Gumby Vreeland’s favorite plus-money prop was Lauren Murphy +3.5 on the judge’s scorecards at +150. While he concedes Murphy might get out-grappled for two rounds by Jessica Andrade (or “Mora” as he abbreviated), he believes the 40-year-old’s grit, clinch knees, and late cardio can still steal a frame. If Murphy secures even one 10-9, the spread cashes regardless of the official outcome. Gumby highlighted Murphy’s history of surviving fire (she went the distance with Valentina Shevchenko) and noted she consistently outlands opponents in round three. Given that her straight moneyline flirts with +250, the +3.5 offers a safer entry point while retaining almost the same payout.

Gumby Vreeland is firing on Lauren "Lucky" Murphy at +460 in what she says is her retirement fight. He reminded listeners that the only woman to ever truly dominate Murphy was Valentina Shevchenko—everyone else, including Miesha Tate, went 0-for-7 on takedowns and got pieced up on the feet. Vreeland doubts Mayra Bueno Silva can control Murphy on the mat after failing to keep Denice Gomes down at strawweight, a fight where Silva was badly out-boxed once her wrestling stalled. If Silva can’t get the takedown, Vreeland believes she has no finishing equity and will be forced into a 15-minute kickboxing match with the bigger, more experienced Murphy. Despite a 19-month layoff, Murphy has been training consistently for this send-off, and Vreeland thinks her legendary durability plus superior defensive wrestling make her a very live underdog. He’s taking the moneyline and sprinkling decision props.