After one report labeled Chris Godwin ‘uncertain for Week 1,’ his best-ball ADP plummeted. Hewitt thinks that’s irrational: even if Godwin misses the opener, you still bank 15 healthy weeks of a target-magnet wideout. He’s taking advantage of the dip, arguing that drafters overweight nebulous early-season availability while ignoring full-season upside in half-PPR formats.

Kyle Hewitt said George Kittle was flat-out mispriced when best-ball lobbies first opened, noting Kittle’s ADP sat around 67 overall—more than 30 spots below where it has since corrected to 36. Hewitt hammered early drafts to scoop that discount and framed it as a textbook example of why drafting before consensus solidifies can create instant equity. The takeaway is clear: whenever Kittle slips relative to current mid-third-round consensus, you pounce, because the market has already told you it was wrong the first time.

Kyle Hewitt explained that best-ball drafts are won and lost on correlated week-17 explosions. If you open a draft by selecting Ja'Marr Chase, he said you must be willing to spend early capital on Joe Burrow to lock in the Bengals stack rather than hoping Burrow makes it back at ADP. Hewitt added that savvy drafters will often "snipe" Burrow specifically to block the stack and lower your lineup’s ceiling, so reaching a round ahead is justified. His reasoning: Burrow-Chase posted the second-highest combined single-game score in 2024 (73.4 DK points) and Cincinnati closes 2025 at home against a Pittsburgh defense that allowed 8.1 yards per attempt after their bye. That matchup-driven correlation plus historical spike-week data makes chasing the stack worth the opportunity cost.