Billy Ward wants to exploit Petr Yan’s notorious slow starts by grabbing Marcus McGhee at +3.5 points on the pre-fight spread (-105) and then hunting a discounted Yan money-line live after McGee likely pockets Round 1. Ward argued that the 35-year-old McGee is every bit as explosive and durable as teammate Sean O’Malley—who many believe lost to Yan despite the decision—and brings fight-changing power plus takedown defense that has yet to be cracked in the UFC. Meanwhile, Yan routinely surrenders the opening frame (the analyst coined it “Petr Yandez”) before turning up wrestling and pressure late. Ward expects a similar script here: McGee lands the more eye-catching shots early, cashing the +3.5, then Yan’s grinding clinch-and-trip game secures Rounds 2 and 3. If Yan drops to roughly -200 after the first stanza, Ward will pounce, aiming to cash both the spread bet and the live ML for a middle that pays no matter whose hand is raised.

Sniper recommended sprinkling Marcus McGee at $6,900 as a salary-saving punt. The bantamweight is 10-1 overall, 4-0 in the UFC and owns three finishes plus a dominant win over Jonathan Martinez, yet comes in as a +300 underdog. Sniper emphasized that Petr Yan’s "terrible fight IQ" leaves room for an upset; a McGee victory would almost certainly land him on the DraftKings optimal lineup. Even in a decision loss, McGee’s activity could produce 30–40 points—acceptable value for the price. Sniper will be overweight on McGee in tournaments while still acknowledging Yan wins the matchup a majority of the time.

For cash games, Kunath recommended Marcus McGhee at $6,900 as the punt who "probably loses but ideally goes the distance." In McGhee’s lone UFC fight he would have scored 41 DFS points had he lost, so a 25-30 point floor is realistic. That stability allows players to jam high-priced favorites while avoiding volatile exposure. Kunath made it clear he would not play McGhee in tournaments but likes him for salary relief in double-ups.

For the third leg of his PrizePicks card, Guru is fading volume, projecting Marcus McGee to land FEWER than 72.5 significant strikes. He believes McGee’s power-punch approach and finishing instincts will keep the bout from turning into a high-paced kickboxing match, making 73 lands unlikely.

Gumby Vreeland said the best way to attack this bantamweight matchup is to grab Marcus McGhee at +3.5 rounds on the point-spread prop (+120). Vreeland reminded listeners that Petr Yan notoriously gives away the opening frame while downloading reads—he has lost Round 1 on three of the four judges’ cards in his last two fights. McGhee, by contrast, fires immediately; he landed 30 significant strikes in the first five minutes against Jonathan Martinez and averages 6.8 per minute in Round 1 across his UFC tenure. Vreeland expects that early surge to bank McGhee a 10-9 before Yan’s championship experience takes over, meaning bettors only need McGhee to avoid a 30-26 or finish. He labeled the prop a “discounted way to fade Yan’s slow starts without having to call for the outright upset.”