Sniper labeled Bogdan Grad his "favorite underdog play on the whole card," planning to be heavily overweight in 150-max builds and sprinkling only limited Naimov hedge exposure. He cited Grad’s three takedowns in each of his last two appearances, relentless pace similar to Andreas Gustafsson’s "full crazy man" approach, and Naimov’s suspect wrestling defense (taken down three times by Jamie Malarkey). Sniper expects Grad’s cardio and pressure to wear Naimov out, opening multiple paths to victory and a potential 10× salary return. He already bet Grad at +235 on Circa and views the $7.4K price tag as essential salary relief for stacks built around expensive favorites.

Monk backed $7.4K Bogdan Grad as a live underdog, arguing the bout is far closer than Naimov’s –240 moneyline suggests. Grad averages 5.8 significant strikes per minute, doubles Naimov’s takedown rate (2.0 vs 1.0 per 5 minutes) and owns a superior control-time share. He expects Grad to replicate the chaos Andreas Gustafsson unleashed on Chaos Williams—constant forward pressure, clinch trips and mat returns—while Naimov’s striking volume (2.9 sig-strikes landed per minute) and sub-50% defensive metrics leave him vulnerable. Monk admitted Grad’s 7.84 strikes absorbed per minute is scary but trusts Naimov’s low output to mitigate that risk, calling Grad one of his favorite leverage pieces in large-field GPPs.

Kunath fired on Bogdan Grad at +200, calling Muhammad Naimov ‘a fraud who relies on fouls and soft matchmaking.’ Grad starts every fight at 100 mph, mixes takedowns with heavy pocket combinations, and has shown the ability to fight through fire—citing his comeback versus Lucas Alexander and all-out war on Contender Series. Kunath predicts Grad’s nonstop output will put Naimov behind on the numbers early; once chasing, Naimov tends to swing and miss. Cardio concerns could surface late, but Kunath believes Grad will be too far ahead on the cards to lose a decision, barring a robbery. Play: Grad moneyline with a sprinkle on DEC for an even fatter ticket.

Calling Muhammad Naimov a ‘fraud,’ Kunath grabbed Bogdan Grad at better than +200, predicting the underdog’s blistering output snowballs to a decision win. Grad starts bouts at 100 mph—constant forward pressure, multi-shot combos, level-change takedowns—mirroring his Contender Series performance and the Lucas Alexander finish. Naimov, by contrast, throws far less volume and relies on eye-poking, fence-grabbing antics (see Nathaniel Wood fight) to slow opponents. Kunath sees Grad racing to an early lead through sheer activity, possibly tiring late, but still too far ahead for Naimov to catch up. He cautions about a potential hometown robbery but recommends the dog moneyline and Grad-by-decision props.