Matt Youmans advised sticking with Pittsburgh +2.5 (he grabbed +3 early) because the matchup tilts toward Mike Tomlin’s squad. Aaron Rodgers is officially questionable with a hairline fracture in his non-throwing wrist, and Youmans argued the offense may actually improve if Mason Rudolph starts after going 12-of-16 for 127 yards and a TD off the bench last week. Chicago’s defense is down three starting linebackers—Tremaine Edmunds, T.J. Edwards, and Noah Sewell—leaving the middle of the field exposed. Although the Bears sit at 7-3 thanks to a league-best +16 turnover margin, five wins have come by five points or fewer, a profile Youmans called “ripe for regression.” He expects Pittsburgh’s pass rush to bother Justin Fields and trusts Tomlin’s 73% ATS record as an underdog.