“These are the games Mike Tomlin just wins,” Bartel said while backing Pittsburgh –3. He was unimpressed by Seattle’s opener but noted Pittsburgh’s defense was "carved up by Fields," implying another shootout is possible if the unit does not tighten up. Because that scenario would render the current 40.5 total "completely mispriced," he is stacking the Steelers side with the Over.

MacMillan grabbed Pittsburgh –3 at +100 (BetMGM) on the theory that a healthier Aaron Rodgers is "one of the most effective QBs" based on his late-2024 surge and strong Week 1 tape. He was underwhelmed by Seattle: Sam Darnold “looked like the old Darnold” and the ground game stalled. Believing public perception overrates the Seahawks, he’s happy to fade them in a tough road spot.

Dave Loughran recommended grabbing Seattle +3 in Pittsburgh. His case: the public will overreact to Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers stealing a win, while ignoring multiple defensive injuries on Pittsburgh’s side. Seattle is desperate to avoid an 0-2 start in a winnable NFC West, and Mike Tomlin’s track record as a home favorite of three or more points is sub-par. Loughran believes the number should be closer to a pick’em once the market prices in the Steelers’ thin defense and Seattle’s motivation.