R.J. White is laying the 6.5 with Green Bay, saying last week’s shock loss to Cleveland should serve as a wake-up call. He noted Dak Prescott looked shaky versus a mediocre Chicago secondary, tossing multiple picks, and now faces what White labels the league’s best defense in a Micah Parsons revenge-narrative spot. White, who owns a 718-623-37 ATS record since 2017 and is 77-32-22 on his last 121 Packers sides, would play the number down to ‑6.

R.J. White endorsed Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, citing a realistic path to 2,000 yards from scrimmage—and potentially even 2,000 rushing yards—in Atlanta’s run-centric scheme. White compared the possible stat line to Christian McCaffrey’s award-winning season and believes Robinson’s usage ceiling in Arthur Smith’s offense justifies an aggressive futures ticket.

R.J. White backed Patrick Mahomes at +700 to pace the league in passing yards. He noted Mahomes had only four games with Rashee Rice and just two with Marquise Brown last season, while first-round rookie Xavier Worthy needed time to develop. With Rice potentially available for more than half the season, Brown stretching the field from Week 1, and Worthy entering year two of the scheme, White expects a much better receiver situation. Mahomes has averaged 300-plus passing yards per game three separate seasons, and White thinks that ceiling is back in play, offering better value than the shorter-priced favorites.

R.J. White bet Bijan Robinson at +900 to lead the league in rushing touchdowns. Robinson finished just two scores off the top as a rookie and erupted for six TDs in a three-game stretch once the Falcons’ line was intact. White projects Atlanta to lean even harder on Robinson and thinks 15-plus touchdowns is the median outcome, making 9-to-1 excellent value.

R.J. White took Dak Prescott at +900 in the 40-plus touchdown market. White doubts many quarterbacks even sniff 40, so he wants a generous payoff and Prescott fits. Dallas’ running back room is unsettled, which pushes red-zone work toward the passing game. With CeeDee Lamb and newly acquired George Pickens stretching the field, White expects a mix of goal-line play-action scores and long bombs to give Prescott a legitimate chance to hit 40 TDs relative to the price.

R.J. White grabbed Patrick Mahomes at +1000 to finish as the passing-yards leader. Mahomes has topped 300 yards per game in three different seasons and White blames the recent dip on receiver injuries and shaky left-tackle play. With Rashee Rice expected back, rookie LT Josh Simmons in the fold, and Jalen Moore providing depth, White expects Kansas City to stay pass-first because the ground game still doesn’t scare anyone. The healthier supporting cast plus a throw-heavy scheme gives Mahomes 5,000-yard upside at a double-digit price.

R.J. White bet Drake London under 7.5 receiving touchdowns. New quarterback Pennington reached the end zone in only one of three starts last year and still faces unclear efficiency over a full season. London scored just six times across his first 33 games and now lacks a secondary threat to draw coverage. White expects tight windows near the goal line and sees little evidence London suddenly posts eight TDs in what projects as a middling Atlanta offense.

R.J. White took Bijan Robinson over 1,150.5 rushing yards at –120 and would still play it at 1,200. He reminded listeners that Robinson piled up 1,450 yards last year even though his first 20-carry game didn’t come until Week 7; from that point forward he was on a 1,663-yard pace. With an inexperienced quarterback and limited pass-catching depth behind Drake London, White expects Arthur Smith to lean on Robinson from the opening whistle. Robinson’s line sits below those of Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry and Jonathan Taylor despite White’s projection that the Falcon back could lead the entire league in rushing.

R.J. White played David Njoku UNDER 5.5 receiving touchdowns at ‑120. He argues the market is pricing in last year’s six-score outlier that was fueled by Joe Flacco’s late-season YOLO stretch. White doubts a 40-year-old Flacco will start—or play as aggressively—over a full season, and he expects rookie Harold Fannin to siphon red-zone snaps as the year progresses. Njoku has surpassed five TDs only once in his career, so White views 5.5 as an inflated number that assumes the friendliest quarterback scenario. With a likely QB carousel and added target competition, he sees the under as the sharper bet.

R.J. White labeled Chicago his favorite NFC sleeper to make the postseason and bet the Bears “Yes” at +155, saying the price should be near even money. He acknowledges stiff NFC West competition but believes Ben Johnson’s offense, an upgraded defense under Dennis Allen and a weakened Lions/Vikings duo keep Chicago firmly in the wild-card mix. The line offers nearly a 60-cent edge versus his projection.

R.J. White also backed the Bears over 8.5 wins, noting he faded them at the same number last year but now sees a better coaching staff, sturdier offensive line and richer weapon group. With Ben Johnson calling plays and Caleb Williams expected to take a year-two leap, White believes Chicago should actually be favored to exceed 8.5, especially with both the Lions and Vikings likely regressing.

R.J. White recommended betting Caleb Williams to clear 3,550.5 passing yards and sprinkling the 4,000-plus alternate at +200. White noted that Jared Goff averaged more than 4,500 yards in Ben Johnson’s offenses even with Detroit leaning run-heavy, so a Williams line nearly 1,000 yards lower is a mis-price. Chicago invested in premium pass catchers Luther Burden and Colston Loveland, retained DJ Moore and added receiving back DeAndre Swift, giving Williams chain-moving options between the 20s. White prefers yards to touchdowns because Williams’ mobility could cap passing scores near the goal line but shouldn’t affect raw yardage totals.

R.J. White prefers Dak Prescott at roughly +350 for Comeback Player of the Year over Trevor Lawrence. He argued that Prescott owns genuine MVP-caliber production ceilings we have not yet seen from Lawrence and returns to an offense loaded with firepower, boosting counting stats that sway award voters. White acknowledged the market’s QB bias and cited voters’ history of ignoring the AP’s formal criteria, meaning Prescott’s bounce-back narrative from last year’s late-season injury plus his potential gaudy numbers give him a stronger path than any other candidate despite the shorter odds.

R.J. White leaned to the under 7.5 wins at even money for Jacksonville. He detailed a brutal start: after a winnable opener with Carolina, the Jags face Cincinnati, Houston, San Francisco, Kansas City, Seattle and the Rams — a stretch White believes could result in a 1-6 record. He is skeptical of a first-time head coach (Liam Cohen) flanked by rookie coordinators and no veteran lieutenants, warning that game-management errors and a reworked O-line could compound early losses. While the back half of the schedule softens, White doubts the team can dig out of an early hole to reach eight victories.

R.J. White recommended betting under 5.5 receiving touchdowns for Travis Hunter. He explained that Hunter’s two-way workload could cap red-zone usage: if Jacksonville leans on him at cornerback, offensive snaps drop; if he tries to play both ways heavily, injury probability climbs, cutting total games played. White also cited Trevor Lawrence’s poor touchdown percentage — worst among 20 qualified QBs since 2021 — as a drag on any Jaguars pass-catcher’s TD ceiling. Needing six spikes from a rookie sharing targets with Brian Thomas Jr. and Zay Jones felt like an aggressive projection to White.

R.J. White said he is betting Trevor Lawrence to stay below the market line of 22.5 passing touchdowns. White pointed to three key issues: 1) Lawrence owns the lowest TD-rate of any quarterback with 1,600+ attempts since 2021, so history says he does not convert yards to scores efficiently; 2) Jacksonville’s first seven games feature Cincinnati, Houston, San Francisco, Kansas City, Seattle and the Rams, a brutal stretch that should suppress early scoring and magnify every missed week if Lawrence gets dinged again; 3) the rebuilt offensive line and first-time play-caller Liam Cohen create extra growing-pain risk, while Baker Mayfield’s 2023 outlier of 41 TDs under Cohen came with a sturdier line and deeper weapons. White believes 25 touchdowns is Lawrence’s absolute ceiling if he plays 17 games, leaving little margin for an over. Any ankle, shoulder or concussion flare-up would make the under a near lock.

R.J. White told listeners to ignore the Steelers –170 NO-playoffs prop because the juice is excessive and the market undervalues a nine-win season that could still miss the postseason. Instead, he prefers attacking the plus-money side of their win total, noting the over 8.5 is available at +110. White pointed out that Pittsburgh already showed in 2023 how a team with a negative point differential can stumble into 10 victories, and the weaker AFC East/South divisions make another 9-10 win campaign feasible. Betting the win total cashes even if the Steelers finish 9-8 and lose a tiebreaker, whereas the YES/+140 playoff prop would not. In his view, the over 8.5 offers better risk-reward for anyone leaning optimistic on Mike Tomlin’s squad.

R.J. White wagered two units on Pittsburgh under 8.5 wins (grabbed –110, would still play –135). He believes Rodgers is a downgrade from last year’s quarterback rotation, noting the front office reportedly preferred Justin Fields or Matthew Stafford. Offensive-line departures (James Daniels, Dan Moore) and a receiver downgrade from Pickens to Metcalf leave little margin for error, while history shows elite defenses alone cannot prop up a middling offense (he referenced Cleveland’s collapse). White projects just seven or eight wins, ending Mike Tomlin’s streak of non-losing seasons.

R.J. White preferred the DK Metcalf yardage prop, backing over 950.5 receiving yards. He cited George Pickens pacing for 1,093 yards in Arthur Smith’s 2024 offense and noted that Metcalf has eclipsed 950 in five straight seasons despite missing two games last year. With Robert Woods the only other notable wideout, Metcalf should command a massive target share in Pittsburgh. White is skeptical touchdowns follow—Smith’s scheme produced only three WR touchdowns for Pickens—but believes volume between the 20s pushes Metcalf well past the posted yardage total.

R.J. White said he is shorting Aaron Rodgers’ 2025 season-long passing markets, calling the 41-year-old a downgrade from last year’s quarterback play. Rodgers’ 2024 rate stats mirror the disappointing Russell Wilson sample, but White noted virtually no historical comps succeed at this age outside of Tom Brady’s unicorn run. Rodgers must now learn Arthur Smith’s scheme with a roster that lost pieces up front and at receiver, leaving him without the escapability or supporting cast needed to offset declining mobility. White expects that cocktail to keep Rodgers’ passing yards and touchdown totals below posted prop numbers.