For the second leg of his plus-1300 parlay, Vreeland took Estevam by KO/TKO at +300 over Felipe Bunez. He observed that in Estevam's recent bouts the Brazilian has preferred to posture up and hammer away from dominant positions instead of chasing submissions, producing several ground-and-pound stoppages. Bunez has struggled to defend off his back and gets overwhelmed when forced to turtle, a scenario Vreeland believes Estevam will replicate once he times a level-change. Given the stylistic lean toward punches and elbows rather than chokes, Vreeland feels the KO/TKO prop captures most of Estevan’s win equity at attractive odds.

Madlab Michael Lurato likes Rafael Estevam despite the –500 money-line and prefers attacking decision or TKO props to improve the number. He praised Estevam’s rare flyweight ability to hold position—"position before submission," heavy hip pressure and relentless chain wrestling—qualities that make control wrestlers scarce at 125. Lurato pointed out that Felipe Bunes’ weakest phase is defensive wrestling, so he expects Estevam to stack up long top-control stretches for a clear 30-27 or possibly pound out a late stoppage. The tout’s advice: skip the inflated straight price and use props or parlays to squeeze value out of Estevam’s stylistic edge.

THE MMA GURU backed undefeated Rafael Estevam to out-grapple Felipe Bunes and win 29-28. Estevam is 13-0, took the Charles Johnson fight on short notice, and even missing weight there was framed by Guru as a built-in size advantage that could repeat this week. Guru expects Estevam to chain takedowns, secure back control and threaten submissions while Bunes—who was "messed up" by Joshua Van—struggles off his back. He did caution that Estevam’s low damage output can invite a tough third round, but projected the first two frames to be dominant enough for a comfortable decision. Bettors were urged to trust Estevam straight up and consider decision props.