Monk backed Jamahal Hill as the superior DraftKings play at $7.8K despite Roundtree entering as a slight betting favorite. He noted that neither man has ever completed a UFC takedown (27 combined fights), so the bout projects as a pure striking match where Hill’s 7.0 significant strikes landed per minute dwarf Roundtree’s 3.7. Hill’s cardio metrics are also better: in fourth-round sample time he out-lands opponents 15.8 to 5.0 per minute, whereas Roundtree gets clobbered 13.9 to 3.0. Strength of schedule leans Hill—wins over Thiago Santos and Glover Teixeira versus Roundtree’s split over Jacoby and a KO of Chris Daukus. Vegas expects a finish in rounds two or three (-215 under 3.5, yet ‑205 over 1.5), which neutralizes main-event bonus rounds, so Monk treats this like any other mid-tier fight and prefers the cheaper, higher-volume side. He projects a 100-plus DK score for Hill via cumulative striking or late KO and will be overweight in GPPs while keeping Roundtree exposure minimal hedge only.

Kunath backed Jamahal “Sweet Dreams” Hill to win by knockout sometime after the third round. He argued that Hill’s recent losses came against elite opponents—Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka—while Khalil Rountree has also been stopped and has taken far more cumulative damage. Kunath noted Hill’s natural feel for distance and combination punching, plus the fact that sharp money continues to flow Hill’s way despite social-media buzz on Rountree. He pointed out Rountree’s flat-footed defense against left hooks, Hill’s historically superior level of competition, and the five-round format favoring Hill’s cardio if he has indeed “hit the treadmill.” At plus money, Kunath sees value on Hill finding the finishing shot late and “getting back in the win column.”

Kunath backed Jamahal “Sweet Dreams” Hill to win by knockout sometime after Round 3 despite the former champ opening at plus money. He acknowledged Hill’s stock has cratered after back-to-back KO losses to Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka, and conceded Khalil Rountree carries more one-shot power and far better calf kicks. The pick leans on contextual edges: Hill’s natural feel for distance and combination punching, his track record against elite names (Prochazka, Pereira, Glover Teixeira, Johnny Walker), and Rountree’s tendency to fade after absorbing damage—particularly the severe beating Pereira put on him when he unexpectedly won the first two rounds as a massive underdog. Kunath noted that public chatter favors Rountree, yet the betting handle continues to push money toward Hill, a tell that sharper action trusts Hill’s upside. He expects Hill’s straighter, faster punches to “touch up” Rountree from the outside, wear him down and eventually find the kill shot in the championship rounds, making Hill a worthwhile plus-money bet in both moneyline and KO props.

Kyzer Del Busto took the plus-money stab on former champ Jamahal Hill, arguing that Hill’s only setbacks came against current and former title-holders. Hill owns a three-inch edge in both height and reach, lands 7.06 sig-strikes per minute, and sports a +3.03 differential—far superior to Rountree’s –0.78. Kyzer acknowledged Hill’s back-to-back knockouts but pointed out that Rountree’s defense is even shakier (43% significant-strike defense) and he was finished by Pereira in round four after absorbing 88 head strikes. Hill’s straight right hand should beat Rountree’s looping left, and Kyzer expects the Chicago native to keep the fight at boxing range, pile up volume, and possibly score a late TKO, making the +110 money-line a buy.

Millz Young took the plus-115 underdog shot on Jamahal Hill, insisting the market is disrespecting a former champ with a proven gas tank. Hill averages 5.66 significant strikes per minute and pushes pace deep into fights, while Khalil Roundtree routinely slows after the first seven minutes and lands barely 3.8 strikes per minute. Millz expects Roundtree to hunt single-shot counters—mostly the low kick and overhand—but sees Hill’s 78-inch reach and constant jab-cross volume piling up damage and forcing Roundtree onto the back foot. If the bout reaches the championship rounds, Millz predicts Hill’s conditioning will create a second-gear surge, forecasting either a Round-4 TKO or a clear 48-47 decision. He advised bettors to split their stake between Hill’s moneyline and the Round-4/5 or decision double-chance prop that is hovering around +200.

Bedtime MMA circled Jamahal Hill as the clear betting side now that books have Khalil Rountree Jr. sitting around –200, making Hill a juicy 2-to-1 underdog. He called Rountree “one of the most overrated fighters in the UFC,” pointing out the Thai-boxing stylist’s resume tops out at a short-notice win over Anthony Smith and a moral-victory loss to Alex Pereira that bettors keep over-valuing. By contrast, Hill owns finishes of Glover Teixeira and Thiago Santos and has proven he can build volume as a fight drags on. Bedtime expects Hill’s crisp jab to reopen Rountree’s chronically damaged nose, then sustained body work to sap Rountree’s already shaky cardio. Once the output crash hits late round three or early round four, Hill should be able to pour on enough hooks to force a standing TKO with Rountree slumping against the fence. Recommended wagers: Hill money-line at plus money, Hill TKO, and round-3/4 props while the market continues to mis-price the matchup.

Bedtime MMA picked Jamahal Hill to survive an explosive first round from Khalil Rountree Jr. and score a Round 3-4 TKO. He acknowledged Rountree’s early-fight hand speed and southpaw power but emphasized the contender’s chronic cardio fade and lack of grappling reps across a resume whose best win is short-notice Anthony Smith. Hill, despite "waffle-house cook" footwork, showed he can build volume and accuracy as fights progress—evident in victories over Glover Teixeira and Thiago Santos and even stretches versus Jiri Prochazka. Bedtime predicted Hill will weaponize front kicks and knees to the body whenever they clinch, jab Rountree’s historically fragile nose, and pull the head to land uppercuts. Once Rountree’s output crashes, Hill walks him down for a ref-safety stoppage against the fence. Suggested wagers: Hill live-bet after Round 1, Hill TKO, or Hill Round 3/4 props.