Guy Boston advises targeting San Diego Padres team total over 3.5 runs, primarily due to their strong matchup against Cleveland's Luis Ortiz. Ortiz historically struggles against this Padres lineup, posting a .330 expected batting average and .530 slugging percentage across nearly 60 plate appearances. Ortiz predominantly throws fastballs and sliders—pitch types San Diego's lineup excels against, ranking Number One in runs above average versus sliders last season. Boston acknowledges Kyle Hart's questionable pitching resume for San Diego but still confidently recommends betting the Padres team total given Ortiz's tendencies and the Padres' recent dominance sweeping Atlanta.