Billy Ward likes the same -3.5 spread on Jasudavicius but is also sprinkling her submission prop, noting two of Jasmine’s last four wins came via D’Arce/Anaconda chokes from the front-headlock. Andrade habitually turtles when trying to stand, exactly the sequence that exposes her neck. Ward thinks a finish is live even though Jasmine is generally a position-over-damage grappler, because Andrade tends to quit once trapped in tight chokes. He will play the generic SUB market and, if available, target specific D’Arce/Anaconda lines for additional leverage.

Sean Zerillo recommended three aligned bets built around Jasudavicius’s size and wrestling edge over Jessica Andrade: 1) Jasmine -3.5 points at -135, 2) fight to go the distance at -110, and 3) Jasmine by decision at +135. Zerillo’s math shows a -300 favorite winning a women’s flyweight bout by decision more than 55% of the time, yet the market prices it at just 42%. Andrade has been blanketed whenever forced to her back, losing all three rounds in most decision losses. Zerillo expects Jasudavicius to bank control with top-position safety rather than hunt finishes, projecting a 29-28 type scorecard if Andrade survives early takedowns.

Danny Brasco labeled Jasmine Jasudavicius -3.5 rounds his top play, meaning she must either finish Jessica Andrade or win every frame on at least two scorecards. Brasco predicts Jasudavicius will overwhelm Andrade with size and wrestling, dragging her down early and often for extended top-control stretches. He even sees a potential 10-8 if Andrade survives but cannot get back to her feet. Because a finish or a 30-27 (or better) cashes the spread, Brasco prefers this angle to the straight money-line and urges bettors to 'play it every way you can' given what he views as a dominant stylistic edge.

DFS Army is heavy on Jasmine Jasudavicius at $9,200, calling her size and wrestling a nightmare for Jessica Andrade. Jasudavicius is a 5'7" "big flyweight" averaging 4.2 takedown attempts per fight and has eclipsed 100 DraftKings points in every UFC win. Andrade has been taken down multiple times in three of her last four losses and now toggles between strawweight and flyweight, giving up strength and reach. With the fight lined –115 to end inside the distance and both women historically scoring 5+ DK points per minute, the touts will sprinkle some Andrade exposure but plan to be overweight Jasudavicius in both cash and GPPs. They project five-plus takedowns, extended top control and a possible late finish that could push her past 110 points, making her a pay-up priority despite the $9.2K price tag.

Matty Betss said he is making Jasmine Jasudavicius inside-the-distance one of his biggest bets of the card. Betss expects Jasudavicius to survive Andrade's early, reckless pocket swings, change levels for takedowns and dominate from top position. He highlighted Andrade’s alarming 1-4 skid in which Tatiana Suarez (R2 guillotine), Erin Blanchfield (R2 sub), Yan Xiaonan (R1 KO) and Amanda Lemos (R1 standing arm-triangle) all finished her, calling it proof the former champ’s durability and defensive grappling have cratered. Meanwhile Jasudavicius averages 3.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, owns two Round-3 finishes in her last four, and routinely opts for ground-and-pound over quick submissions once she reaches side control. To capitalize, Betss is loading up on Jasudavicius ITD (+240), sprinkling the straight submission prop (+450) and ‘auto-playing’ Round 2 and Round 3 at +650 apiece (DraftKings lists Round 3 at 9-1 in Florida). He views those late-round numbers as egregious for a stylistic matchup where Andrade historically wilts and Jasudavicius pours on volume the longer the fight goes.

For the submission leg Betss took Jasmine Jasudavicius to tap Jessica Andrade at +375. He acknowledged submissions are scarce on the UFC 315 slate but views Jasmine’s grappling as the card’s best under-the-radar path. Betss expects Jasudavicius to pursue takedowns, work top control, and hunt a D’Arce or rear-naked choke; he even noted a ground-and-pound TKO is possible but the value play is the sub prop. Andrade has been finished by submission twice in her career, which Betss believes makes the long-shot worth the sweat.

Matty Betss said he is making Jasmine Jasudavicius inside-the-distance one of his biggest bets of the card. Betss expects Jasudavicius to survive Andrade's early, reckless pocket swings, change levels for takedowns and dominate from top position. He highlighted Andrade’s alarming 1-4 skid in which Tatiana Suarez (R2 guillotine), Erin Blanchfield (R2 sub), Yan Xiaonan (R1 KO) and Amanda Lemos (R1 standing arm-triangle) all finished her, calling it proof the former champ’s durability and defensive grappling have cratered. Meanwhile Jasudavicius averages 3.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, owns two Round-3 finishes in her last four, and routinely opts for ground-and-pound over quick submissions once she reaches side control. To capitalize, Betss is loading up on Jasudavicius ITD (+240), sprinkling the straight submission prop (+450) and ‘auto-playing’ Round 2 and Round 3 at +650 apiece (DraftKings lists Round 3 at 9-1 in Florida). He views those late-round numbers as egregious for a stylistic matchup where Andrade historically wilts and Jasudavicius pours on volume the longer the fight goes.

For the submission leg Betss took Jasmine Jasudavicius to tap Jessica Andrade at +375. He acknowledged submissions are scarce on the UFC 315 slate but views Jasmine’s grappling as the card’s best under-the-radar path. Betss expects Jasudavicius to pursue takedowns, work top control, and hunt a D’Arce or rear-naked choke; he even noted a ground-and-pound TKO is possible but the value play is the sub prop. Andrade has been finished by submission twice in her career, which Betss believes makes the long-shot worth the sweat.

The Weasle predicted hometown fighter Jasmine Jasudavicius to outpoint former champ Jessica Andrade. He argued Andrade is past her prime—coming off a KO loss to Natalia Silva—and still relies on blitzing hooks without nuanced entries. Jasudavicius rides a four-fight streak built on fundamental distance striking, solid defensive wrestling, and smart footwork. She owns the reach edge, fights behind a disciplined jab, and historically elevates performance in Canada. Weasle envisions a matador-versus-bull dynamic: Jasudavicius circling, stuffing fence clinches, tagging Andrade from range, and winning a clear 30-27 or 29-28 decision.

Gumby Vreeland echoed the Jasudavicius play, stressing how lost Jessica Andrade looked during her three-fight skid in which she was taken down and finished twice. Vreeland highlighted Jasudavicius’ jab-into-double-leg sequence and punishing elbows from guard, tools he thinks will neutralize Andrade’s pocket bombs. The Canadian owns better per-minute takedown numbers and has never been finished, while Andrade has nine stoppage losses and far more cage mileage. Vreeland even sees potential for a late TKO on the mat given Jasudavicius’ escalating aggression in front of home crowds. At +250 the other way, Vreeland has zero interest in the Andrade lottery ticket and prefers Jasudavicius straight or inside-the-distance props.

Jeff Fox took Jasmine Jasudavicius at ‑298 even though the line keeps widening. He believes former champ Jessica Andrade is now fighting strictly for paychecks after absorbing three straight stoppage losses in 2023 and getting out-grappled badly by Erin Blanchfield and others. Jasudavicius, six inches taller with a six-inch reach edge, rides a four-fight win streak built on relentless takedowns and top-side ground-and-pound. Fox expects the Canadian crowd to fuel her high-pressure style, predicting she will pin Andrade to the fence, drag her down repeatedly, and drain whatever explosive power Andrade still has. While wary of Andrade’s right hand, Fox projects Jasudavicius to bank minutes and maybe finish via ground-strikes, making her a parlay anchor despite the steep price.

Dan Tom leaned toward the inside-the-distance prop on Jasmine Jasudavicius, arguing her length and leverage will make Andrade’s guard “feel like Ricky Glenn vs Gavin Tucker all over again.” Tom compared Andrade to a smaller John Lineker—pure hooks, little defense—and warned that kind of bullish style collapses once a taller wrestler plants her and rains elbows. He cited Andrade losing by ground-and-pound or choke in four of her last nine fights and added that the Brazilian’s 30-fight UFC mileage plus personal turmoil has produced wildly inconsistent efforts, similar to Deiveson Figueiredo’s up-and-down run at flyweight. Tom expects Jasmine to land 3-4 takedowns, posture over a trapped half-guard, and either club-and-sub or force a referee stoppage in Rounds 2-3. With the Under 2.5 sitting at +115 and Jasmine ITD at +175, he believes those are superior angles to laying –300 on the money-line or guessing between decision and submission.

Cody Saftic echoed Paul’s angle but doubled down, betting Jasudavicius by submission at +300 and sprinkling Round 2 specifically at +900. Saftic noted Andrade’s recent pattern of surviving an initial takedown barrage before conceding her neck early in the second—exactly how Erin Blanchfield and Tatiana Suarez finished her. The former champ has absorbed 22 takedowns in her last five bouts and now sports just 52 % takedown defense. Cody highlighted Jasmine’s success wrestling larger opponents like Tracy Cortez (2-for-4 TDs) and said the Canadian’s frame—four inches taller and seven-inch reach edge—will make flattening Andrade easier than the market assumes. Andrade fought five times in 2023 while going through a divorce; Saftic thinks the accumulated mileage shows in her cardio and willingness to accept bottom position. With Jasudavicius averaging 1.6 submission attempts per 15 minutes and Andrade tapping in three of her last six defeats, Saftic sees a Round 2 rear-naked choke as the “most violent and most profitable” outcome.

Paul Shaughnessy said the –300 money-line is too steep on Jasmine Jasudavicius, so he is eyeing the submission prop around +300 instead. Shaughnessy expects Andrade to land a few bombs early but predicts the former champ’s straight-line pressure will eventually feed right into Jasmine’s body-lock entries. Once the 5'7" Canadian plants the 5'1" Brazilian on her back—something Valentina Shevchenko, Tatiana Suarez, and Erin Blanchfield all managed with ease—Paul anticipates a steady diet of ground-and-pound forcing Andrade to roll and expose her neck. He pointed out that Andrade has surrendered chokes in three of her last six losses and routinely gives up back mounts while trying to explode to her feet. Given Jasmine’s size, 73-inch reach, and 60% takedown accuracy, Shaughnessy believes “top pressure into rear-naked choke” is live and offers far better value than laying heavy chalk on the favorite.

Michael Iurato advised backing Jasmine Jasudavicius by decision and parlaying the Over 2.5 rounds (-145) after re-watching tape on both women. Iurato said Andrade’s fight-ending power is the only reason the total is not juiced higher, but he trusts Jasmine’s clinch entries, heavy hips, and minute-winning top control to neutralize that danger over 15 minutes. The Canadian has attempted 21 takedowns in her last three bouts and averages 2:58 of control time per round, the exact profile that has frustrated Andrade against Tatiana Suarez and Erin Blanchfield. Iurato added that Andrade, now an “old 33” after 30 UFC appearances and five fights in 2023, looks increasingly hittable and accepts bottom position once grounded. Because Jasmine rarely chases finishes and knows “what got her to the dance,” Iurato expects her to spam level-changes, stack guard, chip away with short elbows, and cruise to a clear 29-28 or 30-27, making the decision prop (+120) and Over 2.5 the smartest exposures.

Millz Young still sides with Jasmine Jasudavicius even at roughly ‑300 because he believes her rinse-and-repeat wrestling (averaging two takedowns per UFC bout) will neutralize Jessica Andrade, who has shown diminished power and urgency in recent losses. Millz likes that Jasudavicius flips a switch once the cage door closes and relentlessly hunts top position, noting the Canadian crowd and her 4-0 UFC start as confidence boosters. While he admits Andrade is a live dog given her championship pedigree, Millz projects multiple Jasudavicius takedowns leading to either a dominant decision or a late submission. Suggested bet: Jasudavicius by Decision/Sub or lay the money line if comfortable with the juice.

Bedtime MMA picked Jasmine Jasudavicius to win a clear 30-27 (safe floor 29-28) decision over former champ Jessica Andrade. He argued Andrade is “washed and undersized at flyweight,” pointing to her 1-4 skid and how Erin Blanchfield dominated her once she was forced backward. Jasudavicius, by contrast, owns recent momentum—including a win over Mayra Bueno Silva—and will enjoy the measurable size advantage. The tout expects the Canadian to box her way into the pocket, mix outside-trip body-lock takedowns, and control Andrade on the mat where Andrade “turns into a turtle.” Hometown crowd, cardio, and the ability to clinch-ragdoll for long stretches are the key angles behind the bet.

MMA Guru picked Jasmine Jasudavicius to upset Jessica Andrade by decision, stressing the Canadian’s 5'7" frame and 68" reach give her a five-inch height and four-inch reach edge at flyweight. Guru said Andrade loses much of her strawweight power and intimidation when she moves up, landing just 2.9 significant strikes per minute in her last three 125-lb bouts compared to 6.8 at 115. Jasudavicius, meanwhile, has averaged 3.2 takedowns per 15 minutes during her current two-fight winning streak and improved her top-control time to 5:34 per round. Guru expects her to replicate the Erin Blanchfield blueprint: scrap early to keep Andrade swinging, then duck under the counters for reactive doubles. Because Andrade’s 57 % takedown defense plummets when opponents disguise shots inside exchanges, Guru forecasted Jasudavicius banking at least two rounds with late takedowns, ground elbows, and cage control, cashing as a plus-money decision prop.

Kunath is suffering "Jessica Andrade fatigue" and thinks the Canadian crowd will power Jasmine Jasudavicius to an inside-the-distance submission. Jasudavicius steamrolls opponents when she wins—utilizing sheer strength, chain wrestling, and brutal ground-and-pound before hunting frontal chokes (anacondas, D’arses). Andrade has fought five times since 2023, showing wear and tear and a growing tendency to concede positions on the mat against bigger, physical grapplers. Kunath believes Jasudavicius will duplicate that template: muscle Andrade to the canvas, threaten chokes, and overwhelm a much smaller foe who no longer scrambles with urgency. Recommendation: Jasudavicius ML and sub prop at juicy plus money.