Kenny G said he is backing Houston on the moneyline against Miami, even with Hunter Aragatti making his first start since missing almost the entire season. He trusts the Astros’ lineup, which is riding a two-game win streak, and views Jansen Junk as a clear downgrade on the Marlins’ side. While Aragatti’s long layoff introduces some risk, Kenny believes the pitching matchup and current form heavily favor the Astros and would lay the short price to extend Houston’s run to three straight wins.

Kenny G prefers Houston at the pick’em –110 tag for game three in Miami. The Astros have already clinched the first two games and enter with a hot lineup (Altuve and Diaz homered in game two), second-best team batting average, and a trustworthy bullpen. Rookie Spencer Arrighetti returns from a thumb injury, but Kenny trusts even four to five solid innings more than what he expects from Jansen Junk, who sports a 3.86 ERA but has surrendered 10 earned runs over his last 10 frames. Miami’s offense ranks 19th in runs and its pen owns a 4.05 ERA. Given those edges, Kenny believes the ‘Stros should be favored closer to –125 and is willing to fire at the current number.

Eric Lindquist grabbed the Astros money line at –110 against Miami and called it "massively undervalued." He concedes Spencer Arrighetti’s surface numbers look ugly (48% hard-hit rate, .376 xSLG) but believes the revamped pitch mix makes him far less hittable the second time through. Dusty Baker has a fully-rested top-three bullpen ready if Arrighetti struggles. On the flip side, Janson Junk owns a 6% swinging-strike rate and a single Stuff+-graded pitch above average, making him, in Lindquist’s words, "confirmed bad." Add Houston’s lineup ceiling and the bullpen edge, and he prices the Astros at –140, seeing value at anything –120 or better.

Eric Pathi said the only time to put money on the Miami Marlins is when oddsmakers list them as underdogs. He laid out the numbers: Miami is 48-46 when catching plus money but just 5-9 laying juice, including Monday’s 8-2 loss to Houston as a –120 favorite. That split makes the Fish MLB’s single most profitable team strictly because the market keeps hanging plus prices on a club that wins more than half the time in that role. Pathi insisted pitching matchups and ERAs are noise in this spot; the edge is purely price-driven. With the overnight line for Tuesday showing Miami at +100 ("plus ten cents") against the Astros, he recommended taking the Marlins on the moneyline and fading them any time they are chalk.

Kenny G said to grab the Marlins money-line at -112, calling it his preferred side over the total. Miami has ripped off five straight wins and just swept the Yankees, scoring 7-2-13-2-5 during the streak. Sandy Alcantara has rediscovered his 2022 form, tossing 12 consecutive scoreless frames across his last two outings (7 IP vs San Diego, 5 IP vs St. Louis). By contrast, Houston hands the ball to Jason Alexander and his 7.36 ERA; over four Astros starts he owns a 1.68 WHIP and was torched by Oakland earlier in the month. Offensively the Astros remain stuck in neutral—18th in runs and 14th in slugging—managing only five total runs in a three-game sweep at Fenway. Kenny acknowledged Houston’s elite bullpen (3.35 ERA, 3rd MLB) but emphasized the bats are the problem. With the Astros a .500 road club and Miami 27-29 at home, he expects Alcantara plus a suddenly lively lineup to extend the streak and keep faint Wild Card hopes alive.