Sean Zerillo identified Michael Chandler as a predictable fade for live betting opportunities after round one against Paddy Pimblett at UFC 314. Zerillo underlined Chandler's notorious habit of throwing exhausting, powerful strikes early and frequently gassing out considerably in later rounds. Zerillo noted historically profitable situations betting against Chandler live in fights like Dustin Poirier, where Chandler depleted his energy reserves after aggressive opening rounds. Zerillo acknowledged Chandler's second wind against Charles Oliveira but maintained that generally, Chandler’s energy expenditure leads to quick deterioration in performance. Zerillo indicated potential for Pimblett to capitalize with durability, size advantages, and late-round finish opportunities.

Kunath strongly recommended fading Michael Chandler in DFS lineups at UFC 314, despite Chandler's attractive price ($7800) and five-round fight opportunity. He views Chandler as severely outmatched against Paddy Pimblett, explicitly making the case that Pimblett has a high probability of replicating Dustin Poirier's rear-naked choke victory over Chandler. Given Chandler's vulnerability to submissions—even from less submission-oriented fighters—Kunath stated clearly that Chandler should not be included in DFS lineup builds due to low confidence and poor winning probability.

Michael Bisping strongly doubts Michael Chandler will attempt takedowns against Paddy Pimblett, despite Chandler's high-level wrestling backgrounds. Chandler rarely utilizes wrestling offensively in fights, and Bisping suggests the recent performance of Bobby Green, quickly submitted by Pimblett, will dissuade Chandler further. Specifically, Bisping recalled how Paddy Pimblett cinched a tight triangle-armbar on Green after shooting in for a takedown, serving as a clear deterrent. Thus, Bisping concludes Chandler likely avoids offensive grappling altogether, preferring a striking-focused attack against Pimblett to limit submission risk.

Michael Bisping sees Michael Chandler as a significant knockout threat against Paddy Pimblett at UFC 314. Even though Bisping ultimately predicts a decision loss for Chandler, he clarified that any stoppage in the fight would come from Chandler, due to his power, experience, and aggressive style. Chandler possesses strong knockout capabilities exemplified by significant performances against fighters like Dustin Poirier, Justin Gaethje, and Charles Oliveira. Bisping highlights Chandler's straightforward punching as problematic against Pimblett's tendency to leave his chin exposed while throwing looping strikes. Although Bisping's official pick is Pimblett by decision, he warns there is a realistic scenario where Chandler closes distance effectively and lands a fight-ending right hand.

Matty Betss warns strongly against backing Michael Chandler due to his consistent history of losing winnable fights, particularly in high-profile matchups. Despite acknowledging Chandler's exciting fight style and his promotional charisma, Matty stresses Chandler frequently sabotages himself, making critical strategic mistakes at key moments. Facing the rapidly improving Paddy Pimblett, Matty confidently labels Chandler as a fighter who 'finds ways to lose,' emphasizing the UFC's favorable matchmaking for Pimblett on pay-per-view to elevate his star potential, thus strongly steering bettors away from Chandler.

Kyle Anthony recommends fading Michael Chandler at +122 odds against Paddy Pimblett, presenting Chandler as clearly past his prime and trending downward. Anthony highlights Chandler's poor 1-4 recent record, with the lone victory coming against a diminished Tony Ferguson. More troublingly, Anthony notes Chandler appeared 'flat and terrible' in a recent matchup against Charles Oliveira, being dominated via wrestling (5 takedowns and roughly 15 minutes of control time conceded). Anthony further criticizes Chandler's reckless striking, sloppy technique, and reliance solely on athleticism and explosive power. Anthony suggests these weaknesses in wrestling and discipline will allow Pimblett, who has well-rounded grappling, superior ground skills, faster hands, youth, and physical advantages, to dictate the fight pace, exploit wrestling opportunities, and ultimately win convincingly.

The Weasle thinks Michael Chandler should defeat Paddy Pimblett via first-round knockout—but emphasizes this is contingent on Chandler fighting strategically and abandoning his recent reckless 'showmanship' style. Chandler possesses clear skill advantages: powerful punching, good wrestling, explosive athleticism, and effective pressure style—attributes particularly dangerous given Pimblett's mediocre striking defense, stationary stance, and lower-level wrestling. Chandler is desperate, coming off two consecutive losses and needing to protect his UFC career with a crucial win. Assuming Chandler recognizes the urgency and listens to his coaches, fighting disciplined instead of chasing entertainment, he should easily score a KO finish in the first round.

Drew Martin identifies value in betting on Michael Chandler at plus 130 odds versus Patty Pimblett. He believes Pimblett is stepping up significantly in competition, and Chandler's skill and experience represent a notable gap. With Chandler priced as an underdog, Drew finds Chandler's line to be undervalued, recommending a bet at plus money due to Chandler's edge in class, experience, and overall ability. He explicitly calls out the odds as appealing, reinforcing the recommendation as a good UFC wager.

Drake Burden identifies Michael Chandler as a compelling underdog and DFS target, given his explosive power, superior wrestling credentials, and athleticism compared to Paddy Pimblett. Pimblett has shown vulnerabilities against high-level opponents, thus Burden anticipates Chandler dictating the fight's pace and having an excellent opportunity for an early finish. Chandler's ability to strike powerfully and control the grappling exchanges makes him an appealing high-upside DFS target.

Cody Saftic believes Michael Chandler has notable betting upside at plus money against Paddy Pimblett, citing numerous favorable factors beyond skill advantage alone. He argues matchmaking favors Chandler, describing Paddy as a weaker, 'McGregor-lite' opponent given to Chandler by UFC partly as compensation for missing the McGregor fight. The bout being placed in Florida rather than Pimblett's UK is also a strong betting factor, providing Chandler with hometown crowd advantage, energy, and motivation. Chandler has proven durability, elite-level experience against fighters like Gaethje, Poirier, and Oliveira, and a well-tested five-round capability. Saftic emphasizes Pimblett's cardio concerns, evident in previous cage warriors bouts like his fight against Julian Erosa, suggesting Pimblett won't handle Chandler's early pressure and late-round stamina. All these contextual advantages make the current plus money line highly attractive to Cody.

Paul Shaughnessy sees significant betting value in Michael Chandler winning late against Paddy Pimblett, highlighting attractive round four (+2800) and round five (+3300) props. Chandler's ability to regain stamina late was evident in his recent five-round bout against Charles Oliveira, where he hurt Oliveira in the last round despite being out for two years pursuing a Conor McGregor fight. Paul emphasizes Pimblett's questionable cardio, notably his fatigue against Tony Ferguson in round three, a substantially older opponent past his prime. Paul points out Chandler has proven his stamina and resilience through wars with elite fighters, including Eddie Alvarez in Bellator, and believes Chandler will push Pimblett to a level of intensity he can't sustain over five rounds. Paul expects Chandler's pace, cardio, and skill advantages to come through late in the fight, making these long-shot late-round finish odds particularly appealing.

Georges St-Pierre sees clear betting value in Michael Chandler as a plus-money underdog (+125) against Paddy Pimblett, particularly for those expecting an early knockout. While Chandler's aggression and explosive power early on present strong knockout potential, Pimblett's evasiveness and grappling could help him withstand the early onslaught. GSP acknowledged surprise at the odds set significantly against Chandler given his proven power. For bettors predicting Chandler lands early with a knockout, GSP sees excellent value at Chandler's underdog odds.

Jon Anik believes that Michael Chandler, priced at +130, offers genuine betting value even as an underdog against Paddy Pimblett. Anik noted Chandler's relentless pressure, incredible conditioning, and enduring commitment, highlighting his durability and competitiveness even while absorbing punishment in previous fights. Anik emphasized the matchup difficulty for Pimblett, acknowledging Chandler's extensive experience at the highest levels, and his ability to merge elite performance with exciting, crowd-pleasing fighting style. Despite questions raised about recent decreased aggression, Anik firmly stated Chandler remains highly motivated to win at all costs, providing an actionable insight for bettors interested in underdog value opportunities.

Jon Anik feels strongly that Michael Chandler remains highly motivated and committed despite recent setbacks. Anik adamantly dismissed the idea of Chandler losing his competitive edge or prioritizing entertainment over victories. He praised Chandler's unmatched conditioning, relentless resilience, and longstanding history of high-level performances, including a gutsy showing against Oliveira despite sustaining damage. Anik stressed Chandler's rare combination of elite skill-level and fan-friendly aggressive style, reinforcing that Chandler views this fight as critical and career-defining, making him a compelling underdog play at +130 odds against Paddy Pimblett. Anik confidently projected Chandler has significantly more than three fights left in him, indicative of his ongoing hunger and commitment to succeed at UFC's highest level.