Andy Lang advised eating the -205 on Karine Silva against short-notice opponent Diana Barbosa at UFC 319. Barbosa accepted the bout on roughly two weeks’ notice, while Silva has been in a full camp and is eager to rebound from her recent loss. Lang flagged Barbosa’s inability to get up after Miranda Maverick’s lone takedown as evidence Silva’s wrestling and top control will translate. Once grounded, Silva can either ride out rounds or hunt the submission, making her moneyline a safe parlay piece despite the juice.

Dan Tom said that Karine Silva should be treated as the clear side in the rematch with Diana Barbosa because, in his words, Silva "has evolved so much since that fight." Although he did not cite specific numbers, Tom stressed that the jump in Silva’s overall game since their first meeting justifies current chalk pricing and makes her a money-line or parlay piece rather than a fight to hunt for an upset. The takeaway for bettors is to back Silva if the line is anywhere near reasonable, fading the nostalgia for the underdog’s prior win.

Madlab Michael Lurato laid the –220 on Karine Silva despite her dropping a regional bout to Diana Barbosa years ago. He warned listeners not to over-weight that result because fighters evolve between fights, arguing Silva has ‘surpassed her as a fighter.’ Lurato likes Silva’s improved footwork, range management, and fluid striking, advantages that should be amplified in the full-size Octagon where Barbosa will struggle to corral her. He sees two realistic scripts: a competitive decision Silva edges or a runaway performance that makes –220 look cheap—either way, Silva gets her hand raised.

Matty Betss leaned toward Karine Silva despite the −230 price tag, projecting a decision win. He pointed to Silva’s well-rounded finishing resume – once mirroring Shavkat Rakhmonov with eight KOs and nine subs – and the fact she relocated full-time to the "Five Nerds" camp, a move Betss says has already cleaned up her takedown defense. Silva’s last setback to Viviane Araujo pushed her to tighten those holes. Although Barbosa owns a head-to-head win from years ago and is riding momentum, Betss argued Silva is now the cleaner striker, the stronger clinch athlete and benefits from world-class wrestling drilling at her new gym. He acknowledged Barbosa carries underdog value but still graded Silva the side for straight bets or parlays, expecting her cardio and defensive wrestling gains to show over 15 minutes.