For Cubs-Reds, Douglass relayed that Dimers’ projections give the Under 9 at -110 a 55.3% chance of cashing and a 2.9% edge— the highest edge of Sunday’s free picks. Bettors seeking total action can lean Under thanks to the model’s confidence exceeding the break-even mark.

Douglass pointed bettors toward Pirates +1.5 (-144) after the simulator produced a 61% hit rate and a 2.0% expected edge. Although the edge is smaller than the Astros play, it still clears the model’s profitability threshold, making Pittsburgh a viable run-line target against Milwaukee in Sunday’s matinee.

Mac Douglass highlighted that Dimers’ predictive engine ran thousands of simulations on Mariners-Astros and spit out a 62% likelihood that Houston covers the +1.5 run line at -146 on FanDuel. The model assigns a 2.7% long-term edge to the wager, making it the highest-probability play on Sunday’s slate. Douglass noted that Dimers Pro users typically hunt for any edge above 2%, so this qualifies as actionable value.

Douglass highlighted Guardians-Reds Under 9 runs at -108 as another profitable total, citing a 54.2% success probability and 2.3% edge from Dimers’ model. Cleveland’s offense sits 24th in hard-hit rate, while Cincinnati faces a rested Tanner Bibee whose xERA is a full run lower than his surface ERA thanks to a .347 BABIP fluke. Hunter Greene counters with a 31% whiff rate and has held right-handed hitters to a .279 slugging mark. Progressive Field temperatures in the low 60s with a 7-mph breeze blowing in further dampen run expectancy. Simulations cluster around 7–8 combined runs, making the under playable down to 8.5.

Douglass advised betting Under 8.5 runs at +100 in Rays-Marlins after the Dimers simulator produced a 52.7% hit rate and a 2.7% expected edge. The projection leans on Zach Eflin’s 29% strikeout rate and Edward Cabrera’s 56% ground-ball rate, plus Miami’s league-worst 85 wRC+ versus righties. LoanDepot Park suppresses homers by roughly 11% compared to league average, and both clubs’ bullpens enter with sub-3.50 ERAs over the last two weeks. With the roof expected closed and neutral winds, the model foresees a pitching-driven contest that lands in the 6–7 run range more than half the time.

Mac Douglass endorsed taking the Blue Jays at +1.5 runs (-190) against Detroit after Dimers’ predictive model spit out a 68.4% win probability and a 2.9% long-term edge over the listed price. The pick is built on thousands of Monte Carlo simulations that factor in projected starting-pitcher matchups, bullpen usage, park factors at Rogers Centre, and each lineup’s weighted on-base averages versus right-handed pitching. Because the Tigers’ offense ranks bottom-five in runs per game on the road and Toronto’s pen owns the fifth-best ERA in May, the model expects a tight, low-scoring game where the extra run and a half becomes highly valuable. Douglass labeled it the highest-probability play on Sunday’s slate and a cornerstone wager for bettors seeking safe bankroll growth.