Erik Beimfohr called sixth-round pick Tahj Brooks his favorite true "mega flyer" of 2025 drafts. Brooks logged three straight 1,000-yard seasons at Texas Tech while handling pass-pro, route work and short-yardage duties—exactly the three boxes Cincinnati still needs behind Zack Moss and Chase Brown. Beimfohr reminded listeners that Brown was only a fifth-rounder last year and still flashed RB2 weeks once Joe Mixon left, proving how fantasy-friendly the Bengals’ workhorse role can be. Brooks’ 4.55 forty and above-average 8.85 RAS squashed pre-combine speed concerns, and his 75 missed tackles forced in 2024 ranked top-10 in the country. With only 2022 tape Samaje Perine penciled in as the third-down guy, Brooks could vault to the top of the depth chart if Brown struggles or Moss’s durability issues resurface. Beimfohr recommends scooping Brooks in the final round of every Best Ball draft as pure contingent-value leverage on an elite offense.

Beimfohr was surprised but encouraged when the Rams spent pick 2.14 on Oregon tight end Terrence Ferguson—easily the highest capital the franchise has invested at the position since Tyler Higbee in 2016. Sean McVay has chased a complete tight end for years, rotating specialists like Colby Parkinson (blocker only) and aging Higbee (recovering from ACL). Ferguson brings dual-threat ability: an 80-plus PFF run-blocking grade and a 22% college target share. In McVay’s offense, a TE who can stay on the field for every formation is gold; the Rams targeted tight ends on 19% of routes last season despite lacking talent. If Ferguson claims the full-time role, Beimfohr sees an immediate TE1 ceiling at a double-digit Best Ball ADP and is grabbing shares before camp hype pushes him into the single-digit rounds.

Erik Beimfohr said he will overweight Bhayshul Tuten—and likely Tank Bigsby—while outright fading Travis Etienne after Jacksonville’s regime change. New OC Liam Coen has historically rotated multiple backs, and the new front office immediately spent mid-round capital on Tuten, suggesting he’s their hand-picked piece rather than inherited depth. Beimfohr noted that Etienne’s efficiency has lagged (sub-4.0 yards per carry in 2024) and neither host has ever been bullish on him. With a three-man committee very much in play and trade rumors around Etienne still lingering, Beimfohr views Tuten as the cheapest shot at the Jaguars’ eventual lead role. His approach: star Tuten in every room, scoop Bigsby when the lobby forgets about him, and let someone else pay the Etienne tax.

Beimfohr encouraged taking late-round swings on rookie Jalen Royals after Kansas City scooped him in the fourth round. He compared Royals’ small-school, limited-sample profile to Puka Nacua’s pre-draft résumé: Utah State star, hyper-productive when healthy, but dinged for missing games. Royals slots into a receiver room that—outside of Hollywood Brown, Xavier Worthy, and the suspended Rashee Rice—still features depth pieces like Justin Watson and JuJu Smith-Schuster. If Royals can actually play, Andy Reid historically has no problem promoting youth (see Rice in 2023). Even a modest 60-percent route share attached to Patrick Mahomes can deliver weekly spike-weeks that win Best Ball tournaments. Beimfohr is not overweighting him yet—targeting 2-4% exposure—but thinks he is exactly the kind of talent-swing that becomes a massive closing-line value if he flashes in August.

Erik Beimfohr said third-rounder Kyle Williams is an easy click in early Best Ball drafts while he’s still discounted. New England just spent real Day-2 capital on him, the same investment Green Bay made in Matthew Golden, yet the Patriots’ depth chart is even softer. Stefon Diggs is 32 and coming off knee surgery, Kendrick Bourne is still rehabbing an ACL, and DeMario Douglas profiles as a slot-only player, so perimeter snaps are wide-open. Beimfohr expects second-year Drake May to push the offense forward under a revamped coaching staff and better offensive line, giving Williams a direct path to 80-plus-percent routes if he can merely prove competent. He warned that the Legendary Upside crew may steam Williams into the 6th-round range later this summer; grab exposure now while he’s a double-digit pick and reevaluate if the market gets carried away.

Erik Beimfohr urged drafters to start flag-planting Pat Bryant now, before his cost catches up to his situation. Denver spent real Day-2 draft capital on the Illinois wideout and Sean Payton immediately compared him to Michael Thomas—a classic Payton over-sell, but still a signal the staff views Bryant as a priority piece, not a depth dart. The Broncos’ current receiver room behind Courtland Sutton is unsettled (Marvin Mims is still a gadget, Devon Velae and Lil’Jordan Humphrey are roster-bubble types, and Troy Franklin appears buried), so Bryant should step right into WR2/WR3 snaps. A second-year Bo Nix operates behind a top-10 offensive line, giving the entire passing game a rising-tide script. Because Sutton will siphon CB1 coverage and media attention, Bryant can develop without being forced into alpha duties, much like Puka Nacua’s rookie runway in Los Angeles. At today’s double-digit ADP you can comfortably take more Bryant than Mims, gaining cheap exposure to an offense Beimfohr expects to out-kick market projections.

Erik Beimfohr said RJ Harvey is tied for the single biggest post-draft winner and should be starred in best-ball lobbies before the market adjusts. Harvey received unexpectedly strong draft capital from the Broncos and walks into a "clean runway" with only Jaleel McLaughlin behind him after the staff clearly soured on Javonte Williams. Sean Payton publicly gushed about Harvey, recalling the exact day he binge-watched two hours of his tape and likening him to the staff’s first choice, Ashton Jeanty. Beimfohr emphasized Denver’s elite offensive line, a second-year Bo Nix offense that should live in scoring range, and Payton’s historical willingness to feed a primary back (Ezekiel Elliott rookie usage as ceiling comp). The only real question is talent, but if Harvey is merely serviceable he can dominate snaps and hit home-run plays in an offense expected to improve. Beimfohr urged drafters to grab him at a near-free ADP now, before the spike-week community inevitably inflates the price.

Beimfohr said he is “all in” on scooping Ladd McConkey shares if Tre Harris mania nudges McConkey’s ADP down a round or two. McConkey’s slot-first role is unchanged, and the rookie still projects as Herbert’s primary chain-mover, but the narrative buzz around Harris could create a temporary price dip. Beimfohr’s ideal outcome is Harris climbing into the 70s overall while Herbert remains flat, allowing drafters to grab McConkey at a slight discount and still stack the Chargers’ passing game. He emphasized treating any McConkey slide as free value rather than a signal of declining opportunity.

Erik Beimfohr said he is gladly scooping Joshua Palmer at his current late-round cost because Buffalo offers a clearer path to fantasy relevance than the market realizes. With Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis gone, the Bills pass-catcher depth chart is essentially Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid— leaving plenty of snaps and perimeter routes for Palmer. Beimfohr reminded listeners that Palmer produced usable spike weeks with the Chargers whenever Keenan Allen or Mike Williams missed time, so he has already shown he can handle 6–8 targets in a pass-heavy environment. Pairing that track record with Josh Allen’s league-leading deep-ball aggressiveness, a shaky Bills defense that could push shoot-outs, and a price tag below Darnell Mooney’s makes Palmer a quintessential "chaperone" pick who smooths out rookie-heavy builds while still offering top-30 weekly upside.

Erik Beimfohr warned that drafters are pushing Jaydon Blue up to pick ~160 for all the wrong reasons. Blue weighs barely 190-195 pounds, profiles as a gadget back, and could not seize meaningful work at Texas even after C.J. Baxter tore his ACL. True freshmen Wisner and another rookie leap-frogged him, yet the fantasy community is treating Blue like the next Deuce Vaughn or Kamani Vidal simply because they dislike veterans such as Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders. Beimfohr stressed that Blue now goes ahead of sturdier options like Tyler Allgeier, Dylan Sampson, Braylen Allen, Jalen Wright, Will Shipley and Woody Marks— backs who either have clearer roles, better draft capital or stronger production histories. Until the market corrects, Blue is a classic trap pick in Best Ball tournaments.

Erik Beimfohr urged drafters to keep hammering Tre Harris in the mid-80s on DraftKings, calling backlash about his ADP "noise." Harris produced an absurd 5.2 yards per route run last season— the most efficient year ever logged by an FBS wideout— and was similarly dominant the year before. Beimfohr noted the rookie lands in a tailor-made role with Justin Herbert: the Chargers will ask him to win isolated perimeter routes and rack up yards after the catch while Ladd McConkie handles volume in the short game. The offense already owns a strong line, a credible run game and one of the league’s better quarterbacks, so Harris can focus on splash plays rather than carry the unit. Beimfohr argued the only reason the market nitpicks him is the handful of games he missed; had he stayed healthy, he would have walked away with the Biletnikoff and would now be a first-round rookie pick. In his view, reaching past ADP for Harris is perfectly acceptable because the talent/role combo gives genuine league-winning potential in Best Ball tournaments.

Beimfohr flagged Rutgers bruiser Kyle Monangai as a worthy final-round stash after Chicago waited until Round 7 to address running back. He thinks Ben Johnson will reprise his Detroit formula— let DeAndre Swift handle the passing downs while a hammer back handles the dirty work— and Monungai’s 225-pound frame plus 86.5 PFF rushing grade make him a natural Jamal Williams analogue. Because Roschon Johnson is still unproven and Swift has a long injury history, the path to early-down and goal-line touches is wider than the draft capital suggests. Beimfohr conceded seventh-round picks are roster-bubble types, yet believes the Bears’ depth chart remains so fluid that a strong camp could vault Monungai into a weekly touchdown-vulture role. He advises grabbing 2-5% exposure now before any veteran additions or preseason hype move the price.

Beimfohr hammered the point that a fully healthy, non-suspended Rashee Rice should be drafted in the middle of Round 2. He said he would take Rice ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Tee Higgins, Davante Adams, Marvin Harrison Jr. and Garrett Wilson because Rice already led the Chiefs in targets per route run as a rookie and now gets an entire offseason embedded with Patrick Mahomes. The only reason drafters are getting a discount is the uncertainty around a possible league suspension; remove that cloud and Rice becomes Mahomes’ clear first read in the NFL’s premier passing attack. Beimfohr called himself “stubbornly pounding the table” and declared that any room letting Rice slide outside the top 20 picks is gifting equity to opponents.

Erik Beimfohr said the market has over-corrected on Jake Ferguson, turning last summer’s mild overdraft into a 2025 bargain. Dallas failed to add a single pass catcher in either free agency or the draft, leaving Ferguson untouched atop the target tree behind CeeDee Lamb. He reminded listeners that Ferguson finished as the TE8 in half-PPR despite a middling 13 percent target share; if the Cowboys defense regresses and Dallas throws even two more times per game, Ferguson’s volume could jump into the elite tier. Coupled with Dak Prescott’s top-five red-zone accuracy (68 percent completion inside the 20), Ferguson’s weekly touchdown odds remain strong. Beimfohr is scooping him at his current double-digit ADP, arguing we’ve "course-corrected too far the other way" after last year’s modest disappointment.

Erik Beimfohr called Caleb Williams the "clear and obvious" quarterback winner of the entire offseason. Chicago replaced last year’s circus with Ben Johnson calling plays, signed three new starting offensive linemen, and surrounded Williams with an absurd skill group—Rome Odunze and DJ Moore on the perimeter, first-round tight end Colston Loveland, plus Luther Burden rotating in the slot. Beimfohr expects Johnson’s motion-heavy, play-action scheme to mimic what elevated Jared Goff, giving Williams clean pockets and defined reads instead of the broken-play hero ball he carried at USC. With a top-12 protection unit on paper and at least four pass catchers who demand defensive attention, Williams owns a realistic path to immediate QB1 fantasy production. Beimfohr suggested stacking the rookie with any Bears pass catcher in Best Ball drafts while market skepticism about rookie quarterbacks still keeps the entire offense affordable.

Erik Beimfohr floated the Cowboys as the most logical landing spot for free-agent Javonte Williams and said he is firing late shares now before insiders inevitably connect those dots. While conceding Williams looked "cooked" coming off his knee reconstruction, Beimfohr argued that even 85 percent of peak Javonte behind Dallas’ top-10 offensive line would be fantasy gold. He noted that Mike McCarthy funneled 75 percent of RB touches to Tony Pollard last year and compared Williams’ potential role to 2023 Rico Dowdle, who provided multiple startable weeks despite far less talent. Because there is currently no meaningful competition on the Cowboys depth chart, Williams would step into immediate early-down and goal-line work if signed. The negative Twitter buzz around his 2024 efficiency keeps the price low, making him a classic asymmetric bet: limited risk if the Cowboys pass, league-winning upside if they bite.

Erik Beimfohr labeled Will Shipley the single best value on Underdog right now. The former third-round pick is locked in as Saquon Barkley’s only real backup after Kenny Gainwell’s exit, and Barkley has missed 21 games since 2019. Shipley quietly saw 24% of snaps in the NFC Championship blowout and flashed 4.45 speed with 36% college reception share, making him a perfect fit for Kellen Moore’s screen-heavy attack. Beimfohr expects Shipley to log at least 25–30% snaps weekly in positive game scripts and have league-winning upside if Barkley’s health falters. He argued Shipley should be going roughly eight rounds earlier—comparable to how drafters priced Elijah Mitchell behind Christian McCaffrey— and urged managers to hoard shares before summer ADP corrections hit.

Beimfohr sees third-round pick Kaleb Johnson as the perfect fit for Mike Tomlin’s preferred sledgehammer style. Tomlin praised Johnson’s lack of “Saturday yards,” noting the Iowa star produced against stacked eight-man boxes all year—valuable given the Steelers’ QB situation will again invite loaded fronts. Johnson’s early-down skill set mirrors Najee Harris but with more juice; Beimfohr believes he could take over the lead-runner role by October while Jaylen Warren remains the pass-game change-up. With Harris entering his fifth-year option debate and the Steelers unlikely to extend him, Johnson has a path to 15-plus touches weekly and league-winning contingent value if Harris breaks down. At a current ADP outside the top 120, Beimfohr is loading up, especially on Najee-faded builds.

Beimfohr spotlighted Harold Fannin as a volatile but intriguing late-round pick after the Browns stunned everyone by selecting him on Day 2. He acknowledged Cleveland ran 12-personnel only 35% of the time last season—which caps most two-TE fantasies—but argued Fannin’s hybrid skill set could earn him slot snaps because the Browns’ receiver room is paper-thin behind Jerry Jeudy and Cedric Tillman. If Fannin proves he can separate, he could become Deshaun Watson’s safety valve while David Njoku handles in-line duties. The flip side is a stone-cold zero if Fannin remains a gadget player, so Beimfohr recommends keeping exposure light (think sub-10%) yet purposeful to capture the upside of a 230-pound move tight end in an offense lacking reliable pass catchers.

Erik Beimfohr warned drafters to stop treating Jerome Ford as a safe floor play now that Cleveland spent a second-round pick on Quinshon Judkins and a mid-round pick on Dylan Samson. Beimfohr believes the organization just showed its hand: Ford is insurance, not the future. He expects Judkins to seize early-down work immediately and thinks Samson could leapfrog Ford by camp, leaving Ford as a P. Ryan-style passing-down specialist at best. The veteran averaged only 3.8 YPC on 214 carries last year, so there is no production-based argument to keep him on the field. Beimfohr is drafting as if Ford will open 2025 as the Browns’ clear RB3, making him a near auto-fade in Best Ball unless late-summer depth charts flip the narrative.

Erik Beimfohr ranked the Browns backs Quinshon Judkins > Dylan Samson > Jerome Ford for Best Ball purposes and urged drafters to treat Judkins like the clear priority. Cleveland spent pick 2.04 on Judkins—real draft capital that eclipsed several higher-profile prospects—signaling they see him as more than a rotational piece. Samson received mid-round investment and projects as an explosive change-of-pace, while Ford suddenly looks like depth after logging just 3.8 YPC on 214 carries last season. With Nick Chubb still rehabbing a catastrophic knee injury and the Browns reportedly willing to lean on committee touches early, Beimfohr expects Judkins to siphon early-down work immediately and own contingent-value league-winning upside if Chubb’s recovery stalls. Grab Judkins aggressively, sprinkle Samson late, and leave Ford for everyone else.

Erik Beimfohr argued that Matthew Golden’s landing spot is better than the crowd thinks. He reminded listeners that the same community calling the Packers receiver rotation mediocre last year now labels the depth chart a negative for Golden—despite the first-round draft capital and lack of a true alpha. Christian Watson’s chronic hamstring issues, plus underwhelming play from Dontayvion Wicks, Romeo Doubs, and even Jayden Reed, mean snap share is there for the taking. If Golden can play at all, the Packers will not keep him at 60% routes while Bo Melton runs 75%. Beimfohr expects Golden’s ADP to settle high but still wants exposure because the path to starting-level snaps and spike weeks in Jordan Love’s ascending offense is clear.

Erik Beimfohr advised passing on Keon Coleman at his current mid-round DraftKings price. Buffalo ranked bottom-10 in neutral-script pass rate last year and has repeatedly botched receiver additions—Curtis Samuel, Dalton Kincaid and a string of mid-season veteran trades. That same roster mismanagement thrusts Coleman into a de facto WR1 role as a raw rookie, guaranteeing he draws top corners while the Bills continue to lean on the run. Beimfohr compared it to the Bucks wasting Giannis’ prime: an elite centerpiece can’t overcome systemic roster flaws. He expects too many 5-for-60 stat lines and not enough week-winning spikes to justify an ADP around pick 80, so he is largely fading Coleman until Buffalo either changes its philosophy or adds another legitimate target earner.

Erik Beimfohr spotlighted Mike Gesicki as his favorite late-round tight end when punting the position. Gesicki joins a Bengals offense that already throws on 60% of neutral-situation snaps and just lost Tyler Boyd and Irv Smith, leaving 125 vacated targets over the middle. Gesicki posted a 17% target share and finished TE7 in 2021, still ranking top-10 among active tight ends in down-field targets. At 6’6” with 4.54 speed, he gives Joe Burrow a seam-stretching, red-zone weapon Cincinnati has lacked since C.J. Uzomah. With an ADP outside the top 180, drafters are paying for a TE3 but getting legitimate double-digit-target upside in projected shoot-outs. Beimfohr is comfortable reaching a round early on Gesicki in three-tight-end builds, viewing him as low-risk, league-winning leverage if his route rate spikes.

Erik Beimfohr called Will Shipley one of his favorite late-round running backs on DraftKings. The Eagles spent a third-round pick on Shipley, let Kenneth Gainwell walk, and declined to add more backfield competition— clear signals they view him as the primary backup to Saquon Barkley. Shipley flashed as both a rusher and pass catcher in limited playoff work, and his collegiate receiving chops (27 catches in his final Clemson season) fit perfectly with Philadelphia’s full-PPR upside. Beimfohr noted that drafters inexplicably let Shipley fall behind names like Jaden Blue despite Shipley’s superior draft capital, team confidence and immediate contingent value. If Barkley misses time, Shipley could step into 15-plus touches and valuable goal-line work on an elite offense, giving him true week-winning potential at his current price.

Beimfohr called Jake Ferguson’s current DraftKings ADP "ridiculous," noting the Cowboys did nothing to threaten his role yet the market has pushed him down nearly five rounds from last summer. Ferguson finished 2023 seventh among tight ends in targets (102) and fourth in red-zone looks while running a route on 78% of Dak Prescott drop-backs over the final eight games. Dallas still has an elite offensive line, a pass-rate over expectation near 10%, and vacated targets with no major additions at receiver or tight end. Beimfohr views Ferguson as a locked-in, every-down TE with weekly two-touchdown upside who should be going in the seventh round alongside Sam LaPorta’s rookie-year price, not flirting with pick 110. He is jamming Ferguson wherever possible before the summer correction hits.

Erik Beimfohr said he is building a "nice healthy bag" of Isaiah Likely around pick 120 because the Ravens have done nothing to strengthen target competition and there is still a non-zero chance Mark Andrews is traded or cut for cap relief. Likely averaged 2.05 yards per route and was a top-10 fantasy tight end in the four games Andrews missed last year, demonstrating immediate TE1 upside in Baltimore’s Todd Monken offense. If Andrews were removed, Beimfohr believes Likely would be drafted ahead of where Andrews currently goes (around pick 100) and could rise into the Laporta/Hockenson tier by late summer. Even without an Andrews move, Likely offers weekly spike-week potential on a team projected top-five in points. At his current price, drafters are paying for a low-end TE2 while getting legitimate top-six contingency upside for free.

Beimfohr pushed back on the growing "Bears FUD," saying drafters should gladly scoop DJ Moore at pick 34 and other Chicago pass catchers at depressed prices. He pointed to new OC Ben Johnson’s history of top-10 passing efficiency in Detroit and argued that if the Bears offense is merely competent, at least one of Moore, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden or Colston Loveland will smash current ADPs. Moore, in particular, would no longer be the WR20 in a Johnson-led, Caleb Williams attack if he repeats last year’s 28% target share. Beimfohr emphasized that projecting every Bears weapon to fail simultaneously makes little sense— either the offense is bad (in which case nobody should be drafted) or someone pops and their current tags look laughably low. His approach is to accumulate exposure now, before the field realizes Chicago’s ceiling.

Erik Beimfohr called Tony Pollard “100 percent mis-priced” in early DraftKings best-ball lobbies. Pollard was a 2–3 turn pick in his final year with Dallas, and Beimfohr argued his 2023 production was actually solid given the Titans’ dumpster-fire offense. Tennessee has since invested in rookie quarterback Cam Ward and bolstered the supporting cast, giving Pollard a realistic chance at both goal-line work and an enhanced passing-game role—key in full-PPR scoring. At a current ADP hovering around pick 100, drafters are paying for Pollard’s floor while getting his top-15 weekly ceiling for free. Beimfohr is scooping him as an RB2 or even RB1 in builds where he spends early capital on elite quarterbacks or receivers.

Erik Beimfohr said Darnell Mooney is the classic late-round Best Ball unlock on DraftKings this season. The Falcons did almost nothing to their skill-position depth chart—still rolling with Drake London, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson—and simply swapped in Michael Penix at quarterback. Beimfohr argued that baseline offensive competence alone should create more weekly passing volume than last year, giving Mooney a clear path to spike-weeks as the field-stretcher opposite London. Because the market is still anchored to Mooney’s disappointing 2023 in Chicago, he routinely slides past pick 100. Beimfohr admitted he was “terribly wrong” about fading Mooney last year but is now scooping him wherever he can, calling him “peak Best Ball Chaperone” value who can pay off handsomely without ever needing fourth-round draft capital.

Beimfohr said he is largely avoiding Derrick Henry on DraftKings because full-point PPR scoring magnifies Henry’s limited receiving role. With Lamar Jackson likely to vulture red-zone carries and the Ravens projecting as a committee in passing situations, Henry needs extreme rushing efficiency to justify his 1-2 turn price tag. Beimfohr prefers backs who can catch four-plus passes a game in DK’s scoring system and will be underweight Henry unless his ADP slides.

Beimfohr placed Rashee Rice atop his May "core picks," calling him the single best early-round wide-receiver value on the board. Rice is coming off a rookie season where he led Kansas City in targets per route run and now gets a full offseason with Patrick Mahomes. DraftKings drafters are baking in a significant discount because of the Chiefs’ addition of Xavier Worthy and Rice’s off-field uncertainty, but Beimfohr believes the second-year wideout remains Mahomes’ first read and is underpriced relative to his projected target share in the league’s premier passing offense.

Beimfohr called A.J. Brown a smash pick at his current mid-second-round ADP. Even though the Eagles were 28th in pass attempts last season, Brown posted elite efficiency—top-five in yards per route and yards per team pass attempt. Beimfohr argued that passing volume can swing year-to-year, and a single spike week with 15 targets would put Brown back in the first-round conversation. The infusion of rookie talent has simply pushed a proven superstar down the board, giving drafters a rare chance to grab first-round upside in round two.

Erik Beimfohr said fourth-round rookie Dont'e Thornton is the kind of cheap home-run swing you should be firing on in the 18th–20th rounds of DraftKings Best Ball drafts. Thornton posted a monster 3.72 yards per route run at Tennessee last season and has never dipped below 2.0 YPRR despite a tiny collegiate sample, proof that when he is actually on the field he wins down the field. Beimfohr noted the Raiders used him to replace Trey Tucker’s vacated field-stretching role—Tucker ran the fifth-most routes in the NFL last year—yet opposing defenses will be forced to shade coverage toward Jakobi Meyers and first-rounder Brock Bowers. That means Thornton will see single coverage on virtually every snap, and with Geno Smith expected to push the ball vertically in Pete Carroll’s offense, any one of those go routes can flip a Best Ball week. In Beimfohr’s words, "they ain’t doubling Dante," so snagging 3-4 spike weeks for the price of WR9 capital is a bet he is happy to make repeatedly at the end of drafts.

Erik Beimfohr pushed back on what he called a "coordinated FUD attack" against Chicago, arguing drafters should lean into Bears exposure rather than wait for an ADP dip. New OC Ben Johnson and No. 1 pick Caleb Williams give the offense a credible path to a Lions-style volume bump, which would let at least one of DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Luther Burden or Colston Loveland smash current prices. Beimfohr warned that passing now means you cannot pair Bears pieces with today’s screaming values—Trey Harris, Rashee Rice, RJ Harvey—because their ADPs will rise while Chicago’s may not fall as much as people think. His bottom line: spread chips across the Bears cohort today and let variance decide who hits; if the offense is good, somebody is a league-winner, and you will only have that combo if you draft them before the crowd changes its mind.

Beimfohr recommended a "modified zero-RB" build on DraftKings: grab one early hammer, then pound the rookie running-back pocket that sits between picks 80 and 110. Names he specifically flagged were RJ Harvey, TreVeyon Henderson, Caleb Johnson and Dylan Laube—players who could rocket up boards once training-camp reports confirm starting roles. He likened Harvey’s situation to last year’s Kyren Williams, noting that if Sean Payton anoints Harvey as Denver’s RB1 in July, you’ll never see him at pick 90 again. Because DraftKings is full-PPR and wide-receiver depth stretches into the 140s, Beimfohr feels the market is under-rating these do-it-all rookies. Locking them in now gives drafters cheap bell-cow paths while freeing salary-cap-type flexibility to chase elite QBs and Brock Bowers earlier.

Beimfohr reached almost two full rounds to grab Trey Harris at pick 86, arguing the market will not let his 119 ADP stand for long. Harris was the most productive and most efficient receiver in the 2024 class, combining down-field contested-catch ability with elite yards-after-catch skills. In Los Angeles he will be asked to do exactly that: win one-on-one outside for Justin Herbert in Greg Roman’s vertical scheme. Beimfohr compared the situation to last year’s Malik Washington ADP steam and insisted that waiting for "value" means someone else will scoop Harris in the 90s. His advice: treat Harris like a high-variance spike-week artist, draft him well ahead of consensus, and enjoy WR2 upside at a WR4 price tag.

Erik Beimfohr doubled down on Trey Harris as a priority target, laying out what he called the "bulliest bull case" for the rookie. Harris posted an absurd 5.2 yards per route run last season—one of the best marks ever charted—while combining a 215-pound frame with after-catch explosion. Beimfohr believes the Chargers will deploy him exactly where he wins: isolated on the perimeter in Greg Roman’s vertical scheme while Ladd McConkey vacuums underneath targets. With Justin Herbert delivering and a reinforced offensive line, Harris will not need massive volume to flash 25-point spike weeks. Injuries are the only knock on his profile; had he played every college game, Beimfohr thinks he would be a first-round fantasy pick already. He urged drafters to continue scooping Harris well ahead of his current 119 ADP before the market fully prices in his ceiling.

Erik Beimfohr argued that Josh Palmer is criminally underpriced and the ideal "chaperone" receiver for Best Ball portfolios. With Mac Hollins gone and only Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid competing for targets, Palmer is almost guaranteed full-time snaps opposite Josh Allen—a massive quarterback upgrade over what he had with the Chargers. Palmer has already demonstrated spike-week potential when Mike Williams or Keenan Allen were sidelined, and Buffalo’s shaky defense could push the offense into even more shoot-outs. Beimfohr expects Palmer’s ADP to climb multiple rounds once summer reports confirm he is entrenched as an outside starter, so he is scooping heavy exposure now before the room catches on.

Erik Beimfohr told viewers to quit chasing Jaydon Blue at today’s 160 overall DraftKings price. Blue never earned a real back-field share at Texas—even after C.J. Baxter tore his ACL, he was lapped by true freshman Wisner and slipped into a gadget role. Beimfohr stressed that Blue is only 190-195 pounds, the exact archetype that usually tops out as a change-of-pace player, and we are again inflating a thin profile because the market hates established vets like Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders. He compared the hype to the fizzled Deuce Vaughn and Kamani Vidal cycles: an explosive forty time (4.34) and theoretical depth-chart path are masking the fact that Blue has never produced like a workhorse. With sturdier options such as Tyler Allgeier, Dylan Samson, Braylen Allen, Jalen Wright and Will Shipley still on the board, Beimfohr advised fading Blue until the room corrects the price.

Erik Beimfohr called AJ Brown a screaming value now that he falls to the middle of Round 2 on DraftKings. Brown posted elite per-route and per-target efficiency in 2023—"an absolute superstar," in Beimfohr’s words—but finished outside the top tier because the Eagles simply didn’t throw enough. He reminded listeners that team pass rate is highly volatile year-to-year; one uptick in volume or a single spike week where the Eagles are forced into shoot-out mode could hand Brown 15 targets, instantly paying off his cost. With nothing about Brown’s talent profile changing and only play-calling variance suppressing his ADP, Beimfohr urged drafters to scoop him wherever possible, labeling the discount "kind of crazy" for a player who carries first-round upside every week.

Erik Beimfohr advised passing on Curtis Samuel, Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid until their DraftKings prices fall sharply, arguing Buffalo has repeatedly whiffed on skill-position additions and is now a run-heavy offense by design. He rattled off a laundry list of failed experiments—Cole Beasley, mid-season Amari Cooper chatter, an aging Stefon Diggs exit, plus misses on Samuel and Coleman—then pointed out that the Bills ranked bottom-third in early-down pass rate last season despite having Josh Allen in his prime. Beimfohr’s takeaway: if an offense is both inefficient at identifying pass catchers and reluctant to throw, ancillary options carry capped ceilings and belong nowhere near their current double-digit round ADPs. The lone exception he is drafting is Khalil Shakir, whom he called "a great pick," but everyone else is a hard fade until the market corrects.

Beimfohr flagged Will Shipley as one of the best late running-back clicks on DraftKings. The rookie went in Round 3, not Round 7, and the Eagles let Kenneth Gainwell walk while declining to add any other backs—clear evidence the staff trusts Shipley as Saquon Barkley’s direct understudy. He reminded drafters that Shipley flashed on limited snaps during Clemson’s playoff push and owns a pass-catching resume (85 receptions over his college career) tailor-made for full-PPR scoring. If Barkley misses time, Shipley projects for every high-value touch on an offense that already finished top-10 in red-zone trips. Even with Barkley healthy, Shipley can carve out a Gainwell-plus role that returns value well before his current 17th-round sticker price.

Beimfohr called Jake Ferguson’s current DraftKings ADP "ridiculous," pointing out that the Cowboys did absolutely nothing to threaten his every-down role after he finished 2023 as TE9 in PPR points per game. Ferguson was going in the 70s and 80s last summer; now he routinely slips past pick 100 despite 93% route participation over Dallas’ final six games and Dak Prescott’s continued red-zone affinity for the tight end position (27% target share inside the 10). With no added pass catchers and Brian Schottenheimer retaining a pass-heavy approach, Beimfohr views Ferguson as a plug-and-play TE1 who should be drafted two rounds ahead of consensus to capture closing-line value before the inevitable summer correction.

Erik Beimfohr said he is "trying to get a nice healthy bag" of Isaiah Likely at his late-11th/12th-round DraftKings price. Likely already flashed 20-plus-point upside in two 2023 spot starts, and Beimfohr noted Baltimore added zero target competition this off-season. If the Ravens trade or cut Mark Andrews to free cap space—a non-zero possibility given Andrews’ age and contract—Likely would jump at least four rounds, landing in the Dallas Goedert/Sam LaPorta tier. Even without that move, Likely offers an easy back-door correlation with Lamar Jackson stacks in BBM and provides elite injury contingency value on a top-five scoring offense. Beimfohr believes Likely’s floor is TE2 filler, but the ceiling is a league-winning top-five tight end that you can still draft outside pick 130.

Beimfohr called Tony Pollard "100 percent mis-priced" now that he’s slipping into the sixth round on DraftKings. He reminded listeners Pollard was a 2/3-turn pick two seasons ago in Dallas, yet still managed a "pretty solid" fantasy year amidst the Titans’ dumpster-fire offense. Tennessee has since added Cam Ward and significantly upgraded the line and receiving corps, which should restore neutral- or positive-script snaps and both goal-line and pass-catching chances. DraftKings’ full-PPR scoring further accentuates Pollard’s receiving pedigree—he has averaged 2.7 receptions per game over the last three years. Beimfohr is drafting him aggressively now, predicting the market will correct once preseason depth-chart reports show Pollard as a 65-percent-snap workhorse.

Beimfohr hammered the table for drafting Rashee Rice two rounds ahead of ADP, arguing that, absent a suspension, Rice would belong in the middle of the second round. He said he would take Rice over Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Tee Higgins, Davante Adams, Marvin Harrison Jr. and Garrett Wilson because Rice already proved he can command targets from Patrick Mahomes and operate as the Chiefs’ unquestioned WR1. The only thing keeping his price in the 50s is uncertainty around possible league discipline. Beimfohr’s stance: bet on talent and situation, assume a partial ban is already priced in, and lock up a player who can post multiple 25-point weeks whenever he’s on the field.

Erik Beimfohr admitted he whiffed on Darnell Mooney last year but is now aggressively buying him whenever he slips past pick 100 on DraftKings. Beimfohr pointed out that Atlanta kept the exact same skill-position depth chart—Drake London, Mooney, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson—then added Michael Penix Jr. to run Zac Robinson’s pass-friendlier system. Because the Falcons signed zero other wide-outs, Mooney is locked into every-down WR2 duties opposite London. Beimfohr likes him as a classic "Best Ball chaperone": he will never be a fourth-round pick next summer, yet can spike 3–4 usable weeks thanks to his field-stretching role and the overall upgrade from Desmond Ridder to Penix. At a triple-digit ADP you are paying for WR5 pricing but getting weekly WR3 upside on a team that projects to throw more under Raheem Morris.