On the same PrizePicks slip, Guru took the under on 49.5 significant strikes for Carlos Hernandez. He expects HyunSung Park’s explosiveness and finishing upside to keep this fight short or force Hernandez into defensive grappling exchanges, limiting Hernandez’s landed volume. Hernandez landed just 33 sig. strikes before being submitted by Jake Hadley, and Guru sees a similar ceiling here.

Daniel “Gumby” Vreeland backed Carlos Hernandez at +145, calling him the grittiest underdog on the prelims. He argued Hernandez’s losses came only to elite flyweight wrestlers Tatsuro Taira and Allan Nascimento, yet Hernandez still stuffed multiple takedowns in both bouts and held Taira to a career-low 2:47 of control time. Park, by contrast, owns just a 27% takedown accuracy and has not fought since December 2023, leaving questions about form after an eight-month layoff. Gumby likes Hernandez’s hand speed, noting a +0.47 strike differential built against better competition, and expects Hernandez to keep the fight standing long enough to win a volume-heavy decision. He suggested sprinkling the decision prop for a juicier return.