Just A Bet Outside is eyeing two correlated wagers: Seattle -1.5 (around -115) or Logan Gilbert to record a win if the prop opens at -125 or better. The Mariners have been "absolutely rolling" since the deadline and grade out as the American League’s No. 1 lineup per the tout. Gilbert’s underlying form is strong and he’s expected to "absolutely deal" against Shane Smith, who posted a solid first half but has struggled for the last 30 days. The handicap notes Seattle’s sweeping scenario at home isn’t ideal for a run-line, yet the team holds decisive advantages in lineup depth, current form, and starting-pitcher quality. If Gilbert works deep enough to qualify, the win prop offers an alternative with less late-inning variance than a home run-line.

Stephen advised fading Luis Robert in both DFS and hit props, pointing out the slugger is just 2-for-11 with four strikeouts against Logan Gilbert. He called the matchup “quick, simple, easy” and labeled Robert Thursday’s lone ‘bad hitter matchup’.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Andrew Benintendi as one of only three viable bats on Thursday’s tiny four-game slate. Benintendi owns a 5-for-14 lifetime log against Seattle right-hander Logan Gilbert and four of those hits have gone for extra bases. Stephen framed the note as a green-light matchup for DFS lineups or total-bases props, stressing the lack of other plus platoon spots on the card.

Kenny G labeled Seattle -280 his safest play of the short Thursday slate, saying it "could end up being our lock of the day." The handicap leans on the White Sox’s punch-less offense (27th in runs, .229 team average, .300 OBP) and their 18-40 road record. Chicago starts Shane Smith, an inconsistent 25-year-old sitting at 3-7 with a 4.25 ERA. Seattle counters with Logan Gilbert, who owns a 3.45 ERA and just logged 6 IP, 3 ER versus Texas while working back toward last season’s form. The Mariners have won five of six, scoring 8, 5, 4, 4 and 6 runs during that stretch; their lineup is now 11th in runs and 10th in OBP. A bullpen ERA of 3.71 and home mark of 33-25 give Kenny confidence Seattle will close the door. With only two games separating them from Houston in the AL West, he expects a focused effort and is willing to lay the hefty chalk.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the runs with Seattle. Logan Gilbert has been lights-out at T-Mobile Park, sporting a 2.27 ERA, .144 opponents’ average across 47.2 home innings and a 0.98 WHIP overall. White Sox starter Smith has surrendered 15 hits and 15 earned across his last 16.1 innings, and Chicago owns the AL’s worst .667 OPS despite a brief post-break uptick. With the Mariners’ bats finally clicking and Houston in their sights, the tout expects Gilbert to dominate and Seattle to win by margin.

Eric Lindquist advised backing the Seattle Mariners at minus one and a half runs (-115) in Thursday's game against the Chicago White Sox. He argued the Mariners possess a decisive mound edge with Logan Gilbert, pointing to Gilbert's .202 expected batting average allowed and .267 expected xwOBA as evidence he is "much better" than Chicago's starter. Lindquist acknowledged White Sox prospect Colson Montgomery's talent but stressed Chicago's overall weighted runs created plus still lags behind Seattle's attack. Combining the pitching mismatch with Seattle's lineup advantage, Lindquist called the run-line his favorite wager on the four-game slate.

Lindquist’s lone official bet for Thursday is Seattle −1.5 runs (-115) with Logan Gilbert facing Chicago. He called it a clear pitching mismatch: Gilbert owns a 2.67 xFIP and .202 xBA, while White Sox spot-starter James Smith struggles to miss bats and will have to navigate a power-laden lineup featuring left-handed pop from Cal Raleigh, Dom Canzone, Jorge Polanco, and Eugenio Suarez. Despite T-Mobile Park’s run-suppressing environment, Lindquist argued that Seattle’s lefty power still plays because of the short right-field porch and the White Sox’s league-worst bullpen backing Smith. Add Chicago’s swing-and-miss middle order (Luis Robert, Colson Montgomery) and Lindquist expects the Mariners to win comfortably by multiple runs.

To avoid the steep –245 moneyline, Drew Martin is playing Seattle –1. He trusts George Kirby, who has won five of his last six starts and is coming off six shutout innings with six strikeouts against Texas. Chicago counters with 25-year-old Jonathan Cannon, who has been shelled for 14 hits, 12 runs and four homers in his last two appearances. The White Sox are nearly 30 games under .500 and a miserable 18-38 on the road. Martin also highlighted Seattle’s bullpen advantage and an offense that remains three games behind Houston in the AL West race. Those pitching, bullpen and lineup gaps justify laying the minus-one line instead of the full price.

Cash Out Sports Picks took Seattle on the money line. Chicago has shown only marginal improvement since the break, and starter Jonathan Cannon carries a 3-6 record with a 4.53 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 57.2 road innings. Seattle, meanwhile, added Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor at the deadline, giving the lineup a clear talent edge. Riding recent momentum and home-field advantage, the tout sees the Mariners grabbing the middle game of the series.

Kenny G said he is comfortable backing the Seattle Mariners on the moneyline against the Chicago White Sox, but explicitly refused to lay the -1.5 run line. His confidence stems from several angles: Seattle’s bullpen has been "pretty reliable all year" with a 3.63 ERA, the club owns a 31-25 record at T-Mobile Park, and Chicago drags an 18-38 road mark while cashing the under 33-20-3 away from Guaranteed Rate Field. Offensively, the Mariners are improved (19th in batting average, 12th in OBP) and should scratch out enough support, yet he does not expect a blow-out. The market currently lists Seattle at –235 with Chicago +215 and a 7.5 total, numbers Kenny called "a little bit surprising" but still worth a straight moneyline play rather than a spread.

Kenny G predicted a spike in George Kirby’s strikeouts against the White Sox and suggested targeting his K prop. Kirby is coming off six shutout innings of three-hit ball versus Texas and has logged back-to-back quality starts. He now faces a Chicago lineup that ranks 29th in batting average and slugging percentage and is battling injuries. With Seattle’s bullpen in solid shape, Kenny expects manager Scott Servais to let Kirby work deep and sees this as “a spot where this dude’s going to go out and try and put up a crazy amount of strikeouts.”

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the run line with Seattle, labeling Chicago “maybe one of the worst teams in baseball history.” Starter Bryan Wu sports a 3.11 ERA and 0.97 WHIP overall, but he’s been even nastier at T-Mobile Park (2.29 ERA, .179 BA against over 51 IP). Opposing right-hander Davis Martin has only four starts since June and gets minimal support from a Sox lineup that rarely produces. With Seattle fighting for a playoff spot, the tout expects a comfortable Mariners cover.