Mark recommended the Mets -1.5 at +140. He likes the momentum New York has generated over the past week and trusts Frankie Montas (3-1) far more than San Francisco call-up Carson Whisenhunt, who sports a 7.28 ERA. He cashed a similar lean on the Mets the previous night and sees another plus-money opportunity to ‘stack units’ against an unproven arm.

Jay Yang highlighted Pete Alonso as a strong DFS/prop target against Giants left-hander Carson Wisenhunt. The Mets collectively hit .280 with an OPS around .800 versus southpaws, and Yang expects Wisenhunt’s low-90s fastball/changeup mix to fool the lineup only once through the order. He said Alonso and Francisco Lindor should "take care of" Wisenhunt, projecting 2–3 early runs in the first four to five innings. Yang’s takeaway: lock Alonso into DFS line-ups or look to his total-bases/home-run props while the market still treats Wisenhunt like a competent big-league arm.

Just A Bet Outside laid a one-unit wager on the Mets moneyline at ‑140, citing a perfect 10-0 team record in David Peterson’s home starts. Peterson owns a 1.91 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 6.4 % walk rate and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in nine of those ten outings while holding left-handed hitters to a .170 average at Citi Field. On the other side, Robbie Ray carries a 3.40 road ERA and just logged five hits, two earned runs, three walks and three strikeouts against this same patient Mets lineup. Ray rarely works deep, which pushes a depleted Giants bullpen – weakened by deadline trades of Camilo Doval and Tyler Rogers – into high-leverage innings. Meanwhile the Mets added Ryan Helsley and the very same Tyler Rogers, transforming their relief corps into a consensus top-five unit. New York’s 37-16 home record contrasts sharply with San Francisco’s 26-29 road mark and current six-game skid (2-8 last ten). With both offenses middling versus lefties, the tout expects Peterson to keep the Giants quiet early and New York’s reinforced pen to slam the door late.

Kenny G said the best angle in Giants-Mets is a No-Run-First-Inning wager. His reasoning: David Peterson owns a 2.83 ERA and just held San Francisco to one earned over six frames five days ago; that game stayed scoreless through the first three innings. Opposing starter Kyle Harrison (noted but unnamed in clip) likewise opened that matchup clean and has allowed only one first-inning run in his last six starts. Citi Field has been an under park all season — the Mets are 26-24-3 to the under at home — and tonight’s total is just 7.5, signaling bookmakers also expect a slow start. With the Giants only 26-29 on the road and the Mets’ MLB-best 37-16 home mark, Kenny expects both managers to approach the opener cautiously, making a 0-0 first inning the sharpest bet on the board.