Erik Beimfohr said Jermaine Burton is an auto-draft in the final rounds because the WR3 job in Cincinnati is wide-open and Burton is the only high-ceiling option left standing. Beimfohr reminded listeners that Andre Yosivas logged "a million routes and did nothing" last year, while safety-blanket Trenton Irwin was allowed to walk and Charlie Jones has yet to flash. Early-camp reports cite Burton’s improved work ethic and smoother relationship with coaches, a 180° turn from the tardiness, casino trips, and missed meetings that tanked his rookie season. With Joe Burrow healthy, the Bengals project as the league’s most pass-heavy attack—Lou Anarumo’s gutted defense (Trey Hendrickson still absent, first-rounder Shemar Stewart rumored to bolt for Texas A&M) all but guarantees weekly shoot-outs. Burton brings the vertical element Yosivas lacks, fits the Pickens-style boundary X role, and costs nothing in Best Ball drafts where one late-season spike week can make advance rates pop. Beimfohr is scooping Burton whenever he goes undrafted, viewing him as a free bet on a top-five passing offense.

Erik Beimfohr argued that A.J. Brown is the premier value of the 2025 second round and should never fall outside the top-15 picks. Brown finished third among qualifying wideouts in yards per route run last season—behind only Puka Nacua and Nico Collins—despite the Eagles nursing double-digit leads, funneling carries to Saquon Barkley, and racking up goal-line QB sneaks that siphoned touchdowns away. Beimfohr called Philadelphia’s target tree "arguably the most condensed in football" and noted that simple variance could flip even a handful of Jalen Hurts one-yard plunges into Brown scores, instantly recreating his 2024 first-round profile. He dismissed durability concerns by pointing out Brown has produced WR1 numbers with both Hurts and backup Tanner McKee, giving him one of the league’s safest floors. The payoff is enormous: managers can open drafts with a Gibbs or McCaffrey type, then still land a top-five real-life receiver at Pick 17–18, or pair Brown with Brock Bowers for a start almost no room replicates. Beimfohr summed it up as a "small-miss, big-win" bet—outside of injury, he sees no scenario where drafters regret pressing the button, making Brown a staple in both Best Ball portfolios and high-stakes Season-Long leagues.

Erik Beimfohr said drafters are sleeping on George Kittle’s unique blend of weekly floor and nuclear-week ceiling at his current 4-5 turn ADP. 
He laid out how every offseason data point funnels targets Kittle’s way: Brandon Aiyuk is rehabbing an ACL, Ricky Pearsall and Jacob Cowing are already battling soft-tissue injuries, Jauan Jennings is focused on a contract extension, and the rest of the receiver room is replacement-level. With Christian McCaffrey pushing 29 and coming off a near-lost 2024, San Francisco is unlikely to “build the plane” around the aging runner, leaving Kittle as the most reliable pass-game option. 
Beimfohr backed it up with 2024 production metrics tracked by Spike Week: • 3 nuclear weeks (top-3 among TEs, 20 % of his games) • 9 spike weeks total, meaning Kittle posted a spike in 60 % of his outings • only 3 duds all season, tied with Trey McBride for the fewest at the position • 12 usable weeks, providing a floor that previously eluded him. 
That profile gave managers advance-rate juice during the regular season while still delivering the monster playoff upside best-ball formats crave. Because Brock Bowers and Trey McBride now go a full round earlier, Beimfohr is jamming Kittle whenever he’s on the board after pick 40, calling him "the cleanest path to capturing 49ers upside" and an easy leverage point on rooms chasing the trendier elite TEs.

Erik Beimfohr argued that every off-season data point funnels extra volume toward George Kittle and that drafters should react by nudging him up their tight-end boards. Brandon Aiyuk is rehabbing an ACL tear and was "not very good" before the injury, rookie Ricky Pearsall has already missed early-camp sessions, and Jauan Jennings is practicing but clearly focused on a contract extension. Christian McCaffrey is 28, coming off a near-lost season, and the 49ers front office appears intent on preserving him rather than leaning on 400 touches again. When you layer in San Francisco’s league-easiest schedule—only New England’s projects lighter—Beimfohr sees Kyle Shanahan funnelling high-efficiency middle-of-the-field looks to his healthiest star. He teased forthcoming best-ball-specific stats but noted Kittle already led all tight ends in yards per target last season and owns the kind of week-winning ceiling that destroys playoff brackets when the usage spikes. In Beimfohr’s view, rising uncertainty around every non-Kittle skill player makes him the cleanest path to capturing 49ers upside at his current Round-5/6 price.

Erik Beimfohr urged drafters to hammer Keaton Mitchell in the final round, laying out a bullish two-pronged thesis. First, beat-writer reports say Mitchell looks "better, faster, healthier" than before his knee injury, and Baltimore could siphon 6-8 touches per game from 32-year-old Derrick Henry to keep the veteran fresh—giving Mitchell weekly best-ball viability even without an injury. Second, Mitchell’s college production screams upside: as a 19-year-old at East Carolina he averaged 6.3 yards per carry, then posted 1,452 rushing yards, 250 receiving yards, and 7.2 YPC on 200 carries as a sophomore. If Henry misses time, Beimfohr believes Mitchell has rookie-year De’Von Achane type upside because Justice Hill profiles as a change-of-pace receiver rather than a workhorse. The combination of explosive athletic traits, early-declare pedigree, and an aging starter makes Mitchell his favorite late dart throw.

Erik Beimfohr said he is once again loading up on Tyler Allgeier, calling the Falcons runner one of the best cheap contingency picks in Best Ball. Algier was Beimfohr’s highest-owned player last season, and he is repeating the strategy because just one perfectly timed starter absence can turn a late-round roster into a $2 million sweat. Beimfohr argued that the market chronically underprices "binary" backs since drafters hate holding probable zeros, but a single Algier spike week in the fantasy playoffs could be the difference between min-cashing and taking down the entire tournament.

Erik Beimfohr said Zay Flowers is one of the easiest fifth-round clicks on the board because Baltimore is actively building its pass game around him. Beimfohr dismissed worries about Flowers’ 5-foot-9 frame by pointing to Deontae Johnson and Terry McLaurin as examples of "smaller" receivers who eventually posted double-digit touchdown seasons once volume caught up with talent. He cited John Harbaugh’s pre-camp quote that the offense must "get the ball to Zay Flowers more" and called Flowers the Ravens’ best pass-game player outside of Lamar Jackson. If Baltimore follows through, Beimfohr thinks a 12-TD breakout is firmly in play thanks to Flowers’ first-read chemistry with an MVP-caliber quarterback. The floor is simply a seventh-round value loss (“small miss”), but the ceiling is a league-winning WR2 attached to a top-five offense (“big win”).

Erik Beimfohr advised managers who already scooped DeAndre Swift in the mid-70s to hit pause now that drafters have pushed him into the low-50s on Drafters and Underdog. Beimfohr’s argument: the early 15% bags you packed at RB27 pricing offer all the upside you need, while the new sticker price assumes he owns a murky Bears backfield that still includes Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson, and rookie Dante Miller. Rather than chase steam, let the room overpay, reassess once roles crystallize, and buy back only if a clearer three-down workload actually materializes. Until then, redirect capital to falling backs like Tyrone Tracy or other cheap contingencies.

Erik Beimfohr reiterated that Kyle Williams remains firmly in the hunt for Week-1 usage after another week of camp. Beimfohr noted that beat writers have consistently kept Williams with the top two units while veterans Mac Hollins and Kayshon Boutte rotate at the boundary X spot. Hollins has been sidelined, and Boutte has mostly been asked to do the dirty-work blocking role, leaving a path for Williams to claim snaps at Z or in the slot. If coaches decide DeMario Douglas needs to come off the field to free up Diggs (Adonai Mitchell) for big-slot looks, Williams would be the next man up on the perimeter. The ability to play both inside and out matters because New England is expected to run plenty of two-tight-end looks; Williams has already been seen staying on the field in 12 personnel. In Beimfohr’s view, the rookie now needs only to beat out Boutte for that rotational spot, a far lower bar than many late-round WRs face. That versatility plus a shaky depth chart keeps him a priority flier in Best Ball drafts where any early-season spike week can swing advance rates.

Erik Beimfohr argued that Khalil Herbert is emerging as the clear No. 2 back in Indianapolis and should be treated as one of the better contingency picks in drafts. Beimfohr noted the near-total silence on rookie DJ Giddens throughout the first week of camp, contrasting it with Herbert’s long track record of efficient rushing—4.9 yards per carry across 460 career attempts—and the coaching staff’s history of leaning on veterans when starters go down. With reporters indicating Jonathan Taylor is monopolizing true first-team reps, Beimfohr believes the Colts want a veteran insurance policy rather than a developmental rookie. If Taylor misses time—as he has in two of the last three seasons—Herbert could step straight into 15-18 touches a game, giving drafters usable Best Ball weeks and a potential trade chip in Season-Long formats.

Erik Beimfohr said Roman Wilson now looks like a legitimately draftable late-round flyer. Beimfohr pointed out that beat writers have repeatedly noted Wilson running as a starting wideout in both 11- and 12-personnel packages. That means he is working with the first-team offense regardless of formation: outside in base sets and still on the field when another tight end is added. Beimfohr emphasized the importance of that usage for early-season playing time, noting that a Steelers depth chart already thin behind George Pickens could leave Wilson one injury away from a full-time role. The drumbeat of first-team reps gives him a clearer path to weekly Best Ball spike weeks than most wideouts going in the same draft range.

Erik Beimfohr called Jermaine Burton his boldest late-round swing, arguing the second-year wideout could seize the Bengals’ WR3 job and become a weekly spike-week generator at an undrafted ADP. Beimfohr noted that Andre Yosivas ran “a million routes” last year yet finished woefully inefficient, while safety-blanket veteran Trenton Irwin is no longer on the roster. That leaves only Burton, Charlie Jones, Kendrick Pryor and practice-squad types behind Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Early camp reports say Burton has ‘his head on straight’ after last season’s off-field fiascos, giving coaches reason to revisit the talent that once earned Day-2 hype and drew George Pickens comparisons. With Mike Gesicki functioning as a slot receiver and Drew Sample primarily blocking, Cincinnati still needs an outside vertical threat—exactly Burton’s skill set. Beimfohr expects Lou Anarumo’s gutted defense to force shoot-outs, keeping Joe Burrow among the league leaders in pass attempts. That combination of open depth chart, pass-heavy script, and free draft cost makes Burton a priority final-round click in Best Ball tournaments where a single late-season eruption can decide $1 million.

Erik Beimfohr pegged George Pickens as the clear non-rookie breakout candidate, predicting he will be drafted in the second round of 2025 best-ball leagues. Pickens already owns a 1,140-yard, 5-TD season and has never dipped below 800 yards despite inconsistent quarterback play. Beimfohr expects a cleaner offensive environment in Pittsburgh this year, believing even league-average QB efficiency unlocks top-12 wide-receiver production for Pickens. The Steelers shifted Roman Wilson inside, freeing Pickens for the full perimeter alpha role, and the third-year wideout’s 19.4-yard career aDOT offers weekly slate-breaking upside. Beimfohr is loading up in the late-fourth/early-fifth round now, confident the market will treat Pickens like 2022-era Jaylen Waddle next summer.

Erik Beimfohr argued the market has wildly over-corrected on AJ Brown, letting an unquestioned top-five talent fall to picks 17-18. Brown ranked third in yards per route run last season behind only Puka Nacua and Nico Collins while operating in one of the NFL’s most condensed target trees. Beimfohr noted that Philadelphia’s avalanche of one-yard TDs for Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts is pure variance—any shift toward normal red-zone distribution spikes Brown’s fantasy output. Even if the Eagles stay run-heavy, random bounce-back luck could vault Brown back to mid-first valuation. The flexibility is unrivaled: drafters can start with a first-round RB like Jameer Gibbs, then grab Brown, or get unique by pairing him with Brock Bowers or George Kittle at the 1-2 turn. Beimfohr calls Brown a "small-miss, big-win" pick whose only real downside is injury and says he never lets him pass in the second round, flattening exposure across other options to make sure he’s well over market.

Erik Beimfohr said George Kittle is the true skeleton key to 49ers stacks and a screaming value at the 3/4 turn. He rattled off Kittle’s 2024 resume: three nuclear weeks (tied for most at the position), nine spike weeks, and 12 usable weeks—so 60 % of his outings beat the field while only three were duds, matching Trey McBride for the fewest. Beimfohr stressed that every other San Francisco pass-catcher carries baggage—Brandon Aiyuk is coming off an ACL, rookie Ricky Pearsall is already nursing a hamstring, Jauan Jennings wants a new contract, and depth names like Jacob Cowing, Jordan Watkins, and Demarcus Robinson inspire little confidence. With Christian McCaffrey another year older and the defense projected to slip, he expects Shanahan to again funnel targets through Kittle, providing both weekly floor and 30-point upside. The combination of league-leading spike-rate and a cheaper ADP than Trey McBride or Brock Bowers makes Kittle a priority Best Ball click; Beimfohr is actively upping exposure whenever he’s available in the fourth or even the 4/5 pocket.

Erik Beimfohr said he is “hammering” Keaton Mitchell in the final rounds because the second-year back offers both weekly splash-play juice and massive contingent upside behind 32-year-old Derrick Henry. Beimfohr reminded listeners that Mitchell was a true early-declare out of East Carolina who averaged 7.2 yards per carry on 200 totes and caught 27 passes in his final collegiate season, then flashed game-breaking speed (1.24 yards per route run) before tearing his ACL. Beat writers now report the knee looks fully healthy, and Mitchell himself says he feels “better, faster, healthier than before the injury.” Beimfohr expects Baltimore to protect Henry’s workload—dropping him from 30 carries to the low-20s—and funnel 6-10 touches plus screens to Mitchell each week, giving him spike-week viability even with Henry active. If Henry misses time, Beimfohr believes Mitchell’s breakaway profile could create a rookie-year-Achan scenario in the league’s most efficient rushing offense, a tournament-swinging outcome that is impossible to find elsewhere at an 18th-round ADP.

Erik Beimfohr called Omarion Hampton the lynchpin of his “Triple-H” rookie running-back approach—Hampton, RJ Harvey, TreVeyon Henderson—arguing the trio can replicate first-round RB production while letting drafters load up on elite wideouts, quarterbacks, or tight ends early. Even after a recent ADP spike triggered by Najee Harris’s eye issue, Beimfohr still views Hampton as a bargain because all camp chatter suggests the Chargers plan to make him their Week-1 bell-cow. By grabbing Hampton at the 3-4 turn and pairing him with Harvey and Henderson in the 5-6 range, drafters secure immediate touches plus towering late-season upside if the rookies fully seize their backfields. The construction frees salary-cap style capital for premium talent elsewhere, effectively turning Hampton into a roster-building skeleton key rather than just a single pick.

Erik Beimfohr said Zay Flowers is the quintessential “small miss, big win” target in Best Ball. Although Flowers is not the prototypical alpha red-zone body, Beimfohr argued that great receivers still stumble into double-digit touchdowns—citing Deontae Johnson’s and Terry McLaurin’s spike seasons—as long as they play with an elite quarterback. John Harbaugh openly admitted the offense has to feed Flowers, calling him their best pass-game weapon outside Lamar Jackson. That mandate plus Flowers’ 2.25 YPRR as a rookie gives him a realistic 140-target, 12-TD ceiling, yet his ADP sits in the mid-fifth round. Beimfohr framed the downside as merely wishing you’d taken him in the seventh, while the upside is a league-winning Ravens stack that buries the field if Todd Monken leans pass-heavy.

Erik Beimfohr told listeners to stop chasing DeAndre Swift now that his price has rocketed from the mid-70s to the mid-50s overall. Beimfohr has 15 percent Swift at a 76 ADP and said those early shares already give him the best leverage; there’s no reason to keep buying when the backfield remains murky and the role is unchanged. He noted that full-PPR drafters on Drafters are over-paying even more aggressively, while half-PPR Underdog scoring never justified the new tag in the first place. His advice: let the market “steam itself,” sit out until the room cools, and redeploy the saved capital on cheaper risers like Tyrone Tracy or the Giants rookie backs instead of forcing Swift at an inflated cost.

Erik Beimfohr warned that KaVontae Turpin’s new hybrid role is “really bad for Jaydon Blue,” the UDFA many had penciled in as Dallas’s pass-catching back. Schottenheimer’s praise of Turpin as a backfield “weapon” who doesn’t need much space mirrors exactly what fantasy drafters hoped to hear about Blue. Turpin already stole first-team hand-offs on Day 1 and is being cross-trained at every receiver spot, meaning the Cowboys can script Jet motion, screens and traditional carries for him without telegraphing plays—precisely the niche Blue needed to secure to matter in Best Ball. Beimfohr concluded that Blue’s path to the Tavon Austin/Nyheim Hines style workload has evaporated; he is now a near-zero in 20-round drafts and a total cross-off on Underdog.

Erik Beimfohr said KaVontae Turpin is suddenly the wild-card in Dallas after Brian Schottenheimer spent multiple consecutive pressers gushing that Turpin has “no fear,” elite speed and can be “moved all over the field.” Beimfohr emphasized that Turpin took hand-offs with the first team on Day 1 of camp, a signal the staff truly sees him as a backfield weapon rather than a token gadget wideout. Turpin logged carries in high school, is already one of the NFL’s top returners, and Schottenheimer’s track-and-course comment suggests the OC is actively teaching him running-back landmarks. Beimfohr projected a realistic weekly line of 5–6 carries plus 3–4 targets, which would siphon the high-value touches fantasy gamers hoped would go to Javonte Williams, Miles Sanders or UDFA Jaden Blue. In 20-round Best Ball formats, he views Turpin as a final-round spike-week dart while simultaneously lowering the ceiling of every other Dallas runner.

Erik Beimfohr said Roman Wilson has been running as a starting wideout in both 11- and 12-personnel during the first week of Steelers camp while Calvin Austin slides inside in 11. Beimfohr noted that consistent first-team reps this early usually foreshadow a real role when the games start, making the rookie worth a late Best Ball flyer despite Pittsburgh’s crowded room. The access to every rep in camp convinced him Wilson carries more weekly spike-week potential than ADP assumes.

Erik Beimfohr wrestled with Isiah Pacheco’s seventh-round ADP, ultimately labeling it a classic dead-zone trap. He pointed out that Kansas City has quietly rebuilt the backfield around him—re-signing Kareem Hunt, adding Elijah Mitchell, and drafting a "pass-catching" rookie—creating a clear path to a messy committee. Pacheco himself is a former seventh-rounder who has already battled injuries and, in Beimfohr’s words, was "truly terrible" at points last season before the team leaned on Hunt. Add the Chiefs’ perennial pass-first philosophy (they remained top-five in pass rate even during last year’s offensive "down" season) and Beimfohr sees limited ceiling relative to backs going a round or two later. He remains roughly market-weight in Best Ball Mania only because the room occasionally lets Pacheco slide, but prefers betting on cheaper committee mates as leverage against the downside.

Erik Beimfohr warned that Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s sophomore breakout odds are being overrated because Seattle’s entire offensive ecosystem could crater. He called the Seahawks his 2024 "house-of-cards" unit: Sam Darnold behind a bad offensive line, Cooper Kupp mis-cast as the aging WR2, and zero contingency plan if Darnold starts seeing ghosts again. Beimfohr argued that in a week-five scenario where Seattle is winless, drafters will refuse to start JSN—even in a plus matchup versus Atlanta—because the passing game will be radioactive. With the offensive floor "easily worst in the league," he is trimming JSN exposure, preferring receivers in the same tier tied to steadier quarterback play and line play. Actionable takeaway: stay underweight JSN in best-ball drafts until Seattle shows a functional Plan B at quarterback.

Erik Beimfohr called the New York Giants backfield “the biggest conundrum of 2024” because both rookies—Tyrone Tracy and Cam Skattebo—sit right at pick 100 despite zero clarity on roles. He admitted he leans Skattebo purely on vibes and past prospect bias, yet concedes that Tracy’s surprising 2023 senior-year explosion and receiving chops give him a credible ceiling. The problem is price: drafters are paying eighth-/ninth-round capital for backs tethered to a bottom-five offense that just lost Saquon Barkley, features a patchwork offensive line, and projects for negative game scripts. Beimfohr asked why anyone should burn a premium pick when cheaper backs with clearer paths—Zach Charbonnet, Tyjae Spears, or any of the Cowboys committee—go later. Until one runner separates in camp, he plans to fade both Giants options, grabbing them only when they slide multiple rounds past ADP.

Erik Beimfohr said he has just 3% Odunze and is unlikely to add more because there are lower-cost lottery tickets who offer a similar ceiling without Odunze’s hefty draft-capital tax. Odunze now goes side-by-side with Travis Hunter, yet Hunter supplies comparable raw athletic upside and could see two-way usage after being taken second overall. Beimfohr noted the same statistical red flags Kerrane highlighted—1.18 YPRR, 11% first-read rate—but added that Odunze was actually the Bears’ fourth option behind Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, and even second-round TE Colson Loveland in last year’s design. Drafting him now requires “blind faith” that Caleb Williams, Ben Johnson, the offensive line, and a host of pass-catcher depth-chart variables all align. Beimfohr prefers scooping Hunter or other late-fifth/early-sixth rookies like Ladd McConkey as cheaper ways to chase a Year-2 breakout archetype.

Erik Beimfohr said Swift’s cost has officially outrun the reward in best-ball lobbies. He rattled off current ADPs—Underdog 71 (RB24), DraftKings 66, and a jarring 56.8 on Drafters’ cumulative-points contest—pointing out the back has jumped almost two full rounds in a month. Beimfohr still concedes a clear volume path (no veteran addition, Roschon Johnson projects as a Jamal Williams/Samaje Perine change-of-pace plodder), but argued the new fifth-round price leaves zero room for Swift’s notorious volatility: career-high 212 carries, 7% target share down the stretch in Philly, and a history of durability issues. He plans to stop clicking Swift entirely if the ADP stays inside the fifth, will only sprinkle exposure at the 6/7 turn on Underdog, and prefers swinging on rookies like RJ Harvey and Isaac Guerendo in the same range. The upshot: fade Swift on Drafters and soft home-league boards where the volume narrative is already baked in.

Erik Beimfohr said he is torn on DeAndre Swift’s soaring sixth-round ADP. Swift is projected for clear lead-back volume because Chicago never signed another veteran, and beat writers barely mention Roschon Johnson while describing rookie Kyle Mononga as a mere change-of-pace option. Beimfohr noted the reunion with former Lions coordinator Ben Johnson and a potential second-year leap from Caleb Williams could make the Bears offense a fantasy gold mine. That upside explains why ‘running-back bros’ keep pushing Swift up draft boards. The concern: Swift’s profile still carries a historically low weekly floor—he has never topped 212 carries in a season, has battled durability issues, and his pass-game role cratered to a 7% target share down the stretch in Philadelphia. At current cost you must decide whether you are paying for the optimistic projection or risking another Mike Davis-style trap. Beimfohr concluded he will only click Swift when he slides to the 6/7 turn and he is desperate for a back, preferring upside rookies like RJ Harvey at equal prices.

Beimfohr pegged fifth-round pick Tory Horton as another deep-round swing who could smash ADP. Horton was targeted on a wild 40% of his routes and generated 3.45 YPRR in just five 2024 games before injury, after tallying nearly 2,300 yards on 167 catches the previous two seasons (2.75 YPRR, 29.4% target rate). Those numbers hint at alpha traits the Seahawks may have stolen at pick 148. With Seattle’s WR depth thin behind DK Metcalf and the aging Tyler Lockett, Horton’s Underdog ADP of 215 (WR101) makes him a virtually free bet on proven collegiate dominance and a possible early-season role if Lockett’s decline accelerates.

Beimfohr called fourth-round rookie Jalen Royals his favorite ‘next Puka’ candidate. Before a season-ending injury, Royals posted 3.0 yards per route run against a schedule that included USC and Utah while being targeted on 29% of routes and turning 436 of 839 yards into YAC. The Chiefs scooped him at pick 133, joining Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy in the franchise’s youth movement as Travis Kelce shows age-related decline and Hollywood Brown managed only five games under 46 yards in 2024. With Patrick Mahomes still looking for a dependable chain-mover and Royals available at Underdog ADP 215 (WR98), Beimfohr sees a realistic path to immediate fantasy relevance even without an injury to incumbents.

Beimfohr highlighted seventh-rounder Kyle Monangai as a deep sleeper because Chicago added no other backfield depth behind fragile starter D'Andre Swift and uninspiring reserves Roschon Johnson and Travis Homer. Despite poor testing, Monangai carried a moribund Rutgers offense for two straight seven-win seasons, piling up 2,500 rushing yards on 498 carries and finishing tied for 13th nationally in missed tackles forced. Rutgers averaged only 137–207 passing yards per game, making his efficiency even more impressive. Beimfohr emphasized Monangai’s willingness in pass protection—critical for earning two-minute and 3rd-down snaps—citing film cut-ups that show NFL-ready blocking technique. In Ben Johnson’s revamped, Caleb-Williams-led attack and with an Underdog ADP of 214 (RB70), Monangai needs only “a little mid-season chaos” to become an every-down fantasy contributor.

Erik Beimfohr said sixth-round rookie Tahj Brooks is one of his favorite late-round Best Ball darts because the profile mirrors Chase Brown’s 2023 hit for Cincinnati. Brooks handled ‘monstrous workloads’ at Texas Tech and still never dipped below 100 rushing yards or 4.0 YPC in any 2024 game. PlayerProfiler shows 62nd-percentile target share plus elite size-adjusted speed and burst scores, suggesting three-down juice. The Bengals currently plan on Samaje Perine as a pure passing-downs specialist, so any Brown injury—or even a desire to lighten Brown’s 2024 extreme usage—opens a path for Brooks to take early‐down work while holding his own on passing downs thanks to proven pass-pro chops. With an Underdog ADP of 213 (RB68), Beimfohr views Brooks as cheap, asymmetric upside tied to Joe Burrow’s offense.

Erik Beimfohr quietly bumped Jerome Ford up his Best Ball board, noting the veteran becomes the Browns' default Week 1 starter if Quinshon Judkins’ contract/legal mess drags on and Dylan Sampson needs time to acclimate. Cleveland forced Ford to take a pay cut but has leaned on him for heavy workloads before, so coaching trust is already banked. Beimfohr views Ford as a cheap floor play who could deliver usable early-season spike weeks while the rookie situation sorts itself out.

Beimfohr moved fourth-round rookie Dylan Sampson way up his Best Ball rankings, arguing the Tennessee product suddenly has a massive opportunity edge. With unsigned second-round pick Quinshon Judkins facing a contract stalemate and a possible paid-leave designation after his domestic-violence arrest, Sampson is the only healthy rookie in camp. The former SEC Offensive Player of the Year racked up 1,600 yards and 22 TDs last season and now gets a "nice long runway" to impress coaches. If he performs, Sampson could secure the lead role before Judkins ever reports, giving drafters an explosive, discounted upside play in the double-digit rounds.

Erik Beimfohr said Quinshon Judkins is an automatic fade in current Best Ball drafts. The rookie is unsigned because 30 of 32 second-round picks are holding out for fully-guaranteed contracts, and Judkins just compounded matters with a misdemeanor domestic-violence arrest. Beimfohr noted that even if the Browns finally sign him, the league could immediately place him on the Commissioner’s exempt list, citing last year’s five-game suspension of fellow Cleveland second-rounder Mike Hall for a similar charge. Training-camp time is critical for any rookie, and every day missed puts Judkins further behind fourth-round pick Dylan Sampson and veteran Jerome Ford. Add in the Browns’ recent discomfort with guaranteed money after the Deshaun Watson saga and Beimfohr expects Judkins’ ADP to nosedive, advising drafters to pass now and reassess only after the legal and contract clouds clear.

Beimfohr doubled down on the Denver double-dip, adding that a projected top-five defense will keep the Broncos in positive game scripts and let Sean Payton funnel the offense through RJ Harvey and J.K. Dobbins. He expects fewer pass-heavy comeback situations, meaning the backfield could realistically average 30 combined touches per game while Bo Nix manages rather than carries the offense. The defensive strength amplifies both floor and ceiling for the two-back stack, reinforcing his earlier claim that Denver is one of the rare teams where drafting both runners simultaneously is +EV in best-ball tournaments.

Erik Beimfohr warned that the Giants’ backfield is far less stack-friendly than other ambiguous situations. He likes both Isaiah Scataboo and Tyrone Tracy Jr. in isolation because either could vacuum up New York’s high-value touches—Scataboo thanks to his short-yardage prowess and Tracy thanks to the receiving résumé he flashed in college. However, Beimfohr expects only one winner to emerge and doubts the Giants will generate enough red-zone trips or explosive plays to support two fantasy-relevant runners on the same best-ball roster. His plan is to spread individual exposures across separate drafts rather than roster both backs together, reserving same-team handcuffs for backfields attached to stronger offenses.

Erik Beimfohr said he is actively pairing multiple Jaguars running backs—Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby and Jaheim Tutan—whenever all three are available after pick 100. Because each costs a double-digit round selection, he views the combo as a low-risk, high-ceiling bet that can pay off even without an injury. Beimfohr pointed to last season’s Devin Singletary–Tyrone Tracy baton pass in New York as proof cheap committees can generate weekly spike weeks while you spend minimal draft capital. In Jacksonville he expects an ambiguous touch split, a fast offense, and enough goal-line work for two backs to produce usable scores in the same best-ball lineup. The ‘two-out-of-three chance you’re right’ math plus the near-zero opportunity cost makes locking up the entire backfield a viable way to stabilize a Zero-RB roster without surrendering upside.

Erik Beimfohr said Emeka Egbuka is the single easiest late-round click at wide receiver and could be a second-round pick in 2026 drafts. Beimfohr argued drafters are sleeping on Egbuka because he was overshadowed by Marvin Harrison Jr. and Jeremiah Smith at Ohio State—similar to how Justin Jefferson and Brian Thomas Jr. were underrated coming out of talent-packed college rooms. Despite that, Egbuka still earned first-round NFL draft capital and is already generating rave mini-camp reviews. The Buccaneers give him a clean runway: Mike Evans turns 32 this season and Chris Godwin is returning from a serious ankle dislocation, leaving a realistic path to a 22-plus-percent target share by Thanksgiving. Tampa’s passing game ranked top-10 in neutral-situation pace and EPA per drop-back last year, so a rookie who can play both outside and slot routes has league-winning upside if he simply proves to be “just awesome,” in Beimfohr’s words. He compared the upside arc to Amon-Ra St. Brown or Chris Olave and called the current double-digit ADP “absolutely insane” for best-ball tournaments.

Erik Beimfohr called George Pickens the easiest click in the Jalen Hurts / George Kittle / rookie-RB pocket, noting Pickens is already his highest-owned receiver in that ADP zone. Beimfohr loves the "small-miss, big-win" profile: a worst-case of weekly WR2 numbers as Dallas’s clear No. 2 and a best-case of a top-eight season if Pickens’ contested-catch dominance (career 61 % contested rate) merges with Dak Prescott’s league-leading deep-ball EPA. He emphasized the structural fit—landing an explosive 22-point spike-week archetype without sacrificing early QB or TE priorities—and pointed out that Pickens has posted consecutive 2.0+ YPRR seasons despite catching passes from Mitch Trubisky, Kenny Pickett, Mason Rudolph and a fading Russell Wilson. Upgrading to an offense that ranked first in passing DVOA two seasons ago and finished top-three in points per drive last year makes Pickens a clear tournament winner at a 55.0 ADP. Beimfohr is drafting Pickens on any roster that needs ceiling in Rounds 4-5 and expects him to be a consensus second-rounder 12 months from now.

Erik Beimfohr said Ricky Pearsall is still an "awesome click" in the low-70s despite the uncertainty baked into his profile. Beimfohr expects San Francisco’s suddenly shakier defense to push Kyle Shanahan toward a more pass-centric game plan, creating extra volume for Brock Purdy to feed secondary targets. With Brandon Aiyuk’s hamstring and contract situation unresolved and Deebo Samuel showing decline, Pearsall— a 2024 first-rounder who flashed down the stretch after literally being shot in camp— has a clear runway to seize a full-time role. Beimfohr framed the bet as a 60/40 proposition where drafters either get nothing or land a mid-season breakout tied to one of the league’s most efficient quarterbacks. At an ADP two rounds cheaper than last year’s JSN or Jaxon Worthy archetypes, he believes the payoff outweighs the risk in large-field Best Ball Mania tournaments.

Erik Beimfohr highlighted Jauan Jennings (and, to a lesser extent, rookie Ricky Pearsall) as the classic mid-round wide-receiver breakout profile we see every few seasons—think 2019 Cooper Kupp or 2020 Stefon Diggs. Jennings quietly ranked near the top of the league in first-reads per route and first-downs per route last year, then flashed true ceiling with a 50-point DFS nuke while Brandon Ayuk struggled. With Ayuk’s hamstring still a question mark and Deebo Samuel already showing decline, Beimfohr believes Jennings could open 2025 as Brock Purdy’s No. 1 perimeter option. San Francisco’s scheme produced three top-25 wideouts at various points over the last two years, and Jennings’ combination of solid peripherals and proven spike-week upside makes him a screaming value after pick 100. If Ayuk misses extended time, Bemfohr expects Jennings to command 22-25 % of targets and become this year’s mandatory tournament-winning WR selection.

Erik Beimfohr said Matthew Golden is still a buy in the late-rounds because his path to playing time is almost guaranteed. Green Bay plans to line up Romeo Doubs as the X and keep Jayden Reed in the slot, which leaves the Z spot—Christian Watson’s old vertical role—squarely in Golden’s lap. The Packers have been public that they “need him to contribute right away,” so Beimfohr views Golden’s route share as safer than most rookie flyers. Even if the second-rounder’s prospect profile is incomplete, 80-plus percent routes from Jordan Love in an offense that finished top-12 in pass EPA last season creates a steady WR3 floor with spike-week upside. At an ADP outside the top-150, Golden offers the rare combination of secure volume and big-play speed, making him an easy add to Love stacks or any best-ball build hungry for late receiver points.

Erik Beimfohr said drafters should hammer Miles Sanders right now while the entire Cowboys backfield is still priced in the gutter. His logic: the group is so "gross" that every runner is discounted, yet somebody will inevitably stumble into fantasy-usable volume. Sanders currently offers the cleanest path to touches—likely a 1A or, at worst, co-starter role—at an 18th-round cost that barely carries opportunity cost. Beimfohr likes locking in that floor/ceiling combo early in the summer, then pivoting once Sanders’ ADP climbs and clearer late-round targets emerge. In best ball you are never married to one stance; taking the cheap shares now captures closing-line value and frees you to diversify later if camp news re-orders the depth chart.

Erik Beimfohr said it is "fiscally irresponsible" to ignore the Dallas running-back room just because the Cowboys are expected to pass heavily. A high-scoring offense still creates red-zone chances, ensuring at least one back produces spike weeks. Because every option is dirt-cheap, Beimfohr is grabbing the lowest-priced name—Miles Sanders—as his main exposure. He is willing to "plug his nose" at the uncertainty, arguing the minimal cost is far outweighed by the chance Sanders claims early passing-down or goal-line work in what could be a top-five scoring attack.

Erik Beimfohr argued that George Kittle is egregiously under-drafted at the 4/5 turn. Managers got burned fading him last year—he finished as the TE2 and delivered the Week-17 nuke that won multiple finals—yet he is cheaper despite Deebo Samuel being traded and Brandon Aiyuk expected to miss time with a hamstring strain. Kittle’s target rate jumps to 25% when either receiver sits, and the 49ers project for a top-three implied total in 11 of 17 weeks. Beimfohr said drafters should treat Kittle as a mini-Travis Kelce who comes at a three-round discount, making him an ideal one-tight-end bet in best-ball tournaments.