Paul Shaughnessy landed on Cameron Saaiman as well but zeroed in on the submission market, expecting a grind-heavy approach. After re-watching Wellmaker’s split-decision wins where he was pinned to the fence for long stretches, Paul doubts the Georgian newcomer can defend prolonged grappling from a younger fighter who averages 1.4 takedowns per 15 and lives on the mat in South Africa’s top camp. Shaughnessy noted Wellmaker’s regional résumé is littered with 1-4 and 0-0 opponents and that he tapped to an amateur armbar in 2019, suggesting a potential hole once the fight hits the floor. At +450 or longer, Paul sees Saaiman by sub as the ‘sneaky’ way to bet a fight most expect to stay standing.