Cash Out Sports Picks sided with the Diamondbacks, pointing out that Nestor Cortes is making his first start since early April and doing it on the road. The tout expects rust, giving Arizona’s lineup—still potent even after the Suarez trade—ample opportunity. Arizona already leads the season series and can lean on a flexible bullpen if needed. With the Diamondbacks’ postseason hopes flickering, the home club is predicted to capitalize on San Diego’s vulnerable starter and secure the win.

Kenny G admitted there is not "lots of value" on the board but would still side with the San Diego Padres at –145 in Arizona if forced to choose. His rationale: the Padres’ bullpen has been the best unit in MLB "down the stretch," a major edge over a Diamondbacks relief corps he labeled "one of the worst." San Diego’s lineup remains mediocre (24th in runs, 25th in slugging), yet Anthony DeSclafani brings a 4.91 ERA and was "terrible" in his last spot start against Oakland, and Arizona’s three-game win streak may be masking long-term issues. Nestor Cortes starts for San Diego with only one appearance since April (1-1, 9.00 ERA), creating volatility but not enough to scare Kenny off the moneyline. Key betting angles he cited: Padres 26-32 on the road with a 32-24-2 under record, D-backs 27-28 at home with a 26-25-4 over record, and a game total sitting at 9.5. He is personally "staying far away" unless pressed, but the recommended lean is Padres moneyline.

Eric Lindquist said Ketel Marte is a clear betting target against Yankees left-hander Nestor Cortez on Wednesday. Lindquist highlighted Cortez’s deteriorating profile – a “sitting south-paw with nothing left in the tank,” giving up 20-degree average launch angle and showing a growing walk problem. Marte’s 2024 splits show a .314 average/.424 OBP/.607 SLG from the right side, but Lindquist stressed the value comes from his production as a left-side hitter versus southpaws: five homers in only 121 plate appearances, a sharp drop in strikeout rate, and an elevated walk rate that boosts base-reach props. After running simulations that blended 2023 and early-2024 Cortez data, Lindquist calculated Marte’s fair price for a home-run or total-bases prop at +255 and expects sportsbooks to hang a better number, creating what he called a “no-brainer” plus-EV play. He added that bullpen matchups further favor Marte once Cortez exits, reinforcing the bet for anytime homer or over 1.5 total bases.

Eric Lindquist circled a Cattell Marte home-run prop at +250 or longer versus newly-acquired southpaw Nestor Cortes. Cortes’ fastball has dropped two ticks, his average launch angle allowed is up to 20°, and his walk rate has climbed over 10%, all of which should force him to live in the zone in hitter-friendly Chase Field. Marte already has five homers off left-handers in just 121 plate appearances this season with a 15% K-rate, giving him plenty of contact volume. Lindquist dubbed the matchup "too obvious" and will fire on the dong the moment books hang a number.

The tout fired on Arizona’s moneyline, citing Yu Darvish’s disastrous road line—11 earned runs in 8.1 away innings—and the Diamondbacks’ .256 team average inside Chase Field. Ryne Nelson counters with a 2.09 ERA at home and Arizona stands 8-5 in his starts. In a tight NL West race, Cash Out Sports Picks trusts Nelson’s comfort at home and expects the D-backs to exploit Darvish’s travel issues for a key win.

Eric Lindquist urged managers to buy Yu Darvish while the market is still lukewarm. Even after time on the IL, Darvish owns a .314 xwOBA and .386 xSLG—modest for him but far from concerning—and flashed his ceiling with a seven-inning, two-hit, seven-strikeout gem versus the Mets. Lindquist believes the veteran simply needed to rebuild stamina and expects both velocity and breaking-ball bite to creep back toward 2022 levels. With public perception depressed, he recommends trading for Darvish in season-long leagues or grabbing discounted futures before the "stock" inevitably climbs.

Lindquist told season-long managers to "buy stock" in Yu Darvish, noting the veteran’s peripherals are turning the corner. Darvish carries a 3.14 xwOBA and 3.86 xSLG allowed— pedestrian for him—but his most recent start (7 IP, 2 H, 7 K vs Mets) showed the velo and slider shape that were missing early while he ramped up from injury. Lindquist expects the ratios to normalize and believes Darvish can be acquired at an 18-round draft-capital equivalent in mid-season trades, a discount he doesn’t expect to last once the strikeouts fully rebound.

Lindquist suggested a sprinkle on Corbin Carroll to homer at +345 or longer against Yu Darvish. Darvish is allowing a .314 xwOBA and .386 xSLG to left-handed hitters this year and has yet to rediscover his elite splitter feel. Carroll’s 91 mph EV and 40% hard-hit rate versus right-handed fastballs give him enough barrel probability to justify the price. Lindquist acknowledged the number may not appear but is willing to fire if any book hangs +345 or better.