Although Sniper is officially picking Jun Yong Park to win, he admitted he will have more DraftKings exposure to Ismail Naurdiev because the $1,200 price gap creates much-needed mid-range salary relief on a slate loaded with heavy favorites he wants to roster. Sniper sees the fight as closer than the –185 betting line suggests, pointing to Naurdiev’s sharper defense and improved wrestling since his UFC return. He believes Naurdiev can keep exchanges competitive and potentially land takedowns of his own, making a 10× salary return very realistic. In single-entry builds, Sniper plans to be overweight on the underdog while still acknowledging Park’s higher raw floor.

Monk picked Ismail Naurdiev outright at $7.5K, arguing that the Austrian’s revamped wrestling and airtight defense give him real upset equity over the popular Iron Turtle. Naurdiev allows only 1.52 significant strikes per minute since returning, showed improved cardio while logging six minutes of top control against Bruno Silva, and is still just 28 with 31 pro fights of experience. Park throws more volume, especially in Round 2, but absorbs nearly four sig-strikes per minute and has been out-controlled by grapplers like Andre Muniz (11 takedowns surrendered, 10:00 top time). Monk cited the fact that a Park fight has produced an optimal-lineup score in six of his last seven appearances—win or lose—as proof the matchup is DFS-friendly on either side, but the salary discount and Park’s hittability make Naurdiev his preferred leverage play.