Spector took New England at +100, citing a re-discovered 30-point offense that ran 29 times to just 23 passes in a win at Miami, snapping a five-game road skid. He contrasted that with Pittsburgh allowing 30+ points in consecutive weeks for the first time since 2002 while yielding 182 rushing yards to the Jets and an 8.1 yards-per-carry beating from Kenneth Walker III. Steelers quarterbacks were pressured on 38% of dropbacks and mustered only 4.7 yards per attempt. With market odds implying a coin-flip, Spector believes the Patriots’ rush-first game plan matches perfectly against a soft Steelers front and warrants a play at even money.

With books originally listing Pittsburgh as a 1-point favorite, Cluff flipped the script, projecting Patriots 20-17 behind Drake Maye. He believes New England’s offense does just enough at home to move above .500, recommending a moneyline swing on the slight dog-turned-favorite.