Cash Out Sports Picks said the Baltimore Orioles are the value side in Sunday’s series finale at Truist Park. He stressed that Atlanta starter Holmes owns an excellent 2.75 ERA at home yet still carries a 2-4 record because the Braves lineup gives him little run support at Truist. Meanwhile rookie left-hander Rogers has a 3.21 road ERA with 14 strikeouts in 14 road innings and Baltimore has taken four of the last five meetings between these clubs. Even with an uneven overall away record, the O’s have won as many games on the road as at Camden Yards, and motivation should still be intact as they try to sweep. All of that led him to recommend the Orioles money line.

Drew Martin said the Orioles are his biggest Sunday wager because Trevor Rogers finally looks like the 2021 version of himself. Rogers owns a 2.00 ERA and has surrendered just 13 hits in 22 innings since returning from injury. Baltimore’s bats are scorching (top-5 wRC+ over the last week) while Atlanta’s injury-riddled lineup sits bottom-10 in the same span. Holmes counters with a 3.50 ERA but has dropped four of his last five decisions. Baltimore’s bullpen metrics also grade out better. Martin expects the market to hang a playable number and recommends backing the O’s in the early 11:35 a.m. tilt.

Matt Perrault grabbed the Orioles money line at +145 to finish a three-game sweep of Atlanta. He acknowledged Baltimore’s poor 20-27 road record but argued the matchup favors them: the Braves rank in the bottom half of MLB in average and RBIs versus left-handed pitching, and they face southpaw Trevor Rogers, who owns a 2.05 ERA through four appearances with the Orioles winning three of those games. Rogers has thrown 8 scoreless innings vs Texas and 6⅓ shutout frames vs Boston, allowing just two earned over his last 11⅔ innings. Baltimore has already taken the first two games 3-2 and 9-6, while the Braves are "reeling" at 24-21 overall. Perrault suggested bettors can even live-hedge if Baltimore jumps ahead, but he sees enough value in the pre-game +145 price to fire on the O’s.

Scott Reichel is ready to grab Baltimore at any plus price because Dean Kremer appears to have solved his early-season issues. Over his last three starts Kremer has thrown 17⅔ innings with only two earned runs, leaning more on his splitter to miss bats. Atlanta is still tagged by the market like a 90-win club despite sitting eight games under .500, and Reichel notes the Braves’ mediocre 24-19 home record offers little intimidation. Without Spencer Strider or Max Fried on the mound, he expects Atlanta to be over-valued simply on name recognition. If oddsmakers hang Baltimore anywhere north of +110, Reichel will be on the O’s money-line.

Bill Harrelson is fading Marcell Ozuna, playing the under 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs for Saturday’s matchup with Baltimore. Ozuna has stayed under this number in 8 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20 games, including 13 of the last 16 overall. Over his past five home games he is averaging just 0.2 H+R+RBI. Harrelson noted Ozuna’s 0-for-2 career line against Saturday’s starter Dean Kremer and emphasized that Kremer has been tougher on right-handed hitters this season. While Underdog is the only book offering the prop, the recent cold streak, minimal success against Kremer, and pitcher split led Harrelson to back the under.

Bill Harrelson recommended taking Colton Cowser to collect at least one total base Saturday against Atlanta. Cowser has hit this number in 8 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20 games, logging multi-base outings of 4, 4, and 6 during that stretch. He is 20-for-29 (69%) on the prop this season after a 58% hit rate across 151 games last year. Harrelson highlighted that the rookie is averaging 4.2 plate appearances and 2.2 total bases over his last 15 contests. Although Cowser’s split versus left-handed pitching is weaker, he faces a pitcher whose numbers are actually worse against lefty bats, creating a net advantage. Market signals back the play—ESPN Bet, Fliff, and Sleeper are heavily juicing the over while Underdog is the lone book hanging a line. Given the combination of recent form, volume, and pitcher matchup, Harrelson is confident Cowser will surpass 0.5 total bases.