Gordon McGuinness endorsed Justin Jefferson over 5.5 receptions at -116 on DraftKings. Jefferson missed this number in Week 1 only because of two drops, an anomaly for a player with a career drop rate of 5.5 %. He has seen fewer than seven targets in just one of his last 19 starts. McGuinness noted Jefferson is projected to run about 20 routes against either rookie Billy Bowman (62.4 coverage grade) or veteran Mike Hughes (50.6), both vulnerable matchups. Given that volume and soft coverage, McGuinness expects Jefferson to clear six catches easily.

Trevor Sikkema said to take Bijan Robinson over 3.5 receptions at -123 on DraftKings. Robinson caught 6-of-7 targets for 100 yards in Week 1 against Tampa Bay, showing Arthur Smith is comfortable using him as a receiver. Sikkema noted that Minnesota blitzed at one of the NFL’s highest rates last week; with constant pressure expected and Michael Penix Jr. likely needing quick outlets, Atlanta should lean on screens and swing passes to Robinson again. The PFF Player Prop Tool projects enough volume to clear the number, making the over his preferred play.

Bartel hates the extra half-point on –3.5 but still rides with Minnesota, saying defensive coordinator Brian Flores is "a legitimate weapon" and gives the Vikings a coaching edge over an Atlanta squad led by Michael Penix. Despite skepticism about NFC Offensive Player of the Week J.J. McCarthy, Bartel expects Flores’ scheme to generate field position advantages that let Minnesota clear the spread and help push the game Over 44.5.

Will Hill grabbed Falcons +3.5. Minnesota is 15-3 in the regular season since 2024, but nine victories came by a single score. Hill recalled last year’s 42-21 Viking win where Atlanta still racked up nearly 500 yards but was buried by a –3 turnover margin. With Minnesota starting a rookie quarterback, Hill expects another close finish and wants the points.

MacMillan rushed to grab Atlanta +187 on the moneyline, saying Michael Penix Jr. "looked every bit a great NFL quarterback" in the narrow loss to Tampa and praising DC Jeff Ulbrich’s improved defense. With J.J. McCarthy set for only his second career start, he believes the market is over-inflating Minnesota and sees the Falcons’ offensive weapons giving them a realistic upset path.