Tony Sink recommended taking the Pirates at +110 on the moneyline for the April 30 matchup with Chicago. Sink leaned on the pitching matchup and underlying staff metrics to justify the play. Pittsburgh’s projected starter Carmen Mlodzinski owns a 3.74 career ERA, 1.349 WHIP and a 2.13 K/BB ratio through 108 big-league innings, while Chicago counters with Matthew Boyd, who carries a 4.78 career ERA and 1.316 WHIP after yielding 928 hits and 304 walks over 936 innings. Team-wide numbers support the edge: the Pirates’ staff sits at a 3.98 ERA and 3.60 FIP, permitting only 22 homers, compared to the Cubs’ 4.24 ERA, 4.26 FIP and 33 long balls surrendered. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has converted 54.5% of save chances (6-of-11) and strands 69% of inherited runners, nearly identical to Chicago’s 53.8% clip but with fewer meltdowns. While the Cubs lead MLB in scoring at 5.9 runs per game, Sink is betting that the pitching differential, combined with home-field advantage and underdog odds, outweighs the gap in offensive firepower. He framed the Pirates as a “live dog” worth backing at + odds rather than laying -132 with a shaky Chicago staff.

Tony Sink recommended taking the Red Sox at +125 on the moneyline for Sunday’s game in Cleveland. Sink argued the price is too rich on the Guardians when the underlying numbers are this tight. Boston’s lineup is producing 4.6 runs per game (9th in MLB) with a .324 OBP and .397 SLG, compared to Cleveland’s 4.0 runs (20th), .306 OBP and .386 SLG. Brayan Bello’s career FIP sits at 4.33 with 9.5 H/9 and a 1.417 WHIP—hardly dominant but comparable to Gavin Williams, whose career FIP is 4.00 with 7.9 H/9 and a 1.315 WHIP. Sink noted Boston’s bullpen save rate (61.5%) and WHIP (1.33) are in range of Cleveland’s 1.376 mark, making the perceived pitching edge small. With Boston’s superior offense and similar pitching profile getting plus money, Sink believes the Red Sox are the value side despite ranking 30th in fielding percentage (.973).

Tony Sink highlighted Pittsburgh's bullpen struggles as a key reason to fade them against the Nationals. The Pirates’ bullpen has been ineffective, holding a subpar 42.9% save-rate with 4 blown saves already and allowing inherited runners to score at a 30.4% clip. Given these troubles, Sink believes Pittsburgh’s pitching staff is liable to falter late in games, offering savvy bettors an angle to exploit, particularly against teams like the Nationals who have been above-average offensively.

Tony Sink highlighted Paul Skenes of the Pittsburgh Pirates as a bright spot, with impressive early career statistics hinting at long-term value. Skenes has accumulated an elite ERA of 2.14 over 151 career innings, striking out 190 batters with a remarkable 0.933 WHIP and exceptional 5.43 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Sink implied these elite peripherals could offer potential upside in individual player-based betting or pitching props, despite the broader struggles of the Pirates.

Tony Sink advised backing the Washington Nationals (-210) against the Pittsburgh Pirates, highlighting clear advantages in hitting metrics. The Nationals rank 12th in run production averaging 4.4 runs per game, powered by a .418 slugging percentage and 16 home runs. In contrast, Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league offensively with only a .198 batting average, .301 slugging percentage, and just 8 total home runs. Sink pointed to Washington's ability to generate more consistent offense, which makes them the stronger bet despite steep odds.

Tony Sink advises caution with Jordan Westburg's player prop bets today against Toronto, given his recent offensive slump. Westburg has struggled mightily, hitting just .208 over his past 10 games with only 9 hits and 8 strikeouts in 43 plate appearances. Sink highlights that Westburg's props are at 2 total bases and 1.5 hits, and recommends steering clear based on his current struggles.

Tony Sink highlights Corbin Carroll as a compelling player prop option against the Brewers on April 13, 2025. Carroll has accounted for 21.1% of Arizona Diamondbacks' hits and 26.5% of their total bases this season. Sink emphasizes that Carroll's lines are set at 1 hit and 1.5 total bases for today's matchup, which appears favorable given his consistent performance and foundational role in Arizona's offense.