Michael Bisping sided with Kevin Holland to edge Vicente Luque in what oddsmakers list as a pick-em welterweight opener. Holland’s lightning-fast turnaround—just ten weeks after dominating Gunnar Nelson—signals a level of focus Bisping says was missing when the Texan used to bounce between weight classes. At a rangy 81-inch reach, Holland will be six inches longer than Luque and owns the sharper jab/straight he showcased in London. Add in an underrated black-belt ground game that neutralized Nelson and the power that slept Santiago Ponzinibbio, and Bisping believes Holland can dictate range and steal scrambles. Luque still has dangerous darts (1-R sub of Renato Rimbos) but three losses in his last five, including knockouts by Joaquin Buckley and Geoff Neal, raise durability concerns. Bisping’s betting lean is Holland moneyline with a sprinkle on decision because Luque’s iron chin usually drags fights deep.

Guru took the over 10.75 fight-time minutes for Kevin Holland’s bout, stressing Holland’s historical toughness and tendency to go the distance. He reminded listeners that Holland has never been knocked out and usually survives bad grappling spots, so three full rounds are the most likely script. The prop cashes with anything longer than half of round 3, giving bettors a cushion if the fight reaches the cards.

Kunath predicted Kevin Holland will starch Vicente Luque, advising bettors to target the KO/TKO prop. He highlighted Holland’s four-inch reach edge, faster hands, and heavier single-strike power while noting Luque’s defensive flaws—stationary head, slower feet, and willingness to absorb punishment in pocket exchanges. Kunath pointed to Luque’s recent damage-laden wars and back-to-back knockouts from Jeff Neal and Joaquin Buckley as clear evidence the 33-year-old’s legendary chin has cracked. Because Luque rarely wrestles and Holland owns the length advantage, Kunath expects a range-kickboxing match that heavily favors the “Trailblazer.” Play Holland by KO or fight-doesn’t-go-the-distance at plus money.