Perrault is bucking early money that pushed the total from 6.5 to 6, betting over 6 in Game 1. He expects an up-tempo series and sees solid push equity with a 4-2 or 5-2 finish given empty-net scenarios. While the season series sits 2-1-1 to the under, he notes Vegas has found timely offense in two straight playoff wins and believes Edmonton’s elite power play will force a more open style than Minnesota did. He leans VGK moneyline as well but prefers the total at plus juice.

Matt Perrault said he likes the Golden Knights tonight but only at the right price. The overnight money-line has climbed to –135, a number he called ‘a little too steep.’ Perrault’s plan is to wait for day-of action to knock the tag down to roughly –120, where he will fire a full unit on Vegas. He believes recreational bettors will jump on Edmonton after their power-play barrage against Minnesota, which could push the Knights back toward his buy point. Until that happens he will pass pre-flop and look for an in-game entry or the cheaper pregame –120 he expects to appear once market limits rise this afternoon.