Sean Zerillo prices Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues at –260 but bettors can still find –192 to –200, which he calls fair up to –225. Rodrigues is two inches taller and carries the kind of pocket power Jack Hermansson cannot match. Zerillo is not worried about Hermansson’s jab-and-kick range game because the Norwegian lacks knockout pop, meaning Rodrigues can march inside and force exchanges. Hermansson owns excellent first-layer takedown defense, so Zerillo expects a striking-heavy fight where Rodrigues’ pressure and durability shine. Because 12 of Rodrigues’ 15 UFC bouts have ended inside the distance, Zerillo is also adding his Inside-the-Distance prop at +140 (projected +135) as a correlated kicker in case Robocop hurts or melts Hermansson before cardio becomes a concern.

Matty Betss locked Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues by decision (+220) as leg two of his 34-to-1 cycle parlay. He trusts Jack Hermansson’s durability after seeing the Swede survive early hell against Joe Pyfer before storming back late. Matty expects Rodrigues to land a knockdown or two in the first 10 minutes but believes Hermansson’s footwork and defensive grappling keep him from getting subbed or pounded out. With only three of Robocop’s 16 pro wins going to the judges, Betss argued the modest +220 tag screams hidden value—odds-makers know Hermansson is hard to finish in a three-rounder.

Matty Betss recommended betting Gregory "Robocop" Rodrigues to win by decision at +220, arguing the prop is mispriced. He noted Rodrigues faded late in his five-round bout with Jared Cannonier, but this weekend’s fight is only three rounds and Robocop’s nutrition and weight-cut issues have reportedly been ironed out. Betss expects Rodrigues to bank Rounds 1 and 2 behind his striking and physicality. Jack Hermansson’s 56% strike-defense rate, durable chin, and smart grappling game (he survived and beat Joe Pyfer) make a finish unlikely, so a 29-28—or even 30-27—scorecard in Rodrigues’ favor is Betss’s most probable outcome.

MMA Guru sided with Gregory Rodrigues to finish Jack Hermansson inside two rounds. He pointed to Hermansson’s long layoff and low-pressure, kick-and-flinch style as a poor formula against Rodrigues, who attacks with layered combinations—uppercut into left hook—and is willing to brawl. Guru noted that Rodrigues fought competitively with Jared Cannonier before breaking late, while Hermansson was TKO’d by Cannonier in one. On the mat, Guru trusts Rodrigues’ BJJ black belt to neutralize the traditional Hermansson top game, removing the Swede’s safety valve. Because Rodrigues has returned quickly after losses and kept sharpening his striking variety, Guru likes the favorite’s momentum and suggests playing the KO/TKO prop rather than money-line chalk.

Jeff Fox laid –188 on Gregory ‘Robocop’ Rodrigues, fading a 37-year-old Jack Hermansson who has fought only once since December 2022 and cannot string together back-to-back wins. Rodrigues is four years younger, two inches taller, and the far heavier hitter with 10 KOs in 16 victories. Fox pointed to the Brazilian’s superior volume (out-landing foes by 0.65 sig-strikes/min) and underrated top game—Rodrigues owns the better takedown accuracy and submission rate in UFC stats. He expects Hermansson’s stick-and-move approach to crumble once Robocop forces clinch exchanges, and he forecasts either a mid-fight knockout or ground-and-pound finish. Fox recommended pairing the money-line with Rodrigues ITD props for plus-money exposure.