Matty Betss advised going contrarian with Bogdan Guskov by decision at +340 instead of chasing the popular KO prop around +185. On Contender Series Guskov’s finish came late via knees in the clinch rather than a walk-off bomb, suggesting he is more methodical than highlight-reel. Giles has only been stopped by elite finishers—Drikus Du Plessis, Gabriel Bonfim and Mike Malott—and has otherwise out-boxed solid names like Roman Dolidze and Preston Parsons. The bout is at a 180-pound catch-weight, which Betss expects to help Giles’ durability and Guskov’s cardio, increasing the chance that all 15 minutes are needed. Matty thinks Guskov can bank the first two rounds with volume and clinch work, survive a late push from Giles and squeak out a sweaty decision that books are severely underpricing.

Matty Betss recommended a small wager on Bogdan Bukov to win by first-round knockout at +650 to +750. Betts thinks Loder’s only path is wrestling, but his striking ‘kinda sucks’ and gives Bukov a clean opportunity to starch him early. He cited Bukov’s two straight KO wins in 2024-25 and reminded listeners that Loder barely survived a first-round rear-naked-choke against Robert Valentin before rallying. Betts also pointed to Bukov’s improvements since his split-decision LFA win over Dylan Budka in 2023, arguing the Uzbek has tightened his hands and carries real power. The moneyline is around –400, so the round-1 KO prop offers far better risk-reward in Betts’s view.