Kenny G backed the Brewers at –178 and called the no-run first inning (NRFI) his favorite wager. He argued Brandon Woodruff’s two-start sample (12 IP, 1 ER, 0.75 WHIP) already includes a 6-inning gem versus Miami, so the Marlins have yet to solve him. Milwaukee’s lineup still ranks eighth in runs despite a quiet week and now gets Christian Yelich back from a hamstring tweak. Conversely, Kenny credited Miami rookie Yuri Perez for recent dominance but noted the Fish remain just 19th in season-long slugging and must face a top-10 home club (Brewers 33-19 at American Family Field). Both bullpens grade league-average, but the Brewers’ 30-21-1 home under clip and Miami’s 27-22-1 road over lean push Kenny toward a low-scoring script early, making the NRFI “extremely, extremely live.”

Harrelson is backing Jackson Chourio OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. The rookie has crushed this line in 9 of his past 10 games and in both contests of the current series (three H/R/RBI in each). He’s 17-for-20 (85%) overall lately and a perfect 7-game streak against Miami. Season-long hit rate sits at 58% (60 of 103) with a 54% clip over 147 games last year, revealing long-term stability. While Chourio is hitting roughly 10% worse versus right-handed pitching, Sunday’s starter Edward Perez actually allows a higher average to right-handed bats than lefties, creating an offset. Every major book is shaded to the over and some still haven’t even posted a price, signalling heavy market respect. Harrelson expects Chourio to stay hot and clear the 1.5 mark again.

Martin wants Brewers tickets in hand because Brandon Woodruff has been untouchable since returning. The 32-year-old owns a spotless 23-to-0 strikeout-to-walk ratio through only three starts and is coming off six shutout innings of two-hit ball versus Seattle. Rookie phenom Yuri Perez throws gas for Miami, but Martin pointed out the 22-year-old has faced soft lineups so far and now draws a Brewer offense he ranks as clearly better than what Perez has seen. Martin doubts Perez can match Woodruff frame-for-frame and sees Milwaukee as the side.

Kenny G said to swallow the –165 juice on Milwaukee, framing it as a classic bounce-back spot for both Jose Quintana and the Brewers. Quintana looked rusty in his first post-break outing (6 IP, 4 ER vs L.A.) but still sports a 7-3 record and 3.49 ERA on the season. Kenny expects improvement against a Miami offense that sits 20th in runs and 19th in slugging and has only a .500 road record. The Marlins counter with Jansen Junk, a total question mark whom Kenny doubts will work deep into the game. He highlighted Milwaukee’s 33-17 home record and a bullpen that has been “improving hand over fist” during a hot streak that pushed them past the Cubs in the Central. Given the Marlins’ 26-21-1 road over trend versus the Brewers’ 29-20-1 home under record, Kenny believes the superior starter, pen, and home field more than justify the price and recommends Brewers moneyline.

Lonte Smith also favors Milwaukee but wants to attack the Brewers’ team-total over. He pointed to Freddy Peralta’s current heater—seven straight wins with a 3.18 ERA and a 34-to-9 K/BB ratio—saying that kind of dominance sets up repeated run-scoring opportunities for a lineup already averaging better than six runs per game in July. Peralta has yielded one earned run or fewer in four of his last six home starts, meaning the bullpen should work with a lead, while Quantrill’s short outings (just 3.2 IP and two earned in his lone 2025 appearance versus Milwaukee) could force Miami into its weaker middle relievers early. Even though the Marlins have won six of ten and remain feisty, Smith does not see them "cooling down" the Brewers offense and expects Milwaukee to clear their posted total.

Scott Reichel said to lay the –1.5 runs with Milwaukee at plus money. His confidence is tied to multiple edges: the Brewers have won 12 of their last 13 games, sit 20 games above .500 overall and 16 games above .500 at home, and continue to generate six-plus runs a night despite lacking big home-run power. On the mound, Freddy Peralta’s 2.91 ERA is nearly half of Cal Quantrill’s 5.71 mark, and Quantrill has been especially shaky on the road with a 6.20 ERA. Reichel views the red-hot lineup and decisive pitching mismatch as ample justification to fade Miami and grab the run line instead of the pricey moneyline.