TheWeasle picked Carli Judas to win a decision over Nicole Kaliori. He noted that Judas stands 5'7" with a 68-inch reach, giving her significant length over Kaliori. Because Kaliori "tends to not move her head too much," TheWeasle expects Judas to snipe from range with straight punches and her signature high kick. Both women are fundamentally sound kickboxers, but the distance weapons and better leverage of the taller Judas led him to side with her on the scorecards.

Matty Betss said Carli Judice is a smart bet to win by decision at roughly –120 even though she has never cashed a decision in her career (0-2 when fights reach the cards). He argued the price is a steal because Judice is a 4-to-1 money-line favorite facing an opponent who has never been knocked out and is known for extreme durability. Judice fires 11 significant strikes per minute and has posted 168 and 169-strike outputs in her last two fights, giving her a massive volume edge that should sway the judges. Betts framed it as the classic women’s MMA spot: back the clearly better striker to pile up points against a foe who is almost impossible to finish.

Sniper said Carli Judice should win the fight but is a hard pass on DraftKings at $9,100. He expects Judice to stuff Nicole Calliere’s takedown attempts and pick her apart standing, yet sees little chance of an early finish with the bout –215 to go the distance. With 14 fights on the slate, Sniper is prioritizing salary relief elsewhere and will hit the X-button on Judice in every build, noting that even a decision win likely falls short of the 100-point ceiling required from a 9K fighter.

Dan Tom added Carli Judice to his two-leg parlay with Dan Ige, saying the southpaw’s directional footwork and strike-then-move habits give Caliari little chance to win prolonged exchanges. Tom noted Judice fires head kicks and straight lefts from kicking range, then moves both her feet and her head off the center line—a basic concept that most debuting fighters ignore. Caliari, by contrast, prefers to operate along the fence, which Tom calls Judice’s "kill zone" because that is where she unloads volume and strings clinch knees. He initially considered the over 2.5 rounds but pivoted to the moneyline after recalling how women’s bouts can flip on a single head kick—citing Holly Holm vs Ronda Rousey as historical proof. With Judice sitting around –330 and still improving at age 26, Tom trusts her to cash parlays and even suggested a small flyer on a head-kick finish if books hang +400 or better.

Madlab Michael Lurato laid the -350 on Carli Judice, arguing the rookie strawweight’s absurd work-rate makes the wide line defensible even in women’s MMA. Lurato highlighted Judice’s 100-plus significant strikes thrown per round on Contender Series and her habit of landing more than double her opponents’ output. Caliari’s only realistic path, he said, is to wrestle; yet Judice’s southpaw stance, active framing and constant resets make sustained top control unlikely. While acknowledging female openers can be volatile, Lurato still sees Judice dictating tempo at distance, crowding Caliari against the cage when she wants, and cruising on the cards unless she gets clipped in an extended scramble. He won’t touch the under 2.5 but believes Judice wins at least 7 of every 10 times, making the moneyline playable as a parlay leg.

Jeff Fox echoed the Judice pick, emphasizing her size and knockout pop. He noted Judice is "big for the weight class" while Colliera is a 5'3ʺ former 115-pounder stepping up. Fox trusts Judice’s preference to keep fights standing—she’s never been finished and lands 3× the volume of Colliera. Because Colliera must grapple to win, Fox prefers the favorite’s –309 moneyline but added bettors fading him should take Colliera by submission only, since prolonged control minutes are unlikely.

Gumby Vreeland said Carli Judice is the clear side in her UFC 318 opener thanks to a massive physical and stylistic edge. Judice owns four inches of height, six inches of reach and a 70 % career takedown-defense rate, numbers Vreeland believes will nullify Colliera’s only path—wrestling and quick submissions. He reminded listeners that Judice held off stronger grapplers such as Gabby Fernandez and Ernesta Kareckaite, while landing nearly three times more strikes per minute (3× activity, +1.17 differential). With Colliera just 5'3ʺ and formerly a strawweight, Vreeland expects Judice’s power boxing to "blast her on the feet" and sees a potential knockout. Line referenced: –309.

MMA Guru said Carli Judice is the side because every datapoint favors her striking-based game. He noted Judice is four inches taller (5'7" vs 5'3") with a six-inch reach edge (68" vs 62"), giving her the same long-range problems that Ernesto Kariakate created for Kaliari—but with more polish. Guru felt Judice was robbed on Contender Series and even out-landed Gabriela Fernandez while mixing in her own takedowns, showing she can survive defensive wrestling. Conversely, Kaliari needed three late takedowns to squeak out a split over Kariakate despite being out-struck, so if judges reward damage instead of control this time the taller Judice cashes. A recent head-kick KO and performance bonus mean momentum and confidence are on Judice’s side, and Guru trusts her takedown defense enough to back her on the moneyline.