Lindquist leaned to Detroit +1.5 runs in Minnesota. The Twins have not officially named a starter—he suspects it may be Joe Ryan on short rest—so books are hanging a generic number he thinks is too rich. With Jack Flaherty’s strikeout stuff capable of keeping Detroit in the game even if the offense is sporadic, Lindquist believes grabbing the run and a half before the pitching news firms up is the smartest approach.

Kenny G said he is laying the –165 with Detroit because the matchup sets up perfectly for the Tigers. Chris Paddack makes just his second Detroit start and is coming off a dominant debut (6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER versus Arizona). Kenny expects an extra bit of juice from the "facing-the-old-club" angle against Minnesota, noting the Twins’ bats have managed only 15 runs in their last five games and still rank 23rd in both runs scored and batting average. Uncertainty surrounds Minnesota’s projected starter Zebby Matthews, who is coming straight off the IL with a 5.67 ERA and could be scratched, while their bullpen owns one of the worst late-season ERAs in baseball. Detroit’s offense has cooled but remains sixth in runs and seventh in slugging, and the club is 36-21 at Comerica Park. Throw in the stark road/home splits (Twins 22-35 away, Tigers 66-48 overall) and Kenny is comfortable calling Detroit the clear side.

Lindquist recommended laying the –1.5 run line with Detroit if plus money is available. He trusts Casey Mize to keep the Twins in check while Minnesota is forced to start Travis Adams, a call-up who owns an 8.03 ERA and 1.62 WHIP across four July starts. Lindquist added that Minnesota’s back-half batting order has been anemic of late, amplifying the edge for Detroit’s bats. With the Tigers likely getting nine full innings of offense on the road and Adams’ extreme hittability, he projects Detroit to win by multiple runs often enough to justify the run-line price.