Cash Out Sports Picks rode with the Boston Red Sox money line. Boston plated at least six runs in five of its previous six games, including an eight-run outburst Monday, and ranks fifth in MLB at 4.98 runs per game (5.29 at Fenway). Kansas City’s offense is 29th at 3.68 runs per game and the club largely stood pat at the deadline, leaving Seth Lugo without much support. With Boston’s lineup surging and Fenway’s hitter-friendly environment, the tout expects the Red Sox to close the series strong.

Bill Harrelson urged bettors to take Bobby Witt Jr. over 1.5 total bases in Game 3 against Boston. Witt has eclipsed this mark in eight of his last ten and in each of the first two games of the series, giving him three straight overs. He sports a 55% hit rate in 2025 (62 of 113) and roughly the same 54–55% clip across the past 280 games. Versus Boston he has cleared in five of the last seven meetings, including a 10-total-base eruption. FanDuel and DraftKings list the over around ‑130, and Witt’s 4.5 plate-appearance average—likely five on Wednesday—adds volume upside. Harrelson views the prop as mis-priced on PrizePicks/Underdog.

Kenny G said to lay the juice with Boston at –235 because Garrett Crochet continues to pitch like a true staff ace. Crochet owns a 12-4 record and 2.23 ERA, and the Red Sox have won each of his last five outings. When he faced Kansas City in early May he spun seven innings of one-run ball with nine strikeouts in an eventual 10-1 win, so the matchup history is excellent. Boston backs him with the No. 2 bullpen ERA in MLB and an offense producing 8-6-7-2-13-8 runs its last six games while ranking fourth in runs and eighth in OBP. On the other side Kansas City counters with Ryan Bergert/Burr, a converted Pirate with only short outings and very little swing-and-miss stuff, plus an offense that still sits 29th in runs scored despite deadline additions. The Royals are a .500 road team, whereas Boston is 37-21 at Fenway. All of those edges led Kenny to label the Red Sox his potential “lock of the day.”

Just A Bet Outside said Boston’s alternate team total of 2.5 runs is simply too low. He pointed to the favorable run-scoring environment that recently produced rough lines for arms as good as Clayton Kershaw (4 ER) and Jesus Luzardo (6 ER on only 2 hits thanks to 5 walks). Boston’s patient lineup profiles the same way: near-elite walk rate, plenty of contact, and "swinging it well right now." With warm summer weather and erratic left-hander Bailey Falter on the mound, the tout expects the Red Sox to crack three runs “pretty easily.”

Just A Bet Outside played Boston’s team total over 2.5 runs, needing only three scores in 85-degree weather with a light breeze blowing out at Fenway. The angle is simple: Bailey Falter, making his first start for Kansas City, owns poor underlying skills—few whiffs and shaky command after four walks last outing. Before a fortunate two-hit gem in spacious Oracle Park, Falter had coughed up three-plus earned in five of six starts. Boston has mauled southpaws all season: three-plus runs in eight of the last ten games against left-handed starters and 11 of 16 home dates versus LHP, averaging 6.2 runs in that split. Recent victims include Framber Valdez (5 ER), Colton Gordon (6 ER), Clayton Kershaw (4 ER) and Jesus Luzardo (6 ER on only two hits thanks to five walks). Given the Red Sox’ walk rate and pull power, the tout expects them to clear three runs quickly against a contact-heavy left-hander in hitter-friendly conditions.