past-prime Jessica Andrade and pre-prime JJ Aldrich to facing an elite boxer/grappler who has never been finished by strikes. Silva’s 25% takedown accuracy means she likely has to trade on the feet, where Grasso owns a positive strike differential (+0.50 per minute) and championship-level cardio. Vreeland believes the drastic step up in competition and Grasso’s proven five-round durability make the dog price a must-bet.