Michael Lurato said Neil Magny is a live money-line dog because of a seven-inch reach edge that lets him snipe from range until he chooses to close distance. Lurato trusts Magny’s veteran cage-craft once the fight hits the fence, noting he is the “better cage fighter” there and can bank control time if Dos Santos accepts bottom position, something Lurato has repeatedly seen on tape. Dos Santos, in Lurato’s view, is accumulating visible damage each outing, while Magny can still reset and grind even if his game plans are imperfect. The recommendation is to take the underdog shot on Magny rather than lay chalk on Dos Santos.

Sniper said Neil Magny is the one underdog you almost have to click on DraftKings this week. Magny is just $7,400 while Zaleski comes in at a slate-high $8,800 even though both men have been dreadful fantasy scorers. Zaleski averages 10-20 % fewer DK points per win than the divisional mean and has topped 96 points only twice in 11 UFC victories. Magny, by contrast, carries the higher pace, defends takedowns at 53 % and is somehow the younger fighter despite the mileage. Sniper noted each man is 1-3 in his last four, so the –200 money-line on Zaleski is pure recency bias. The bout is –150 to go to decision, making a Magny grind-it-out win likely. Sniper plans to bet Magny outright, lock him into cash builds, make him a primary GPP piece, and be ‘damn near’ fade on Zaleski because paying top dollar for a low-ceiling striker makes no sense here.

Kunath said this is the first time in years the UFC has given Neil Magny a fair stylistic draw after throwing him at Ian Garry, Shavkat Rakhmonov, Michael Morales and other killers. Magny is the younger man, carries a clear height-and-reach edge and owns the kind of grind-heavy clinch game that lets him pile up knees, elbows, short punches and trip takedowns without gassing. Kunath acknowledged Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos could bank a few early calf-kicks against Magny’s skinny legs but insisted Zaleski will have to crash distance – exactly where Magny does his best work. Magny’s steadier pace should sap Zaleski over 15 minutes, letting ‘Uncle Neil’ pull away on the cards. The pick is Magny by decision, an angle Kunath believes cashes both Magny’s money-line and the Magny-by-decision prop.

Labeling it his favorite wager of the card, Kunath urged listeners to grab Neil Magny at +170 in what he called the “AARP fight of the week.” Magny has weathered a murderer’s-row schedule— Ian Garry, Shavkat Rakhmonov, Michael Morales, Mike Malott— yet still upset Malott and remains the division’s consummate gatekeeper. Kunath believes that depth of experience, Magny’s jab-and-clinch style, and his ability to drag fights deep make him undervalued against an aging peer (opponent not named in this clip). He expects the line to tighten and recommends locking in the moneyline while the veteran sits at dog odds.

Gumby Vreeland is grabbing Neil Magny at +175, arguing the line underrates him and overreacts to a brutal schedule. Magny’s recent 2-6 skid came only to killers—Carlos Prates, Michael Morales, Ian Machado Garry, Gilbert Burns, and Shavkat Rakhmonov—while he still beats fringe-top-15 names like Phil Rowe and Mike Malott. Vreeland emphasized Magny’s seven-inch reach edge and underrated clinch-wrestling: Zaleski’s spinning and wild attacks leave him ‘easy to level-change under,’ and Magny routinely drags foes down off those misses. Meanwhile Zaleski is 1-2 in his last three, was just knocked out by Chidi Njokuani, and owns only a decision over short-notice Zach Scroggins since 2022. Vreeland expects Magny to mix long jabs with mat returns, bank minutes, and either win a grindy decision or find a late submission, making the Haitian Sensation ‘a live dog worth a straight bet.’