Ian MacMillan highlighted Keegan Bradley as his lone long-shot stab, grabbing 100-to-1 while the number is available. Bradley ranks third worldwide in True Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green over the past three months, a metric MacMillan believes is vital at Oakmont where every shot demands precision. Bradley’s length off the tee alleviates the par-70, 7,372-yard stretch, and if the putter cooperates—his weakest club in 2025—MacMillan thinks he can realistically contend. Beyond the stats, the narrative of the current U.S. Ryder Cup captain lifting the national championship adds an extra angle, but the bet is grounded in ball-striking form that places him beside the game’s elite recently.

Ian MacMillan advised treating Scottie Scheffler as a lone ‘single-bullet’ wager at Oakmont, staking two units or more at the current +260 outright price. He converted the odds to a 24-25 % implied win probability and argued Scheffler should be closer to 2-to-1 given his current Tiger-like run: Memorial win, PGA Championship win, Byron Nelson win, and T4 at Colonial. Statistically Scheffler checks every box Oakmont demands—he leads the Tour in bogey avoidance, sits top-15 in three-putt avoidance, and continues to gain strokes with a putter that had been his only weakness a year ago. Oakmont’s length, tight driving corridors, and penal greens amplify those strengths, so MacMillan believes ignoring Scheffler or sprinkling small outrights elsewhere is ‘betting malpractice.’ Bettors not wanting heavy exposure can hedge by betting the “winner without Scheffler” market, but MacMillan himself is firing the full outright.