Everett grabbed Tennessee +7, arguing that Cam Ward’s first three starts all came against projected playoff teams and Houston’s own 0-3 start is anchored by a league-worst 12.7 points per game. Until DeMeco Ryans’ offense shows blow-out capability, Everett is happy to fade them as full-touchdown favorites—even if desperation narrative points to the Texans. He noted books still price Houston’s team total under 20, which dovetails with a close ugly game script.

Vic Tafur scooped Tennessee +7, scoffing at the idea of spotting a full touchdown to a Houston team averaging exactly one touchdown per week. He pointed out Texans quarterback Cam Ward has absorbed a league-high 15 sacks against only 14 completions of 12-plus yards, evidence of a broken passing game. Even amid Tennessee’s own dysfunction, Tafur rates the Titans’ offense higher and expects them to stay well inside the number.

Mock took Tennessee +7 (-105) in Houston, stressing that neither roster deserves a full-touchdown spread. He notes Houston's defense can dominate at times, but doubts bettors will line up to lay points with an offense that remains inconsistent. Rookie quarterback Cam Ward has flashed downfield aggression for Tennessee, and the switch away from Brian Callahan's play-calling could unlock a few extra points. His power numbers make the Texans only a field-goal favorite, so he advised grabbing +7 at anything better than ‑110.

Walder called for an 80-plus-yard receiving day from Calvin Ridley. Despite a –82 receiving-yards-over-expectation (third worst in the league), Ridley continues to command volume in Brian Callahan’s offense. Houston’s secondary has allowed nine passing plays of 25-plus yards and grades 24th in coverage EPA. Walder believes the steady targets convert into a ceiling game, recommending Ridley as a DFS tournament play and an over on yardage props.

Houston opened ‑7.5 at home, but Logan reported that ‘early movement has been away from the winless Texans, dropping this spread to a touchdown.’ With the lowest Week 4 total on the board at 38.5, the immediate fade signals skepticism of the Texans’ offense and suggests value on Titans backers who grabbed the opening +7.5 before books trimmed the line.