Paul Shaughnessy recommends considering a live bet on Darren Elkins if Julian Erosa engages in early guillotine choke attempts. Paul emphasizes Elkins' exceptional choke defense, noting Elkins intentionally gives his neck to opponents as bait to secure dominant top positions, referenced clearly in fights against Darrick Minner and Daniel Pineda. Erosa's previous success with guillotine submissions might tempt him into this exact trap, potentially resulting in Elkins gaining top position and control. Given Elkins' durability, superior cardio, and grind-heavy style if he attains positional dominance, Paul warns that betting Erosa could quickly become worrisome, and strategically suggests bettors watch early exchanges closely before potentially betting Elkins live if Erosa predictably tries these chokes.