Jake Butt advised fading the chalky –170 price on Detroit to go defensive line at pick 28 and instead firing on longer‑shot position markets. He highlighted +1,300 for the Lions’ first pick to be a cornerback and a juicy +3,800 for safety, reminding listeners that Detroit’s pass defense ranked 28th in EPA allowed and still lacks high‑end athleticism on the back end. Butt added that Brad Holmes has already shown a willingness to buck consensus (see Jameer Gibbs at 12) and could easily pivot if an elite DB prospect—Cooper DeJean or Malaki Starks—slides. He even sprinkled +210 on offensive line, citing Dan Campbell’s obsession with interior depth and the aging of Graham Glasgow and Kevin Zeitler. Butt’s takeaway: do not eat the defensive‑line juice in such a volatile late‑first range; the secondary and trench longshots offer far better value.

Jake Butt urged bettors to sprinkle on Omarion Hampton to be the first running back off the board, calling the +550 price (available at several books) far too long. Butt noted multiple front offices have a higher grade on Hampton than Ashton Jeanty because Hampton combines 225‑pound tackle‑breaking power with legit 4.46 speed, finishing 2024 top‑five in missed tackles forced (86) and yards after contact per rush (4.2). He also pointed out Hampton’s 31‑catch season answered any doubts about third‑down utility, something analytics‑driven teams covet. With several RB‑needy franchises—Arizona, Washington, and Cincinnati—selecting between picks 20‑32, Butt believes one could prioritize Hampton’s every‑down profile and take him ahead of Jeanty at plus odds.

Jake Butt said the over/under on running backs selected in Round 1 sits at 2.5 and declared TreVeyon Henderson the key to cashing the over. Butt already considers Ashton Jeanty and Omarion Hampton mortal locks for Thursday night, so Henderson simply has to sneak into picks 25‑32 for the over to hit. He argued that Henderson “checks every box” NFL scouts care about: explosive long‑speed that mirrors Jahmyr Gibbs, reliable hands (54 career receptions), and pass‑pro chops that let him stay on the field all three downs. Butt added that Henderson’s 6.7 yards per touch and 18 touchdowns last season prove the big‑play juice is real, while coaches rave about his work ethic and locker‑room fit. With back‑end playoff teams such as Dallas, Baltimore, and Kansas City needing juice at running back, Butt expects a late‑first run on skill talent and is betting both Henderson Round 1 at plus‑money and the board‑wide ‘Over 2.5 RBs’ prop.

Jake Butt said Shedeur Sanders remains a clear first‑tier quarterback prospect and urged bettors to attack multiple draft‑prop markets. Butt recommended sprinkling 10–20 dollars on Sanders to go 2nd overall at +1400, playing him to be selected in the top‑5 at +275, and making the main position “under 8.5 draft slot” at +240. He believes front offices are over‑analyzing arm strength while ignoring Sanders’ elite accuracy and decision making: 1.3 % turnover‑worthy play rate (3rd‑best in FBS), 2.5 % under pressure (8th), and top‑3 red‑zone passer rating. Despite a “horrendous” Colorado offensive line, Sanders repeatedly delivered on‑time throws inside an NFL‑style system called by Pat Shurmur. Butt highlighted adequate pocket mobility, quick processing, and a proven willingness to absorb hits, calling him a day‑one starter. He sees Saints, Giants, or even Browns trading up, so the under 8.5 ticket captures several realistic landing spots while the longer‑odds plays offer ceiling value.