Matt Perrault backed Detroit at –132 on the road in Cleveland, pointing to the Tigers’ league-best .272 average and 129 RBIs versus left-handed pitching. They face southpaw Logan Allen, whose Progressive Field line shows a 4.31 ERA, .266 opponent average and 19 earned runs in 39⅔ home innings, with losses in his last two starts (6 IP/3 ER vs STL, 5⅔ IP/3 ER vs TOR). Detroit counters with Casey Mize (8-2, 2.86 ERA overall) who has been steady away from Comerica – 3.50 road ERA and just 5 total earned runs over his last three road appearances (Tampa, Baltimore, Chicago). Perrault expects Detroit to scratch out four or more runs off Allen, which he believes will be enough behind Mize’s recent form and a rested bullpen, making the Tigers a worthwhile moneyline play.