Derek Carty likes Yandy Diaz OVER 0.5 HR at +800, giving it a 13% hit rate and a $16.46 expected value. The model keys on Diaz’s spike in average exit velocity on fly balls—94.6 mph this season versus 91.9 mph in 2024—which materially raises his home‑run projection. With the power metrics trending up, Carty views the shorter odds as still offering positive expected value.

Rosenberg likes Yandy Diaz over 1.5 total bases at +105 and even sprinkled a 5‑to‑1 home‑run ticket. Diaz owns a .364 average (11 ABs) with a homer and three RBIs off Carlos Rodon and has been smoking the ball in his last five games (14% barrel rate, .337 wOBA, .476 SLG). Against lefties he has hits in 4 of his last 5 contests and has cleared 1.5 bases in 2 of his last 3. At home he’s done it 3 of 5. Rodon is the giveaway: a 5.43 FIP, 42% fly‑ball rate, and a massive 25% HR/FB mark. With the Yankee southpaw living up in the zone, Rosenberg expects Diaz’s pull‑side power to show up again.

The tout wrapped up by mentioning Yandy Diaz, who owns a hit in seven of his last eight games and, per the on‑screen chart, carries a matchup batting average well over .300 against Friday’s opposing starter. Diaz therefore lands in his betting pool for simple hit props or as a value DFS bat.

The tout wrapped up by mentioning Yandy Diaz, who owns a hit in seven of his last eight games and, per the on‑screen chart, carries a matchup batting average well over .300 against Friday’s opposing starter. Diaz therefore lands in his betting pool for simple hit props or as a value DFS bat.

B Wade targeted Yandy Diaz over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Diaz had cleared the line in five straight before a two‑game lull and now faces Carlos Rodon, whose ERA sits north of 5.00. Diaz is a career 4‑for‑11 (.364) with a homer off Rodon and is batting above .300 versus left‑handers this year. Wade stressed that New York exhausted its bullpen Thursday after pulling the starter in the second inning, meaning Rodon is likely to work deep even if he struggles. Diaz has topped this combo prop in seven of his last ten games against the Yankees, so Wade expects Tampa’s leadoff man to cash again.

Data Skrive highlighted Yandy Diaz as a strong play against the Yankees, noting his consistent recent performance. Diaz enters the matchup riding a six-game hitting streak and batting .300 over his past 10 contests, contributing two doubles, three home runs, three walks and five RBI in that span. Given his current form, Diaz offers excellent potential for fantasy players and hit-related prop bets.