Although TheWeasle still projects Brunno Fajera to score a second-round knockout, he warned that the market’s –700 price tag is an overreaction. Fajera’s aggressive hooks and 100 % finish rate make him dangerous, yet he showed shaky takedown defense and questionable fight IQ—throwing spinning attacks after hurting opponents—against Abus Magomedov. Jackson McVie’s porous defense likely won’t exploit those flaws often, but the dog’s longer reach and willingness to wrestle at least create off-ramps that could bust such a steep line. TheWeasle believes a fair money-line number would be closer to –300; anything north of –500 offers little value and invites opportunistic bettors to sprinkle on McVie or hunt Fajera-inside-the-distance props to trim the juice.

TheWeasle predicted a second-round knockout for Brunno Fajera. Both fighters have 100 % finish rates, but Fajera’s "throws heat" approach and willingness to brawl give him the edge against Jackson McVeigh, whose defense is suspect. He admitted Fajera's takedown defense looked shaky against Abus Magomedov, yet feels McVeigh won’t be able to exploit it consistently. As long as Fajera shows better fight IQ—avoiding wild spinning attacks after he hurts his foe—TheWeasle expects the Brazilian’s power hooks to land and shut McVeigh’s lights off.

Andy Lang agreed that Ferreira is the side but focused on derivative markets, recommending ‘fight ends in Round 1’ or under totals because books have already steamed Ferreira’s money line. He expects McVay to blitz from the opening horn, creating a high-variance brawl tailor-made for Ferreira’s power. Lang noted every betting angle is juiced but still prefers any plus-money prop tied to a sub-60-second finish over laying huge chalk on the favorite.

Jim Malaro sided with Bruno Ferreira inside the distance against 6-0 debutant Jackson McVay. He hammered McVay’s brutal circumstances: the newcomer already made weight last week, got paid show money, then has to cut again seven days later to face a far more experienced opponent. McVay’s tape shows an all-action, kill-or-be-killed approach with zero evidence he can survive beyond Round 1. Although Malaro openly questions Ferreira’s ceiling—citing shaky performances versus Stoltzfus and a submission of a "washed" Arman Petrosyan—he still trusts the UFC veteran’s poise and cardio edge to finish once McVay’s early storm fades.

Sniper called Brunno Ferreira the premier pay-up option on the card even at $9,700. Ferreira sits at –650 moneyline with a staggering –500 ITD number and the fight is –245 to end inside 1.5 rounds. Opponent Jackson McVey accepted the bout on short notice, never even winning on Dana White’s Contender Series, and brings no UFC-level experience. Sniper expects a first-round knockout, will completely X-out McVey, and recommends prioritizing Ferreira in at least one of the three high-priced slots despite the salary squeeze created by multiple 9K favorites.

Dan Tom called Bruno Ferreira a "KO Round-1/Round-2 staple" of his betting portfolio and plans to sprinkle that exact-method prop again. Tom conceded the -800 moneyline is unplayable and admits McVey’s 6-foot-5 southpaw frame could draw casual dog money, but reminded listeners Ferreira has repeatedly cashed early KO tickets thanks to his bounce-in, bounce-out footwork and explosive pocket entries. The bigger UFC cage actually helps Ferreira because he prefers to dart at angles rather than cut the cage. Although McVey’s length is novel, Tom noted the newcomer is 0-0 versus southpaws, has never felt someone who can close distance that quickly, and owns zero wins over opponents with a winning record. Tom expects Ferreira’s first clean overhand to implode the plus-500 underdog before the midpoint, making the round-1/2 KO prop the only sensible angle.

Madlab Michael Lurato said the best way to play this re-booked middle-weight is Bruno Ferreira inside the distance. Lurato acknowledged the 6-foot-5 McVey looks dangerous on the face-off and owns a 6-0 slate with three KOs and three subs, but pointed out none of those wins came over an opponent with a winning record—two of them were literally 4-15 and 3-3. In what he calls a straight "car-crash" matchup, Lurato trusts Ferreira’s proven resume: short, explosive entries, judo balance for clinch breaks, and victories over far higher-level competition. He expects the 5-8 Ferreira to punch upward, find a clear view of McVey’s chin, and detonate before cardio becomes an issue. Lurato is ignoring the –800 moneyline and laying the violence prop, projecting a Round-1 or early Round-2 stoppage approximately 70% of the time.

Bedtime MMA predicted the UFC 318 main card will produce at least two "brutal, CTE-society KOs," flagging Bruno Ferreira as one of the likeliest finishers. He said the lineup features several "very dangerous guys" matched against clearly over-matched opponents, calling it "very lopsided matchmaking." That stylistic gap makes Under props and inside-the-distance bets appealing across multiple bouts. DFS players, meanwhile, should prioritize knockout-hunters like Ferreira and Atiba Gauthier, as early-round finishing bonuses could decide large-field tournaments.