Brad Pick Dawgz played the A’s team total over 4.5. His reasoning: San Francisco starts Mason Birdsong, "who just hasn’t been great this season," and the park is one of the more hitter-friendly environments in MLB. Oakland has cashed this exact number in five of its last six contests, and Brad sees no reason the hot bats cool off against a struggling arm.

Scott Reichel said he is betting Willy Adames’ home-run prop when the Giants visit Luis Severino and the A’s. Reichel noted Severino has allowed at least one homer in seven consecutive starts and multiple bombs in three of his last five at the Coliseum, a stretch that has ballooned his Oakland ERA to 7.38. Adames is the lone Giant with a career homer off Severino already on the ledger, and he enters Saturday riding a four-game hit streak that includes two doubles and three total extra-base hits. With Severino’s ground-ball rate down nearly seven percentage points since May and the wind projected to be neutral, Reichel expects San Francisco’s right-hand power bats—led by Adames—to take advantage. He is comfortable playing Adames at anything +425 or better and would sprinkle a same-game parlay tying the bomb to a Giants win given Severino’s overall 1.9 HR/9 and 10.4% barrel rate this season.

Lonte Smith said to lay the –1.5 with San Francisco and give the full-game Over a look because Luis Severino simply cannot keep the ball in the park at the Coliseum. Severino has surrendered multiple home runs in three of his last five home starts and carries a 7.38 ERA in Oakland this year. Smith conceded that Logan Webb is never elite on the road, but his 3.81 away ERA is the best of his career and the Giants have averaged 5.2 runs of support in his last six road turns. Webb’s high contact profile (6-plus hits allowed in seven of his last eight outings) actually helps the Over, but Smith expects most of the damage to come from a Giants lineup that should feast on a pitcher who has given up 15 earned runs in his last three home appearances. He is comfortable laying up to –120 on the run line and will bet the total at nine or lower.