Matty Betss said he is hammering Drakkar Klose by decision at +250 in UFC 319. Betss noted that 38-year-old Edson Barboza could easily be 1-4 in his last five if not for a late rally against Sodiq Yusuff, and now has to move back up to 155 where his takedown defense historically dips. Betss expects Klose’s superior strength and chain-wrestling to press Barboza to the fence or plant him on his back, shutting down the flying-knee/head-kick arsenal Barboza needs to win. He projected a 30-27 (possibly 29-28) scorecard for Klose, calling it the safest first leg of his cycle parlay.

Calling it his favorite dog on the slate, Matty Betss endorsed Drakkar Klose at +115 to upset Edson Barboza. Betss hammered Klose’s 64 % takedown accuracy and willingness to mat return opponents, reminding listeners that a much smaller Bryce Mitchell dominated Barboza on the floor. Klose is the younger, fresher lightweight with fewer wars and should carry a noticeable strength advantage in the clinch. Barboza has dropped three of his last five and was nearly 1-4 if not for a late comeback versus Sodiq Yusuff. Betss sees Klose chain-wrestling early, melting clock from top position and forcing Barboza to swing wild counters when he’s tired. Sprinkle Klose decision or even late ground-and-pound props, but Betss’ core wager is the dog money-line.