Sean Zerillo labeled Viviane Araujo a live underdog at +210 in a women’s flyweight match he expects to hit the cards (-600 to go to decision). Araujo is the larger athlete with a three-inch reach advantage and throws more volume at distance (5.6 significant strikes landed per minute vs. 5.0 for Cortez). Although Cortez is the cleaner boxer by differential (+0.5 per minute), she never pushes pace, which mitigates Araujo’s well-known cardio fade after round one. Zerillo noted both women attempt takedowns at similar rates, but Araujo owns the better defensive mark and should be at least as likely to secure top position. He thinks Araujo wins the first 10 minutes on activity and physicality, leaving judges to decide whether Cortez’s probable late control outweighs that work. Because of the divisional tendency for tight scorecards and the durable profiles of both fighters, Zerillo is simply taking the plus-money side on the money-line and hoping the judges reward Araujo’s early output.