Matt Perrault said the clearest way to bet Saturday’s co-main is Gamrot by decision at roughly –105. He pointed out that five of Gamrot’s last six bouts have hit the judges’ scorecards, including grind-heavy wins over Arman Tsarukyan, Jalen Turner, Rafael Fiziev and Rafael dos Anjos. The lone blemish in that stretch was a split-decision loss to a fading Dan Hooker last August, evidence Gamrot struggles to finish but rarely gets finished himself. Perrault noted the stylistic matchup—Gamrot’s wrestling and top control versus Ludovit Klein’s kick-boxing—should drag this three-rounder the full 15 minutes and reward Gamrot’s minute-winning style. Because the standard moneyline is –175, Perrault prefers the slimmer juice on the decision prop and will use it either straight or as a correlated SGP leg with over 2.5 rounds.

For UFC Vegas, Perrault is using Gamrot–Klein over 2.5 rounds (-330) as a parlay piece, pointing out that five of Gamrot’s last six have gone to the scorecards. The three-round co-main makes a finish even less likely. He added that Klein, riding a four-fight win streak, is a live dog because Gamrot’s last outing was a decision loss to a declining Dan Hooker. Bettors looking for plus money can sprinkle Klein ML while anchoring parlays with the over.

Matty Betss pushed back on the flood of Klein underdog tickets and argued Gamrot should be priced north of –200. He leaned decision at –110 but noted the submission prop sits at +750 and the trademark Gamrot kimura is a ridiculous 35-1 on BetMGM. Matty’s thesis: relentless shots win minutes regardless of early sprawls. Gamrot averages 4.8 takedowns per 15 minutes, racked up five against Dan Hooker and forced ten attempts versus Rafael Fiziev, numbers far above the lightweight average. Klein’s 90-percent takedown defense is inflated by short-notice opponents such as Roosevelt Roberts and Nicholas Motta; he has never faced a chain wrestler of Gamrot’s caliber. Even if Klein lands a flash knockdown—a real risk given Gamrot’s five career knockdowns suffered—Matty expects the Pole to survive, re-clamp the hips and steer a 29-28 scorecard. He advised sprinkling the long-shot kimura but making the decision prop the core betting angle.

JJ Carvalho pushed back on the Ludovit Klein hype train and backed Mateusz Gamrot by decision at roughly −115. Gamrot lands 4.83 takedowns per 15 minutes, averages 6:03 of control time and has gone the distance in five of his last six wins. JJ expects those wrestling numbers to translate against the smaller Klein, who is moving up from featherweight and defends takedowns at a modest 58 %. The mere threat of the level change should blunt Klein’s southpaw kicking game and open overhand rights for Gamrot on the feet. Klein has never been submitted, so Carvalho leans toward another grind-heavy 30-27 scorecard but noted Gamrot’s opportunistic kimura over Jeremy Stephens; the 35-1 kimura prop on BetMGM is his recommended sprinkle for long-shot hunters.

Kunath backed Mateusz Gamrot to beat Ludovit Klein by submission. Klein’s gaudy 91 % takedown-defense number is inflated by beating "burgers" who either cannot wrestle or shoot half-heartedly (Thiago Moises, Roosevelt Roberts). Gamrot, by contrast, gets in deep on singles against everyone—including elite grapplers like Arman Tsarukyan—and chains attempts until opponents hit the mat. Kunath acknowledged Gamrot is 33 and routinely gets rocked, but he recovers quickly and judges still reward the relentless wrestling. The smaller, shorter Klein could be harder to grab initially, yet Gamrot’s pace will force multiple shots, sap Klein’s cardio and create submission windows. Expect Gamrot to wrestle from the opening bell, wear Klein down with chained entries, then lock in a choke once Klein slows. Play Gamrot straight or take the plus-money Gamrot-by-submission prop.

Dan Tom said he is leaning to Mateusz Gamrot but wants some finishing equity in his betting slip. He reminded listeners that Gamrot never stops scrambling – the Pole “keeps transitioning, transitioning and transitioning” – which creates constant submission danger once Klein’s first-layer takedown defence is breached. Conversely, Gamrot has shown vulnerability to body-kick counters, a Klein specialty, so Tom believes either man could end things early. Because of that two-way finish potential he likes tying Gamrot’s money-line to the Under 2.5 rounds priced at +222 in a two-leg parlay or inserting the Under as a leg in his ‘four-or-five-fight round-robin’ builds. Tom’s logic: if Gamrot dominates he can snatch a choke, and if he is somehow wrong Klein’s knockout probably cashes the Under anyway. Actionable plan: bet Gamrot straight, then sprinkle the ML/Under combo or include Under 2.5 (+222) in small round-robins for extra juice.

Dan Tom spotlighted Mateusz Gamrot as a high-floor, high-ceiling DFS play because DraftKings scoring heavily rewards takedowns. Gamrot averages 5.03 takedowns per 15 minutes and, according to Tom, is "auto-programmed" to shoot whenever exchanges get dicey. In five Apex appearances he has logged 26 successful takedowns, good for 2.6 DraftKings points per shot before control time is even counted. Tom expects a similar volume here, emphasizing that Klein’s 90 % TDD is built on first-layer defense; once taken down, Klein “looks like a fish out of water.” Gamrot’s money-line (-160) implies a 61 % win probability, but DFS pricing often lags betting markets, so Tom urged managers to check if Gamrot’s salary sits in the mid-range. If it does, the combination of takedown volume and a likely decision win could put him on the optimal lineup even without a finish.

Madlab Michael Lurato laid out a clear betting roadmap for Mateusz Gamrot, preferring the ‘by decision’ angle at ‑120 over the juiced ‑160 money-line. Lurato expects Gamrot to "spam and spam and spam" takedowns for the full 15 minutes, leveraging the Apex’s smaller cage to suffocate Ludovit Klein’s kick-heavy striking game. He conceded Klein’s 90 % takedown-defense looks impressive on paper but noted that previous opponents weren’t chain-shooters of Gamrot’s caliber. Gamrot is 5-0 in Apex bouts (4-1 if you re-score the Sarukyan fight) and routinely wins minutes through top control even when he fails on initial entries. With Klein’s best win coming against Ignacio Bahamondes and his 1-2 record in the small cage, Madlab sees a grind-heavy Gamrot victory as the most probable outcome and advised bettors to target the decision prop or look for Gamrot money-line only if it drops below ‑150.

MMA Guru picked Mateusz Gamrot to beat Ludovit Klein, citing a decisive wrestling-cardio edge and noticeable size difference. Klein, a former featherweight, carries an explosive fast-twitch frame that produces highlight moments but fades—he gassed and was subbed by Nate Landwehr, fought Jai Herbert to a majority draw and almost let Roosevelt Roberts steal a decision. Guru acknowledged Gamrot’s tendency to get clipped (spinning back-fist vs Tsarukyan, late hooks from Hooker) yet highlighted that the Pole has never been knocked out and instantly forces takedowns after being hurt. With months in camp looking for a fight, Guru anticipates Klein landing a few sharp body kicks early before Gamrot chains singles into mat returns, draining Klein and cruising to a clear decision or late submission. He thinks the current ‑175 price undersells Gamrot’s "world-class" floor and recommends using him as a parlay anchor.

MMA Guru said the current line is underrating Mateusz Gamrot and overvaluing Ludovit Klein—he believes Klein should be +200 or longer. Guru emphasized that Gamrot is “world-class” everywhere, pointing to moments where he was actually out-striking Rafael Fiziev and stinging Dan Hooker between the brief knockdowns everyone remembers. Even when hurt, Gamrot instantly shoots, forcing opponents to grapple while they are still recovering from their own offense. Guru expects a familiar script Saturday: Klein lands something clean in the first, realizes Gamrot is already on his hips, then slows down. Once the Slovak’s cardio dips, Gamrot’s combination of underrated boxing volume, chain wrestling and top control should snowball. The pick is Gamrot to sweep Rounds 2 and 3 or secure a Round-3 finish; Guru recommended betting the moneyline now before it balloons and sprinkling ‘Gamrot Round 3 / Decision’ props for extra value.