Koerner recounted his favorite live-bet from a Bears Thursday night game: David Montgomery handled Chicago’s first two drives, and Khalil Herbert always received the third series. During the second drive—when Herbert was NOT expected to touch the ball—the book shaved 4-5 yards off Herbert’s live rushing line. Knowing the rotation, Koerner smashed the OVER, doubled down, and Herbert ripped a 60-yard run as soon as he entered. Koerner advised bettors to do the same whenever a live market drops Herbert’s rushing number before his first scheduled drive: monitor the rotation, pounce on the dip, and let the volume catch up once Herbert finally steps on the field.

Erik Beimfohr argued that Khalil Herbert is emerging as the clear No. 2 back in Indianapolis and should be treated as one of the better contingency picks in drafts. Beimfohr noted the near-total silence on rookie DJ Giddens throughout the first week of camp, contrasting it with Herbert’s long track record of efficient rushing—4.9 yards per carry across 460 career attempts—and the coaching staff’s history of leaning on veterans when starters go down. With reporters indicating Jonathan Taylor is monopolizing true first-team reps, Beimfohr believes the Colts want a veteran insurance policy rather than a developmental rookie. If Taylor misses time—as he has in two of the last three seasons—Herbert could step straight into 15-18 touches a game, giving drafters usable Best Ball weeks and a potential trade chip in Season-Long formats.