Billy Ward strongly recommended betting Patricio Freire's finish-only prop at plus 110 versus Yair Rodriguez at UFC 314. Ward explained that Freire possesses significantly more raw power and fight-ending capability compared to Yair, who relies on flashy techniques rather than consistent finishing power. Ward emphasized his preference for splitting bets between the standard moneyline and finish-only lines because Rodriguez's unpredictable, flashy striking could impress judges disproportionately during a decision, despite Pitbull likely having the bigger moments and power advantage. Therefore, the finish-only angle neatly covers the scenario where Pitbull clearly dominates but gets robbed on the scorecards due to questionable judging.

Billy Ward further strengthened his conviction on betting Patricio Freire at UFC 314 by detailing Yair Rodriguez's tendency to make irresponsible decisions on the ground. Ward explained that Rodriguez often sacrifices position seeking flashy and low-percentage submission attempts such as quick triangles, rather than escaping bad positions and regaining control. Against Pitbull, a smart fighter known for his grappling edge and methodical positional control, these inferior decisions could leave Rodriguez trapped beneath Pitbull, taking prolonged punishment. Ward views this critical grappling exploitation as another reason Pitbull offers exceptional value at underdog prices.

Billy Ward highlighted Patricio Freire's calf kicking as a significant factor in his matchup against Yair Rodriguez at UFC 314. Ward described Pitbull as one of the earliest adopters of powerful calf kicks, which will be particularly dangerous against Rodriguez's style of consistently bouncing between legs. Ward believes Pitbull will successfully exploit moments when Yair shifts weight onto one leg, severely compromising his mobility and neutralizing his flashy spinning attacks. Despite Pitbull's usual approach allowing opponents some space, Ward sees the leg-kick game as a direct stylistic trump card against Rodriguez's kicking-heavy taekwondo approach.

Sean Zerillo confidently recommended taking underdog Patricio 'Pitbull' Freire in his matchup against Yair Rodriguez at UFC 314. Despite Freire's advancing age at 37, Zerillo praised his smart fighting style and significant grappling edge. Zerillo specifically emphasized Rodriguez's visible discomfort trading strikes when opponents pressure aggressively and grapple, noting Yair's historical adversity response issues aside from the Holloway bout. Zerillo expects Patricio's persistent forward movement, comprehensive grappling skill, and intelligent fight IQ to disrupt Rodriguez's preferred distance-control kicking game, ultimately providing clear value at Freire's current plus-money odds.

Kunath loves the value on Patricio Freire as he makes his UFC debut against Yair Rodriguez. Despite being older, Kunath emphasizes Patricio Pitbull's vast experience, championship pedigree, high durability, and track record of handling elite competition across many fighting styles. He specifically highlights Pitbull's strong fundamentals, fight IQ, and ability to win tight rounds and swing judges' decisions. Kunath also notes Rodriguez has struggled when opponents press forward aggressively, referencing Volkanovski and Ortega fights as key examples. As Pitbull typically excels at pressure and has underrated wrestling upside, Kunath confidently picks Pitbull to control the fight, land impactful strikes, neutralize Rodriguez's striking variety, and win by decision. Given Pitbull's underdog odds despite his credentials, Kunath identifies this as a strong betting spot.

Bedtime MMA confidently picks Patricio 'Pitbull' Freire to secure a second- or third-round TKO victory against Yair Rodriguez, emphasizing the 'Bellator plot armor' concept of fighters successfully debuting in the UFC from Bellator. He points out Rodriguez's vulnerability in grappling exchanges, specifically criticizing instances where Rodriguez was wrestled convincingly by less capable grapplers such as Jeremy Stephens and Max Holloway. Bedtime MMA also notes Pitbull's composure, championship rounds experience, superior cardio, and way better grappling. He predicts Pitbull will weather Rodriguez's dangerous early-round offense and spinning attacks, eventually clipping Rodriguez with counter punches, particularly a right hand over the top during exchanges. Expecting Rodriguez's cardio issues to surface mid-fight, Bedtime believes Pitbull will seize the opportunity to hurt Yair with strikes and elbows against the cage, ultimately leading to a TKO stoppage.

Matty Betss strongly advises bettors not to back Patricio 'Pitbull' Freire despite incoming hype ahead of his UFC debut against Yair Rodriguez. Matty identifies 'Pitbull' and Darren Elkins as the two major underdog traps of UFC 314. Although recognizing Pitbull as a popular fighter with notable victories from his Bellator career, Matty highlights his very low striking volume and KO-dependent style as ill-suited against Rodriguez's high-volume and dynamic kicking game. Matty cautions bettors not to fall for Pitbull's name recognition and inflated appeal, strongly preferring a bet on Rodriguez by decision instead.